Is Now a Good Entry Point for Bonds?

The Federal Reserve remains in a holding pattern over interest rates after the latest FOMC meeting. Bond investors now balance the potential risks and rewards of taking on longer-duration exposures in the current environment.

Short-duration bonds remain a popular haven for many investors while the yield curve stays inverted as rate risk lingers. However, increasingly more advisors and investors look to the potential of locking in elevated yields ahead of eventual rate cuts.

Markets will likely diminish in the near term but remain stable according to Jim Caron, CIO of the Portfolio Solutions Group at Morgan Stanley Investment Management.

“I believe we are entering into a long-form correction,” Caron, said in a May outlook. “We should expect range-bound markets for both equity prices and bond yields.”

It’s the type of environment that favors neutral portfolio positioning and creates pockets of opportunity. Within bonds, this is arguably more pronounced, given general portfolios are underweight to longer-duration exposures.

“We think the rates reset has created a good entry point for bonds,” explained Ewa Turek, executive director of the Capital Markets Group of MSIM. “Our base case remains for a soft landing which implies that default risks may remain contained.”