Morgan Stanley has pushed back against Treasury bears, saying investors should buy US sovereign debt as markets may be too optimistic over the prospect of a soft-landing for the economy.
The old playbook of selling emerging-market bonds when Treasury yields spike is being upended by the positive dynamics favoring developing-nation debt.
Emerging-market bulls are still upbeat on the asset class, even after China’s highly-touted reopening rally fizzled and proved Wall Street’s early 2023 optimism to be misplaced.
Treasury bills maturing in the first half of June rallied as trading resumed following the Memorial Day holiday after a deal to lift the debt ceiling eased concern over the prospect of a calamitous US default.
Treasuries fell across the curve and the dollar strengthened against most of its major peers after Federal Reserve Governor Christoper Waller pushed back on bets the US central bank was nearing the end of its hiking cycle, while traders were also on alert for a scheduled appearance by his colleague Lael Brainard.
The bond market’s age-old measure of growth is flashing an ominous warning as the world’s central banks move closer to boosting interest rates from near record lows.
Australia’s smallest pension funds are being forced into survival mode as increased regulatory scrutiny on fees and investment performance in the country’s A$3.1 trillion ($2.3 trillion) superannuation industry makes mergers all the more likely.
Women face a disproportionate risk of losing their jobs as a result of the pandemic.