Michael Grant, SVP, Senior Portfolio Manager, provides his long-range view of equities. To learn more visit: http://bit.ly/AskPM-PLS
Michael Grant says 2019 could be the broad topping year for equities. He and his team are monitoring two real risks: the end of the expansion and competition of other asset classes. To learn more visit: http://bit.ly/AskPM-PLS
Michael Grant, SVP, Senior Portfolio Manager, reflects on the emergence of stable, synchronized global GDP growth that enabled equities to perform well in 2017. To learn more visit: http://bit.ly/AskPM-PLS
Michael Grant, SVP, Senior Portfolio Manager, says the days of information as an investor’s edge are over. Good decisions, not good information, are what counts now. To learn more visit: http://bit.ly/AskPM-PLS
Michael Grant, SVP, Senior Portfolio Manager, says the team has the flexibility “to play whatever hand the market deals us.” To learn more visit: http://bit.ly/AskPM-PLS
Michael Grant, SVP, Senior PM, describes the appeal of long/short equity: to act like a long-only investor when the environment is favorable and yet to have the flexibility to preserve capital when the environment turns. To learn more visit: http://bit.ly/AskPM-PLS
Nick Niziolek, Co-CIO, Head of International and Global Strategies and Senior Co-Portfolio Manager, provides the backstory on the 2008 inception of Calamos Evolving World Growth Fund (CNWIX). To learn more visit: http://bit.ly/AskPM-Intl
Nick Niziolek, Co-CIO, Head of International and Global Strategies and Senior Co-Portfolio Manager, elaborates on how technologies are disrupting financial services—a development known as FinTech. To learn more visit: http://bit.ly/AskPM-Intl
Emerging markets in January 2018 look attractive based on their fundamentals, relative valuations, liquidity and relative strength, explains Nick Niziolek, Co-CIO, Head of International and Global Strategies and Sr. Co-PM. To learn more visit: http://bit.ly/AskPM-Intl
Robotics and automation solutions are being adopted by emerging economies eager to boost their productivity while controlling their expenses, says Nick Niziolek, Co-CIO, Head of International and Global Strategies and Senior Co-PM. To learn more visit: http://bit.ly/AskPM-Intl
Nick Niziolek, Co-CIO, Head of International and Global Strategies and Sr. Co-PM, describes the three tailwinds—the weak U.S. dollar, global synchronized growth and relative valuations—underlying Calamos’ positive view. To learn more visit: http://bit.ly/AskPM-Intl
Our current positioning reflects the following beliefs: Many of 2017’s positive economic tailwinds should continue in 2018, setting the stage for additional upside in stocks and other equity-sensitive assets, including convertible securities and high yield bonds.
Heading into 2018, we remain positive on global equities and believe the outperformance of international risk assets can continue. In the years following the Global Financial Crisis, uneven global growth created headwinds for risk assets outside the US. Typically, one or two regions would show improvement, while other regions decelerated.
2017 is the first post-crisis year that markets are enjoying the fundamentals of stable and synchronous global GDP. This is why the character of equity returns has become less volatile. Equities are taking their lead from the earnings cycle. As long as the year-over-year growth in sales and earnings is improving—which has been true since Q1 2017—market corrections are typically modest.
We see a strong case for convertible securities at this point in the market cycle along with our expectations going forward.
The Fed just gave us its wish list in a best-case scenario. But as the saying goes, if wishes were horses, beggars would ride. In short, Chair Yellen’s remarks, while detailed, are largely theoretical and dependent on many variables that may or may not happen. It would be wrong to assume that a bear market in bonds is a foregone conclusion.
As interest rates rise, it’s that time in the cycle when many advisors are turning to convertibles for shorter-term tactical overweights. Convertible bonds, which combine characteristics of stocks and traditional fixed-income securities, have historically outperformed fixed income during periods of rising interest rates.
During the first quarter, global issuance was a very healthy $24.3 billion, the strongest quarter in nearly two years. U.S. issuers led, bringing $13.0 billion to market, followed by Europe at $7.6 billion. Encouragingly, nearly all U.S. issuance was in the form of convertible bonds.
The proliferation of liquid alternative mutual funds happened in response to the 2008-2009 recession, which was followed by an extended period of unusually low interest rates.
“There are decades where nothing happens; and there are weeks when decades happen.” —Vladimir Lenin The reflation move since November has been aggressive but appears more right than wrong.
The Calamos Global Equity Team explains why they view India as one of the most compelling stories in the emerging markets.
It’s important to keep a long-term perspective and remember that the markets are tremendously resilient. Just a few months ago, markets were roiled immediately following the Brexit referendum, only to come back strong within just a few days. In regard to the economy, Donald Trump’s victory echoes Brexit, and speaks to a widespread desire for change. It is my hope that the Trump administration will focus on developing fiscal policies that incentivize entrepreneurship, private sector growth and taking responsible risks with capital.
In our alternative portfolios, we have the flexibility to use a range of sophisticated strategies—bullish, neutral and bearish hedges, convertible arbitrage and covered call writing, etc. Guiding principles include taking advantage of opportunities the market presents.
Markets are once again facing a proverbial wall of worry, built of political uncertainty, populism, and fiscal and monetary policy concerns. Although the market’s ascent is not likely to be straight up (it never is), we are cautiously optimistic that the wall can be surmounted.
Over the 12 months to mid-2016, global equities witnessed abnormal volatility driven by both macro and micro concerns. This reflected a more complex investment setting.
Today’s post continues our series on how economic reforms provide catalysts for growth in emerging markets, such as India, Thailand and the Philippines. Below we consider Indonesia, where a tax amnesty program, cabinet reshuffle, and a range of other reform policies create tailwinds for growth