Looking into 2024, we believe the market’s expectation of a global easing in liquidity could be an incremental tailwind to EM debt’s 2023 resilience—over and above the persistent spread premium we see in EM corporate debt.
Two seasoned investment professionals bring us up to date on the intersection of commercial real estate and bank lending.
Municipal Bond Strategist Jim Grabovac looks at how the municipal bond market wrapped up 2023 and shares his expectations for the year ahead.
Craig Burelle sets the stage for our Sector Outlook blog series with his views on the macro backdrop in 2024.
Biodiversity is an emerging, and increasingly important, issue for managers to consider in investment management.
To date, we have found that due to limited data, tools and knowledge, the integration of biodiversity factors in investment research remains limited. Within the investment community, calls are growing to measure the impact and dependencies on biodiversity in portfolios. Market participants appear to be recognizing the importance and magnitude of potential risks and opportunities at play.
Senior Investment Analyst Ashley Fritz addresses three major misconceptions around ESG investing in the EM corporate space.
Michael Gladchun, Associate Portfolio Manager, estimates underlying core PCE is already running at or near a 2% annualized inflation rate, and he sees progress ongoing if imbalances continue to normalize.
We believe the US economy is late in the credit cycle as US Treasury bond yields move to highs not seen since 2007.
Housing affordability has been stretched thin across the United States. Joe Prestamer and Michelle Luu discuss some of the ways municipalities are tackling this complex issue.
Credit Research Analysts Greg Schantz and Julian Wellesley dive into why they favor European banks vs US banks and why they see a potential opportunity in Yankee bank bonds.
Despite some improvements in corporate health, Global Macro Strategist Craig Burelle shares why he thinks companies are likely to experience more pain in the months to come.
Fitch Ratings has downgraded the long-term rating of US Treasurys from AAA to AA+. Chief Economist Brian Horrigan shares his take on Fitch’s reasoning and highlights key differences between this event and the S&P downgrade of 2011.
Loomis Sayles' Private Credit Group discusses how issuance in the private credit markets bucked the trend and maintained typical levels in the first half of the year.
With several EM countries facing elections in the next 12 months, Eric Spencer, Senior Research Analyst on Loomis Sayles' Global Emerging Markets Equity team, weighs in on potential risks and opportunities.
What's next for global growth? Our Macro Strategies team shares a regional breakdown of their growth expectations across the globe.
Cities and states may have their work cut out for them as they explore solutions to preserve their commercial tax bases and maintain the vibrancy of their downtowns.
Rising interest costs have sparked speculation about whether companies with loan-only capital structures might be vulnerable. Investment Director Cheryl Stober puts rising interest costs, debt service capacity and capital structures into context.
Markets will likely get increasingly unsettled as the X-date approaches without resolution. Congress has about four weeks to hatch a deal. Chief Economist Brian Horrigan looks at five possible scenarios and relates important considerations for each.
Investment Strategist Devon McKenna believes intermediate-maturity corporate bonds can offer a fresh value proposition that may help defend the segment against rallying rates and widening spreads.
Pricing power and profit margins showed signs of stabilizing in the first quarter. But a survey of Loomis Sayles’ credit analysts leads us to believe the bottom in corporate fundamentals is yet to come.
Oftentimes, tighter monetary policy exposes financial excesses and pockets of risk within an economy. In the current late-cycle environment, this may be the case.
Senior Fixed Income Analyst Bedford Lydon shares three factors that may affect states' creditworthiness in a downturn.
It’s been—to put it mildly—an interesting time in the US Treasury market.
Senior Sovereign Analyst Jon Levy shares his analysis of the European Central Bank’s plans to unwind its largest quantitative policy measure, how it could affect markets and how it compares to previous policy changes.
One year after the invasion, Senior Sovereign Analyst Hassan Malik looks at the state of affairs in the Russia-Ukraine war and what has (and hasn't) changed.
The Loomis Sayles Mortgage & Structured Finance Sector Team shares insights on consumers, real estate markets and more.
A plunge in pricing power was one of the most notable developments we found in our latest quarterly survey of our credit analysts, who follow more than two dozen industries.
The Loomis Sayles Investment Grade Sector Team shares their expectations for the IG corporate bond market in 2023.
The Loomis Sayles Emerging Markets Debt Sector Team shares their views on growth, corporate defaults and inflation.
The Loomis Sayles Global Credit Sector Team discusses rate volatility, possibly deteriorating credit fundamentals and key technicals at play in the market.
Investment Director Cheryl Stober shares her team’s expectations for defaults, risks and opportunities in bank loans.
The Loomis Sayles High Yield Sector Team shares their expectations for spreads, defaults and trends in the high yield market.
Municipal Bond Strategist Jim Grabovac shares his views on outflows, trends and opportunities in the municipal sector.
Craig Burelle sets the stage for our Sector Teams' Outlook blog series with his views on the macro backdrop in 2023.
As the second-largest economy in the world, China’s reopening has important economic and market implications. Here are some key considerations.
The US has had 12 recessions since 1945. Chief Economist Brian Horrigan contemplates the potential for unlucky #13.
Our survey on corporate health in the third quarter painted a picture of an economy in transition. Even as some key fundamentals showed a marked deterioration from the previous quarter, others, notably the outlook for corporate credit, displayed surprising resilience.
Does it matter who wins the Senate? It matters a great deal. Read our latest blog regarding midterm elections.
You might be surprised to learn that despite the devastation, we do not expect Hurricane Ian to have a material credit impact in Florida.
Senior Sovereign Analyst Jon Levy tackles three big questions on the Bank of England's recent operations.
The global economy appears to be headed for a downturn and we believe the clock is ticking on the US cycle as well.
Senior Sovereign Analyst Jon Levy looks at this week’s rate and currency shocks in the UK and shares what he believes is a root of the problem.
As the Federal Reserve raises rates in an effort to stifle inflation, what are the implications for US mortgage holders?
The aftershocks of Europe's gas crisis could shape asset prices in a dynamic manner for years to come – both in Europe and globally.
So many critical economic and market developments this year can be traced back in one way or another to the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
You might think these headwinds would be broadly negative for EM debt, but we see bright spots within the EM sovereign and corporate landscape.
Corporate fundamentals have been deteriorating in the US. Over the past six months we have seen meaningful erosion in profit margins, pricing power and the outlook for credit.
Concerns regarding inflation are almost everywhere you look—unless you happen to be looking at the Treasury bond market.
