Senior Sovereign Analyst Jon Levy shares his analysis of the European Central Bank’s plans to unwind its largest quantitative policy measure, how it could affect markets and how it compares to previous policy changes.
One year after the invasion, Senior Sovereign Analyst Hassan Malik looks at the state of affairs in the Russia-Ukraine war and what has (and hasn't) changed.
The Loomis Sayles Mortgage & Structured Finance Sector Team shares insights on consumers, real estate markets and more.
A plunge in pricing power was one of the most notable developments we found in our latest quarterly survey of our credit analysts, who follow more than two dozen industries.
The Loomis Sayles Investment Grade Sector Team shares their expectations for the IG corporate bond market in 2023.
The Loomis Sayles Emerging Markets Debt Sector Team shares their views on growth, corporate defaults and inflation.
The Loomis Sayles Global Credit Sector Team discusses rate volatility, possibly deteriorating credit fundamentals and key technicals at play in the market.
Investment Director Cheryl Stober shares her team’s expectations for defaults, risks and opportunities in bank loans.
The Loomis Sayles High Yield Sector Team shares their expectations for spreads, defaults and trends in the high yield market.
Municipal Bond Strategist Jim Grabovac shares his views on outflows, trends and opportunities in the municipal sector.
Craig Burelle sets the stage for our Sector Teams' Outlook blog series with his views on the macro backdrop in 2023.
As the second-largest economy in the world, China’s reopening has important economic and market implications. Here are some key considerations.
What's next for global growth? Our Macro Strategies team shares a regional breakdown of their growth expectations across the globe.
The US has had 12 recessions since 1945. Chief Economist Brian Horrigan contemplates the potential for unlucky #13.
Our survey on corporate health in the third quarter painted a picture of an economy in transition. Even as some key fundamentals showed a marked deterioration from the previous quarter, others, notably the outlook for corporate credit, displayed surprising resilience.
Does it matter who wins the Senate? It matters a great deal. Read our latest blog regarding midterm elections.
You might be surprised to learn that despite the devastation, we do not expect Hurricane Ian to have a material credit impact in Florida.
Senior Sovereign Analyst Jon Levy tackles three big questions on the Bank of England's recent operations.
The global economy appears to be headed for a downturn and we believe the clock is ticking on the US cycle as well.
Senior Sovereign Analyst Jon Levy looks at this week’s rate and currency shocks in the UK and shares what he believes is a root of the problem.
As the Federal Reserve raises rates in an effort to stifle inflation, what are the implications for US mortgage holders?
The aftershocks of Europe's gas crisis could shape asset prices in a dynamic manner for years to come – both in Europe and globally.
So many critical economic and market developments this year can be traced back in one way or another to the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
You might think these headwinds would be broadly negative for EM debt, but we see bright spots within the EM sovereign and corporate landscape.
Corporate fundamentals have been deteriorating in the US. Over the past six months we have seen meaningful erosion in profit margins, pricing power and the outlook for credit.
Concerns regarding inflation are almost everywhere you look—unless you happen to be looking at the Treasury bond market.
Exceptional circumstances roiled the loan market in the first half. It's impossible to say what will happen next, but the loan market's floating-rate feature could offer value in multiple scenarios versus other fixed income assets.
Municipal bond issuers are often linked to tangible, physical assets directly exposed to the effects of climate change.
The current spread differential between European and US corporate spreads have us considering a shift in our thinking.
The business press sometimes likes to say that a recession is a decline of real GDP lasting at least two consecutive quarters. Not so.
We think the housing sector should hold steady with good structural trends, a potentially bad environment for housing bargains and a scenario for prolonged inflation.
Recent G-7 discussions about imposing caps on the price of Russian oil and gas have led to some head-scratching.
With consumer behavior under a magnifying glass, Portfolio Manager Jennifer Thomas, shares her assessment of the US consumer.
Senior Sovereign Analyst Jon Levy answers some key questions about the European Central Bank's latest moves.
The Federal Open Market Committee’s announcement of a 75-basis-point (bp) rate hike on June 15 revealed a shift in the Fed’s thinking.
US dollar cycles last an average of six to nine years, and we are approaching the tenth year of this dollar bull market.
A historic shift in central bank policy is currently underway. The implications of this change are likely to be varied and in some instances substantial.
As investors navigate an uncertain future after QE, the past may be their best guide.
Go around the world in one blog post; Loomis Sayles' Macro Strategies Group shares a visual snapshot of its GDP growth expectations for the months ahead.
The recent surge in interest rates and inflation has put the record strength in housing under a microscope.
Senior Global Equity Opportunities Analyst Julian Wellesley looks at the progress banks have made in disclosing their climate risks and how they could still improve.
Though we are wary of suggesting that “it’s different this time,” we see reasons to believe the most recent yield curve inversion doesn't signal imminent recession
With inflation and growth pressures in abundance, consider TIPS.
A look at the recent shift in bank loan and high yield bond correlations and why it matters for fixed income investors.
How might China manage its strategic relationships with Russia and the West as the war continues? Senior Sovereign Analyst Bo Zhuang shares his views through the lens of President Xi Jinping’s agenda.
Senior Sovereign Analyst Gregory Hadjian and Alpha Strategies Portfolio Managers Andrea DiCenso and Peter Yanulis consider the potential opportunity offered in local EM debt markets.
Last week, we outlined three possible scenarios for the Russia-Ukraine conflict and their implications for financial markets. Unfortunately, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has made the full invasion scenario a reality.
Loomis Sayles' Macro Strategies Group looks at three scenarios for the Russia-Ukraine conflict and how those outcomes could impact financial markets.
Senior Sovereign Analyst Hassan Malik explains why he believes Russia’s role in the global supply chain gives it enormous economic leverage over the West.
