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As I write this, in early July of 2016, three months has passed since the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL) issued its Final Rules applying fiduciary status to providers of investments to nearly all investors in 401(k) plans, other ERISA qualified retirement plans and IRAs. And only nine months remain until most of the substance of the rules (i.e., the imposition of fiduciary standards) takes place, on April 10, 2017.
In this article, I describe how the landscape is evolving. Specifically, I address the likelihood of the core provisions actually being implemented on April 10, 2017.
Several challenges might thwart or delay their implementation. Chances are far greater than 50/50 that most of the DOL Rules will go into effect on April 10, 2017. While there is some chance that a few aspects of the rule could be delayed by litigation, the march toward fiduciary status for all providers of investment advice to ERISA-covered retirement plans and IRAs is strong.
Congress
The U.S. Congress will likely vote a few more times on legislation to stop the DOL rule-making prior to the presidential elections, but any legislation passed by both houses won't survive the veto process.
Presidential election
One renowned pollster gives Trump a 22% chance of winning the presidential election, based on poll data as of July 5, 2016. Given the apparent divisions in the Republican Party, the lack of funding for Trump's campaign, its lack of organization and the electoral map, there is not much hope for those opposed to the DOL fiduciary rules.
(Note: Even if a Republican assumes the presidency in 2017, it remains unclear how fast the DOL fiduciary rules could be repealed and replaced with new rules – various statutes require extensive times for rule-making processes.)
Litigation
Several insurance-company lobbying groups and SIFMA have filed suits. After consolidation, three suits remain:
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D.C. Circuit: National Association for Fixed Annuities (NAFA).This suit focuses on fixed-indexed annuities (FIAs). Briefs are being submitted in July and early August. Oral argument will take place in August. A decision on the injunctive relief sought is expected by September. Any decision would likely affect only equity-indexed annuities and the applicability of the Best Interests Contract Exemption (BICE) to them (as opposed to their earlier inclusion under the more liberal 84-24 exemption). Some of the arguments advanced by the insurance industry in this suit seem without merit; others will depend upon a review of the DOL's cost-benefit analysis, as applied to FIAs.
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Chance of insurance industry prevailing: Anything is possible in litigation. But, chances are less than 50/50 that NAFA will prevail.
- While the inclusion of FIAs under BICE was said to be a "surprise," several comments during the rule’s review process suggested applying BICE to FIAs, and the press reported in the fall of 2015 that FIAs might fall under BICE.
- Despite claims in the lawsuit that BICE is "unworkable," many insurance companies and independent marketing organizations in the insurance industry have already indicated that they are adapting to the DOL rule. Meetings at the DOL have discussed "private exemptions" for independent marketing organizations permitting them to become "Financial Institutions," and the ways insurance companies themselves can operate as "Financial Institutions."
- Also, new and lower-cost FIAs are already emerging, indicating that a delay in applying the rule would likely harm consumers.
- Granting the injunction could result in the inapplicability of the Impartial Conduct Standards to FIAs, which is counter to the desire expressed by many commentators that Impartial Conduct Standards be applied in the same manner, and with the same language, across the various rules.
- "Reasonable compensation" is already required under 84-24. This will likely be subject to increased litigation, as well as greater enforcement actions. In fact, it will be very, very difficult to justify many of the pre-Final Rule commission schedules for FIAs, particularly for larger transactions.
- Under the Impartial Conduct Standards, products will be forced to compete on their merits – returns, risks and the value of their features – rather than on the basis of how much commissions they pay out.
- Some insurers are likely to roll out new FIAs with lower commission payouts, for use under the Best Interests Contract Exemption.
- Look for one or more insurance companies to begin to offer "no-load" FIAs, with "level fee" or very low percentage mortality fees, with few (if any) riders.
- Advisers will have to undertake a tremendous amount of due diligence before selecting the "best" product (apply a prudent process and exercise good judgment during that process). As the DOL stated, in describing the Impartial Conduct Standards' requirements: "Under this standard, for example, an investment advice fiduciary, in choosing between two investments, could not select an investment because it is better for the investment advice fiduciary’s bottom line."
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Kansas Circuit Court: Market Synergy Group. The issues posed are nearly identical to those seen in the D.C. litigation.
Here's a summary of the case, as provided in a joint motion recently filed with the court: "The rule and amendment to PTE 84-24, which become applicable on April 10, 2017, will require fiduciaries providing investment advice concerning fixed indexed annuities to rely on the BIC Exemption, if they wish to engage in certain prohibited transactions, rather than PTE 84-24. Plaintiff filed suit on June 8, 2016, challenging the amendment of PTE 84-24 under the Administrative Procedure Act (“APA”). On June 17, 2016, plaintiff filed a motion to preliminarily enjoin the Department from implementing the amendment to and partial revocation of PTE 84-24 such that PTE 84-24 as it existed prior to the amendment and partial revocation will remain in effect during the litigation’s pendency."
In early July 2016 the parties filed a joint motion for scheduling, which would lead to oral arguments sometime in August.
- Chance of insurance industry prevailing: Less than 50/50. See discussion above, relating to D.C. Circuit litigation.
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Impact if Market Synergy prevails: See discussion previously, relating to D.C. Circuit litigation.
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Texas Consolidated Cases – Chamber of Commerce, FSI and SIFMA. The issues posed in this case are far more numerous and are more pertinent to broker-dealer firms' concerns. Most of the issues are technical, relating to the DOL's authority, whether the DOL followed correct procedures in adopting the rule and even some Constitutional "free speech" arguments.
Despite the complexity of the case, a schedule has already been adopted for the submission of briefs from late July through October. Oral argument has been scheduled for November 17th. Expect a decision by December
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Chance of securities industry prevailing on any argument advanced: Less than 25%.
- The DOL did a huge economic analysis before promulgating the rule, had a re-proposal of the rule, extended periods of time for receipt of comments and held lengthy hearings. The securities industry's arguments are grasping at straws. In fact, many of the larger broker-dealers don't support the litigation.
- Even if the securities industry prevails, it would likely only be partially. It is entirely possible that the securities industry could strike one or more requirements of BICE, while other aspects of BICE (including the Impartial Conduct Standards, discussed above) and the application of fiduciary status could remain.
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Impact – If the securities industry prevails: It would be "back to the drawing board" for the DOL. With a change of administrations, if a Democrat is elected president, expect a revised proposed rule in 2018 with an effective date in 2019, although delays to this schedule would be possible.
Conclusion
The implementation of the DOL's fiduciary rules on April 10, 2017 is highly likely. The application of the DOL's fiduciary rules to fixed indexed annuities is slightly less certain, but any loss by the DOL in that arena would be only temporary.
Ron A. Rhoades is Director of the Financial Planning Program at Western Kentucky University’s Gordon Ford College of Business. He is a frequent speaker on fiduciary duties, including procedures for handling conflicts of interest and due diligence. He may be contacted at [email protected].
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