As investors seek new sources of income beyond traditional fixed income, derivative-based strategies offer different ways to seek income from equity markets. Join ProShares Global Investment Strategist Simeon Hyman for a discussion on Autocallable Income and High Income ETFs, how these strategies work, and their potential roles in advisor portfolios.
Markets don’t sleep over the holidays, but they do slow down. Historical trading patterns show consistent liquidity shifts from late November through early January.
While AI infrastructure demand remains a key earnings driver, selective stock picking is essential as elevated valuations and profitability concerns prompt a broader leadership rotation in global equities.
Vanguard has expanded its active fixed income lineup with the launch of the Vanguard Emerging Markets Bond Active ETF (VEMB), bringing institutional-caliber emerging market debt management into a low-cost ETF wrapper. The new fund enters the emerging markets bond ETF category that holds roughly $32.7 billion across 19 funds.
US equities edged lower Friday as investors continue to digest the impact of a global software outage at Microsoft Corp. and turmoil at Nvidia Corp., even as wholesale inflation data helped ease fears of an outsized interest-rate hike.
Alternatives ETFs: While not necessarily as exciting as they may have been, there is much to be said for one of the more innovative ETF segments. The top alternatives ETFs offer strategies blending hedge fund ideas and quantitative tools, adaptability for downturn and upside chasing flexibility for booms.
Higher interest rates tend to pressure equity valuations, but the level of yields alone doesn’t tell the whole story. Historical evidence suggests that the speed and scale of rate moves matter more, which helps explain why US stocks have gotten cheaper this year—even as markets have risen.
CFOs may not manage an investment program day to day, but they remain accountable for many of the outcomes it can influence. The cost of the program, the performance it delivers and the risks it carries can all have implications for the broader organization.
Despite some wide swings over the last few years, most bond yields still remain elevated. In fact, many bond yields have risen back toward the high end of their 20-year ranges, which may be welcome news for investors who may have wondered if they had missed the opportunity to earn attractive yields.
Should we invest in artificial intelligence, and can we do so intelligently? That’s what I’m going to address in this memo.
Democrats won Congress, stocks swung hard, and history suggests the six months after an election have usually rewarded patient investors.
October’s U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data came in hotter than consensus expectations, delivering another disappointing inflation report for a Federal Reserve that has become increasingly vocal about its focus on price stability.
Options-based ETFs offer investors a powerful way to generate income while maintaining equity exposure. At VettaFi’s Market Outlook Symposium, Lili Jiang, head of ETF specialists at Invesco, sat down with Vetta Fi Senior Industry Analyst Kirsten Chang.
It’s true in both politics and investing: Performance only matters relative to expectations. For stocks, third-quarter earnings season has delivered a blended earnings growth rate of 30.2% year over year, with 60% of companies reporting.
The sudden Nvidia sell-off exposes single-stock concentration risk in S&P 500 ETFs. Discover how financial advisors can protect portfolios.
For an industry that needs to spend at least $30 billion just to build a data center that handles one gigawatt of computing power, access to financing is key.
Tax-loss harvesting has turbocharged the growth of municipal-bond exchange traded funds in 2026 at the expense of open-end mutual funds, which may lose much of those assets for good, according to Vanguard Group.
For many investors, the allocation to fixed income is intended to be the ballast of the portfolio with a primary objective of preserving wealth. Investment-grade bonds, which are those with ratings of Baa3/BBB- or higher, typically make up most, if not all, of many fixed income allocations.
High-interest areas like cryptocurrencies and AI-related stocks have faced renewed volatility following the midterm elections, while the recent investigation into Nvidia Corporation (NVDA) has introduced additional unexpected uncertainty for the technology sector and broader equity markets.
El Niño is a climate phenomenon, but its effects transcend the weather map. Driving wide shifts in rainfall and temperature, it can disrupt everything from agriculture to monetary policy, ultimately affecting companies, sovereign issuers and asset prices.
The AI boom is reshaping the U.S. economy in ways that are becoming increasingly difficult to separate from the broader macroeconomic outlook. The race to build AI infrastructure has fueled a surge in imports of semiconductors, servers, and other computing equipment, while data center construction has become an increasingly important source of business investment.
Our Director and Senior Portfolio Manager Alex Cousley sees last week's sharp equity sell-off as a test of market sentiment, with the U.S. midterm elections raising new questions about the outlook for AI infrastructure investment.
The US midterm elections have brought about a major political realignment, with the Democratic Party taking decisive control of both the House and the Senate. What are the most likely implications for the economic outlook and financial markets?
The greatest investment risk at the moment is the inclination to confuse the length of time a bubble has persisted with proof that a bubble does not exist.
An advisor doesn’t have to wait for an owner to announce an exit. They can begin with existing clients, bring the business into the financial plan, and start a conversation most other professionals are not positioned to lead.
US stock futures are rising Wednesday as better-than-expected results from Coreweave Inc., anticipation of Anthropic PBC’s initial public offering and a blockbuster quarter for OpenAI are reviving the AI trade.
Anthropic’s backers were reportedly seeking a $2 trillion valuation for the forthcoming listing back in August. The market backdrop is very different today. Rising interest rates and a potential US policy shift on data centers following the midterm elections have pummeled tech valuations.
Voters sent a clear message about data centers on Tuesday. We take it seriously. But data centers are one node in a larger AI-infrastructure build: chips, networks, power, cooling, sites and the capital that funds them. We have to look past the heavy rhetoric to what the policy can actually do.
Dividend ETFs have long been an investor favorite for their unique defensive flavor and total-return profile in the face of sticky inflation, rising interest rates, and volatile markets. While bonds may struggle with price erosion in rising rate cycles, and growth equities may face valuation compression, dividend stocks can offer resilience through cash flow and lower equity duration.
The U.S. midterm election results could slow the AI buildout and near-term issuance but are unlikely to materially reduce its ultimate scale or financing needs. The pace of supply may slow, but concentration risk is unlikely to dissipate, reinforcing the case for diversification into high quality securitized products and emerging markets (EM).
In a week that once again featured solid economic data, stocks faltered as investors continued to question the sustainability of the AI boom.
Despite some volatility caused by the midterm elections last week, mega-cap cash flows remain resilient, earnings continue to come in better-than-expected, and corporate balance sheets remain fundamentally sound even as late-cycle pressures emerge.
Families often put it off. Talking about money with aging parents touches on mortality, independence, and family dynamics. A financial advisor may already have a reason to bring the family together, a record of the client's finances, and a relationship that predates the emergency. The bill for care comes either way. Families who see it coming have more say in how they meet it.
The S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average (Dow), and Nasdaq Composite are all stock market indexes used to measure the performance of various aspects of the U.S. stock market. The indexes generally rise and fall together; however, the extent of gains or losses produced by each can differ depending on market conditions and the state of the economy.
The flexibility and tax efficiency of the wrapper has helped the ETF ecosystem blossom and the strategies available evolve.
Health Savings Accounts offer Americans a tax-free way to save for medical expenses. Now, some are using them to trade stocks — and dabble in risky bets they wouldn't touch in their 401(k) or brokerage accounts.
Rafay Farooqui, CEO and Founder of SUBSCRIBE, joins Tony Davidow to discuss the future of fintech within private markets.
Let’s start with the inverse relationship between bond price and the yield. When a bond is issued, its coupon is fixed for life. The only thing that changes is the yield that new buyers demand. Let me explain.
Nominal and real yields have risen, creating some of the most attractive opportunities investors have seen in fixed income in several years. A resilient economy, higher oil prices, sticky inflation and growing worry about the deficit have all contributed to higher yields across much of the bond market.
If you’re considering changing firms in 2027, use the remainder of 2026 to establish readiness and explore a rapidly shifting economic and geopolitical landscape. Before committing, review your restrictions, confirm client-data boundaries, assess account portability, compare the economics, and determine what your next business model requires.
Tuesday’s midterms were one for the history books. Democrats won control of both the House and Senate, and they picked up governorships in Ohio, Texas and Georgia. Kansas elected a Democrat to the Senate for the first time since 1932. Our home state of Texas did so for the first time in 38 years.
Our investment teams weigh what comes next for stocks, bonds, and AI to help you explain what may come next.
You do get rewarded for pushing duration out, with a steep increase from 30 days to one year, and a more moderate — but still substantial — increment in return for going out to five years.
In this article, I explain what credit spreads are and why they matter to stock investors. I also examine what they are signaling today by reviewing key spreads across the credit curve, historical percentiles, and relative value metrics.
Hedge funds dumped technology stocks at one of the fastest paces on record last week, and the momentum crash that followed was the biggest in about 40 years. Even so, few on Wall Street are ready to call time on the AI boom.
Morgan Stanley struck a deal to buy a fintech to bring a key technical aspect of handling corporate stock plans in house, further beefing up the bank’s massive wealth-management arm.
The most important number in October’s inflation reports wasn’t the one that made the headlines. Everyone watched the Consumer Price Index print 3.7%. Far fewer noticed the Producer Price Index for final demand. It jumped 1.3% in a single month, the largest gain since March 2022, and the annual rate hit 6.3%.
The big message from the midterms is that Americans are struggling with the cost of living. In case anyone missed it, they need relief now. This will put even more attention on the Federal Reserve: Will Chair Kevin Warsh do all he can to bring down inflation or placate the White House, which wants lower interest rates?
In a recent letter to investors, Paul Singer’s Elliott Investment Management predicted a substantial bear market ahead. There might be an abrupt change from fear of missing out, or FOMO, to fear of getting obliterated, or FOGO, the $80 billion manager wrote.
The strong October nonfarm payrolls report has effectively settled the debate over what the Federal Reserve (Fed) is likely to do at its December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. We expect the Fed to raise the federal funds rate by another 25 basis points. Beyond December, however, the outlook remains far less certain. We continue to expect the Fed to remain on hold throughout 2027.
A global tech rout continues to remind investors that volatility can strike at any time. That’s especially true in today’s market environment, where stretched megacap technology valuations and broader equity indices have elevated concentration risk.
Chris Galipeau discusses high-conviction insights that go beyond media headlines.
Portfolio Manager Denny Fish explains why the market was justified in assigning a higher level of regulatory risk to the AI ecosystem after the midterm elections. But in his view, the secular strength of this theme, along with the massive bottlenecks and geopolitical implications, mean that this historic investment cycle will likely continue.
Franklin Templeton Institute’s Stephen Dover and Larry Hatheway opine on the US stock market’s recent volatility in the wake of the US midterm elections and the path forward for investors.
Traditionally speaking, when one is choosing to lean into a particular sector of the equity market, they’re going to want to lean into the one that’s offering the best performance.
The big story last week? The Federal Reserve paused despite stronger growth and persistent inflation. It was a hawkish pause, with a December hike still the base case, according to Franklin Templeton Fixed Income. Third-quarter gross domestic product showed the US economy's resilience, but also its growing dependence on artificial intelligence investment, and household purchasing power took a hit.
In recent years, getting tech exposure was easy. You bought an index fund, whether a mutual fund or an ETF, and let the biggest names carry the portfolio. Now, those names make up such a significant share of large-cap indices that advisors are getting nervous. Indeed, many are looking elsewhere for the next stretch of compounding growth typically associated with the tech sector.
Here is a look at real (inflation-adjusted) charts of the S&P 500, Dow 30, and Nasdaq composite since their 2000 highs. We've updated this through the October 2026 close.
The S&P 500 real monthly averages of daily closes reached a its all-time high in October 2026. Let's examine the past to broaden our understanding of the range of historical bull and bear market trends in market performance.
The yield on the 10-year note finished November 6, 2026 at 4.86% while the 2-year note ended at 4.51%.
The Q Ratio is the total price of the market divided by the replacement cost of all its companies. As of October 2026, the latest Q-ratio is at 2.35.
The latest employment report showed that 165,000 jobs were added in October, compared to September's 60,000 gain. This figure was significantly higher than the projected addition of 65,000 jobs. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate decreased slightly from 4.2% to 4.1%.
The unprecedented investment boom to build out the infrastructure for artificial intelligence is projected to reach more than $10 trillion, if all current plans are realized. The money is coming from many sources, including corporate cash flows, public equity and debt issuance, private debt issuance, off-balance sheet lease obligations and guarantees to AI data center developers from so-called hyperscalers and the leading chip provider, Nividia Corp.
For years, companies trying to mine or process the rare elements vital to the performance of electric vehicles, drones, medical devices, LEDs, jet engines and computer chips had to fight for every cent.
Investors are grappling with an evolving set of risks as 2026 draws to a close. The scale of the AI build-out is influencing more sectors and industries. Rising interest rates are reshaping market dynamics as inflation threats linger.
A stock trading at half its former price is not necessarily a bargain. Perhaps its earnings power has halved or its balance sheet can no longer support the business. Maybe its generous dividend is being financed with borrowed money. A low valuation ratio tells us what we are paying relative to one measure of fundamentals. It does not, by itself, tell us what the business is worth or whether those fundamentals will endure.
The 2026 midterms may have changed Washington, but they haven’t changed the macro regime. Tariffs, geopolitics, and deficits remain key forces for investors.
Amid a rapidly changing world, where China’s rise as an industrial powerhouse has nations around the globe on alert, we believe that American reindustrialization will be an important driver of investment returns in the decade ahead.
Municipal bonds posted their best month since 2023. See how high-yield muni ETFs help advisors capitalize on the municipal market recovery.
On the surface, financial conditions appear to be easing: the FOMC held rates steady last week, and Treasury yields have retreated from their recent highs. But that rally reflects a flight to safety, driven by growing questions about the durability and financing of the AI investment cycle.
Agility Robotics Inc. is set to become the first dedicated humanoid company to go public in the US, marking a major milestone for the emerging category that still has a lot to prove.
US equities plunged Thursday as a rotation out of chipmakers deepened and investors looked past the initial relief rally following the US midterm elections.
The push by regulators to launch digital versions of US stocks is a rush job that risks introducing crypto-like dangers into the equity market with few benefits. Hopefully, a rebalanced Congress with senators who are less in thrall to the industry can block this move, or at least press for stronger guardrails.
October reminded investors that markets rarely move in response to a single factor. The US economy continued to expand at a moderate pace, supported by healthy consumer spending and solid business activity, even as markets contended with higher energy prices, renewed inflation concerns and heightened geopolitical tensions.
Notwithstanding that the major U.S. equity indexes are sitting on healthy double-digit gains heading into the final two months of 2026, the calm at the index level belies a lot of churn and rotation underneath.
Taken together, these trends point to a healthier, broader economic backdrop than the AI-driven narrative alone would suggest. For us as investors, it reinforces the case for individual, fundamental stockpicking over simply riding the AI wave. There's more supporting this market than one theme, and that breadth matters for how we position portfolios.
Equity markets are caught between tighter liquidity conditions and increased geopolitical uncertainty on the one hand, and solid economic growth and corporate earnings on the other. We have consequently reduced our exposure to stocks leading into year end.
Following the U.S. midterm elections, investors will naturally focus on what the results mean for fiscal policy, geopolitics, and the regulatory outlook. But there’s another more immediate way the midterms have already mattered for the economy: The campaigns themselves have provided a meaningful boost to U.S. growth.
As investor interest in Anthropic’s upcoming IPO grows, ETFs are finding new ways to offer exposure to private companies through derivatives tied to perpetual futures. Recent regulatory developments could accelerate the use of these instruments across the ETF industry, but they also introduce new risks and complexities.
Choosing the advisor who will represent you in the market is not an administrative step; it shapes every stage of the transaction that follows. For many founders, it is the first major decision in the sale process and can influence the ultimate outcome as much as any term negotiated at the closing table.
While US midterm election results historically bode well for stocks regardless of which party wins, some Wall Street strategists are warning clients to temper their bullishness this time around.
One concern raised by the recent backup in rates is whether CRE is about to relive the stress of 2023, when depressed post-pandemic office demand coincided with rising rates and a regional bank crisis, including Silicon Valley Bank and First Republic Bank. The selloff in public REITs suggests investors are repricing property values for a higher-rate world.
Elevated Treasury yields have created attractive income opportunities across the fixed income markets. Corporate and municipal bonds offer additional yield opportunities, while positively sloped yield curves provide investors with further motivations to extend maturities. For many investors, the opportunity to capture higher income and lock it in for longer periods has renewed interest in exploring bond swaps.
Sometimes the best lessons are the simplest ones, and right now, the market is offering a good old-fashioned lesson on the benefits of diversification. Stay invested, stay diversified, and stick to your financial plan.
We expect the rotation to continue. The earnings bar is high—very high. Any minor misstep has led to punishment, which has led to rotation. Rotation is not a bad thing, and if you are running a diversified equity portfolio, you should be in good shape.
From earlier detection and more precise treatments to smarter medical technology, the healthcare sector continues to reinvent products that improve and save lives. Yet healthcare stocks have struggled to reflect that progress, overshadowed in recent years by investor enthusiasm for AI beneficiaries.
The 10-year Treasury yield has experienced dramatic fluctuations, ranging from a peak of 15.68% in October 1981, during the height of the Volcker era, to a historic low of 0.55% in August 2020, amidst the economic uncertainty of the pandemic. At the end of October 2026, the weekly average stood at 4.99%.
Election Day has markets watching how divided Washington will be over the coming two years. Jeff Schulze shares insights for investors based on different potential outcomes.
While market valuations remain on the loftier side, investors face a familiar dilemma. Chasing pure growth leaves portfolios vulnerable to sharp drawdowns, while hiding in traditional “deep value” risks inheriting mature businesses in structural decline — classic value traps.
The broad markets experienced volatility in the 3rd quarter with concerns over the impact of energy prices on inflation as well as CapEx spending by hyperscaler companies in the AI space driving technology stocks. The price of WTI Crude oil rallied sharply during the quarter by nearly 30%.
Mutual Funds
Beyond Traditional Income: Exploring Autocallable and High Income ETFs
As investors seek new sources of income beyond traditional fixed income, derivative-based strategies offer different ways to seek income from equity markets. Join ProShares Global Investment Strategist Simeon Hyman for a discussion on Autocallable Income and High Income ETFs, how these strategies work, and their potential roles in advisor portfolios.
The Holiday Trading Effect: Timing, Liquidity and Investor Impact
Markets don’t sleep over the holidays, but they do slow down. Historical trading patterns show consistent liquidity shifts from late November through early January.
Beyond the Chips—Powering the AI Revolution
While AI infrastructure demand remains a key earnings driver, selective stock picking is essential as elevated valuations and profitability concerns prompt a broader leadership rotation in global equities.
Vanguard Launches Low-Cost Active Emerging Markets Bond ETF
Vanguard has expanded its active fixed income lineup with the launch of the Vanguard Emerging Markets Bond Active ETF (VEMB), bringing institutional-caliber emerging market debt management into a low-cost ETF wrapper. The new fund enters the emerging markets bond ETF category that holds roughly $32.7 billion across 19 funds.
US Stocks Fall as Tech Concerns Linger Despite Rates Relief
US equities edged lower Friday as investors continue to digest the impact of a global software outage at Microsoft Corp. and turmoil at Nvidia Corp., even as wholesale inflation data helped ease fears of an outsized interest-rate hike.
IALT vs. DBMF: What the Top Alternatives ETFs Can Do for Portfolios
Alternatives ETFs: While not necessarily as exciting as they may have been, there is much to be said for one of the more innovative ETF segments. The top alternatives ETFs offer strategies blending hedge fund ideas and quantitative tools, adaptability for downturn and upside chasing flexibility for booms.
Speed Bumps? How Rate Spikes Shape US Stock Valuations
Higher interest rates tend to pressure equity valuations, but the level of yields alone doesn’t tell the whole story. Historical evidence suggests that the speed and scale of rate moves matter more, which helps explain why US stocks have gotten cheaper this year—even as markets have risen.
Three Questions CFOs Should Ask About Their Investment Program
CFOs may not manage an investment program day to day, but they remain accountable for many of the outcomes it can influence. The cost of the program, the performance it delivers and the risks it carries can all have implications for the broader organization.
How to Build a Bond Portfolio
Despite some wide swings over the last few years, most bond yields still remain elevated. In fact, many bond yields have risen back toward the high end of their 20-year ranges, which may be welcome news for investors who may have wondered if they had missed the opportunity to earn attractive yields.
A Layman Thinks About AI
Should we invest in artificial intelligence, and can we do so intelligently? That’s what I’m going to address in this memo.
Election Noise, Steady Fundamentals
Democrats won Congress, stocks swung hard, and history suggests the six months after an election have usually rewarded patient investors.
Inflation Is Sticky, But This Isn’t 2022 All Over Again
October’s U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data came in hotter than consensus expectations, delivering another disappointing inflation report for a Federal Reserve that has become increasingly vocal about its focus on price stability.
How Invesco Uses Options-Based ETFs to Deliver Targeted Income
Options-based ETFs offer investors a powerful way to generate income while maintaining equity exposure. At VettaFi’s Market Outlook Symposium, Lili Jiang, head of ETF specialists at Invesco, sat down with Vetta Fi Senior Industry Analyst Kirsten Chang.
After the Midterms: High Expectations and “Good Gridlock”
It’s true in both politics and investing: Performance only matters relative to expectations. For stocks, third-quarter earnings season has delivered a blended earnings growth rate of 30.2% year over year, with 60% of companies reporting.
Nvidia Sell-Off Highlights Single-Stock Concentration Risk for Advisors
The sudden Nvidia sell-off exposes single-stock concentration risk in S&P 500 ETFs. Discover how financial advisors can protect portfolios.
Forget Nvidia. Anthropic Is the AI Trade’s Litmus Test
For an industry that needs to spend at least $30 billion just to build a data center that handles one gigawatt of computing power, access to financing is key.
Vanguard Says Tax-Loss Inflows to Muni ETFs Likely to Stick
Tax-loss harvesting has turbocharged the growth of municipal-bond exchange traded funds in 2026 at the expense of open-end mutual funds, which may lose much of those assets for good, according to Vanguard Group.
Quality Check-in
For many investors, the allocation to fixed income is intended to be the ballast of the portfolio with a primary objective of preserving wealth. Investment-grade bonds, which are those with ratings of Baa3/BBB- or higher, typically make up most, if not all, of many fixed income allocations.
ETFs & Nvidia: Midterms, Investigations & Dip Buyers
High-interest areas like cryptocurrencies and AI-related stocks have faced renewed volatility following the midterm elections, while the recent investigation into Nvidia Corporation (NVDA) has introduced additional unexpected uncertainty for the technology sector and broader equity markets.
Super El Niño: The 30,000-Foot View for Investors
El Niño is a climate phenomenon, but its effects transcend the weather map. Driving wide shifts in rainfall and temperature, it can disrupt everything from agriculture to monetary policy, ultimately affecting companies, sovereign issuers and asset prices.
Retain Your Focus on Economic Fundamentals
The AI boom is reshaping the U.S. economy in ways that are becoming increasingly difficult to separate from the broader macroeconomic outlook. The race to build AI infrastructure has fueled a surge in imports of semiconductors, servers, and other computing equipment, while data center construction has become an increasingly important source of business investment.
What’s Next for AI After the Midterm Sell-Off?
Our Director and Senior Portfolio Manager Alex Cousley sees last week's sharp equity sell-off as a test of market sentiment, with the U.S. midterm elections raising new questions about the outlook for AI infrastructure investment.
On My Mind: Out of the Blue
The US midterm elections have brought about a major political realignment, with the Democratic Party taking decisive control of both the House and the Senate. What are the most likely implications for the economic outlook and financial markets?
The Free Money Bubble
The greatest investment risk at the moment is the inclination to confuse the length of time a bubble has persisted with proof that a bubble does not exist.
The Best Exit Planning Doesn’t Start With the Exit
An advisor doesn’t have to wait for an owner to announce an exit. They can begin with existing clients, bring the business into the financial plan, and start a conversation most other professionals are not positioned to lead.
US Equity Futures Rise as AI Enthusiasm Counters Hot Inflation
US stock futures are rising Wednesday as better-than-expected results from Coreweave Inc., anticipation of Anthropic PBC’s initial public offering and a blockbuster quarter for OpenAI are reviving the AI trade.
An Anthropic IPO at $1.4 Trillion Is No Bargain
Anthropic’s backers were reportedly seeking a $2 trillion valuation for the forthcoming listing back in August. The market backdrop is very different today. Rising interest rates and a potential US policy shift on data centers following the midterm elections have pummeled tech valuations.
The Build May Get Harder. The Need Does Not Go Away.
Voters sent a clear message about data centers on Tuesday. We take it seriously. But data centers are one node in a larger AI-infrastructure build: chips, networks, power, cooling, sites and the capital that funds them. We have to look past the heavy rhetoric to what the policy can actually do.
Inside the Billions Pouring Into Dividend ETFs
Dividend ETFs have long been an investor favorite for their unique defensive flavor and total-return profile in the face of sticky inflation, rising interest rates, and volatile markets. While bonds may struggle with price erosion in rising rate cycles, and growth equities may face valuation compression, dividend stocks can offer resilience through cash flow and lower equity duration.
Where to Seek Diversification From the AI Investment Theme
The U.S. midterm election results could slow the AI buildout and near-term issuance but are unlikely to materially reduce its ultimate scale or financing needs. The pace of supply may slow, but concentration risk is unlikely to dissipate, reinforcing the case for diversification into high quality securitized products and emerging markets (EM).
AI Worries Outweigh Strong Economic Data
In a week that once again featured solid economic data, stocks faltered as investors continued to question the sustainability of the AI boom.
Earnings Breadth Hits Near-Record Highs, But Cracks Emerge at the Margins
Despite some volatility caused by the midterm elections last week, mega-cap cash flows remain resilient, earnings continue to come in better-than-expected, and corporate balance sheets remain fundamentally sound even as late-cycle pressures emerge.
The Bill for Care Comes Either Way
Families often put it off. Talking about money with aging parents touches on mortality, independence, and family dynamics. A financial advisor may already have a reason to bring the family together, a record of the client's finances, and a relationship that predates the emergency. The bill for care comes either way. Families who see it coming have more say in how they meet it.
The S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq: Real Returns Since 2000 Peak (October 2026)
The S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average (Dow), and Nasdaq Composite are all stock market indexes used to measure the performance of various aspects of the U.S. stock market. The indexes generally rise and fall together; however, the extent of gains or losses produced by each can differ depending on market conditions and the state of the economy.
ETF Roundup: October Launches Include Active, Thematic ETFs
The flexibility and tax efficiency of the wrapper has helped the ETF ecosystem blossom and the strategies available evolve.
The Hot New Place to Bet on Stocks Is a Health Savings Account
Health Savings Accounts offer Americans a tax-free way to save for medical expenses. Now, some are using them to trade stocks — and dabble in risky bets they wouldn't touch in their 401(k) or brokerage accounts.
Solving the Operational Challenges of Private Markets
Rafay Farooqui, CEO and Founder of SUBSCRIBE, joins Tony Davidow to discuss the future of fintech within private markets.
How Bonds Work: Everything You Need To Know
Let’s start with the inverse relationship between bond price and the yield. When a bond is issued, its coupon is fixed for life. The only thing that changes is the yield that new buyers demand. Let me explain.
Outlook: A Review of the Corporate, Agency and Municipal Sectors Given Tight Spreads and Record Issuance
Nominal and real yields have risen, creating some of the most attractive opportunities investors have seen in fixed income in several years. A resilient economy, higher oil prices, sticky inflation and growing worry about the deficit have all contributed to higher yields across much of the bond market.
Advisor Year-End Checklist: Prepare for a 2027 Move
If you’re considering changing firms in 2027, use the remainder of 2026 to establish readiness and explore a rapidly shifting economic and geopolitical landscape. Before committing, review your restrictions, confirm client-data boundaries, assess account portability, compare the economics, and determine what your next business model requires.
What Stocks Have Done Under a Republican President and a Democratic Congress
Tuesday’s midterms were one for the history books. Democrats won control of both the House and Senate, and they picked up governorships in Ohio, Texas and Georgia. Kansas elected a Democrat to the Senate for the first time since 1932. Our home state of Texas did so for the first time in 38 years.
After the Election: What Matters for Your Clients’ Portfolios
Our investment teams weigh what comes next for stocks, bonds, and AI to help you explain what may come next.
Do Bond Investors Get Rewarded for Taking Duration Risk? (Part 1)
You do get rewarded for pushing duration out, with a steep increase from 30 days to one year, and a more moderate — but still substantial — increment in return for going out to five years.
Credit Spreads: Calm at the Top, Concern at the Bottom
In this article, I explain what credit spreads are and why they matter to stock investors. I also examine what they are signaling today by reviewing key spreads across the credit curve, historical percentiles, and relative value metrics.
Wall Street Sticks With AI Playbook After Historic Tech Unwind
Hedge funds dumped technology stocks at one of the fastest paces on record last week, and the momentum crash that followed was the biggest in about 40 years. Even so, few on Wall Street are ready to call time on the AI boom.
Morgan Stanley to Buy Fintech Vinyl Equity in Wealth Expansion
Morgan Stanley struck a deal to buy a fintech to bring a key technical aspect of handling corporate stock plans in house, further beefing up the bank’s massive wealth-management arm.
PPI vs CPI: Are Record Profit Margins About To Get Squeezed
The most important number in October’s inflation reports wasn’t the one that made the headlines. Everyone watched the Consumer Price Index print 3.7%. Far fewer noticed the Producer Price Index for final demand. It jumped 1.3% in a single month, the largest gain since March 2022, and the annual rate hit 6.3%.
The Affordability Crisis Isn’t About Inflation
The big message from the midterms is that Americans are struggling with the cost of living. In case anyone missed it, they need relief now. This will put even more attention on the Federal Reserve: Will Chair Kevin Warsh do all he can to bring down inflation or placate the White House, which wants lower interest rates?
Hedge Fund FOGO Is Obliterating the FOMO Trade
In a recent letter to investors, Paul Singer’s Elliott Investment Management predicted a substantial bear market ahead. There might be an abrupt change from fear of missing out, or FOMO, to fear of getting obliterated, or FOGO, the $80 billion manager wrote.
Strength in Employment Settles December Rate Debate
The strong October nonfarm payrolls report has effectively settled the debate over what the Federal Reserve (Fed) is likely to do at its December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. We expect the Fed to raise the federal funds rate by another 25 basis points. Beyond December, however, the outlook remains far less certain. We continue to expect the Fed to remain on hold throughout 2027.
Seek Shelter From Tech Volatility With Real Asset ETFs
A global tech rout continues to remind investors that volatility can strike at any time. That’s especially true in today’s market environment, where stretched megacap technology valuations and broader equity indices have elevated concentration risk.
Panic at the Disco
Chris Galipeau discusses high-conviction insights that go beyond media headlines.
Quick View: An Argument for the Long View During AI Volatility
Portfolio Manager Denny Fish explains why the market was justified in assigning a higher level of regulatory risk to the AI ecosystem after the midterm elections. But in his view, the secular strength of this theme, along with the massive bottlenecks and geopolitical implications, mean that this historic investment cycle will likely continue.
The AI Selloff and Portfolio Implications
Franklin Templeton Institute’s Stephen Dover and Larry Hatheway opine on the US stock market’s recent volatility in the wake of the US midterm elections and the path forward for investors.
It’s Not Tech: Energy Leads the S&P 500
Traditionally speaking, when one is choosing to lean into a particular sector of the equity market, they’re going to want to lean into the one that’s offering the best performance.
Strong Growth, Emerging Cracks
The big story last week? The Federal Reserve paused despite stronger growth and persistent inflation. It was a hawkish pause, with a December hike still the base case, according to Franklin Templeton Fixed Income. Third-quarter gross domestic product showed the US economy's resilience, but also its growing dependence on artificial intelligence investment, and household purchasing power took a hit.
The Innovation Spillover: Capturing Tech Beyond U.S. Megacaps
In recent years, getting tech exposure was easy. You bought an index fund, whether a mutual fund or an ETF, and let the biggest names carry the portfolio. Now, those names make up such a significant share of large-cap indices that advisors are getting nervous. Indeed, many are looking elsewhere for the next stretch of compounding growth typically associated with the tech sector.
The S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq: Real Returns Since 2000 Peak (October 2026)
Here is a look at real (inflation-adjusted) charts of the S&P 500, Dow 30, and Nasdaq composite since their 2000 highs. We've updated this through the October 2026 close.
Secular Bull and Bear Market Trends: October 2026
The S&P 500 real monthly averages of daily closes reached a its all-time high in October 2026. Let's examine the past to broaden our understanding of the range of historical bull and bear market trends in market performance.
Treasury Yields Snapshot: November 6, 2026
The yield on the 10-year note finished November 6, 2026 at 4.86% while the 2-year note ended at 4.51%.
Q-Ratio and Market Valuation: October 2026
The Q Ratio is the total price of the market divided by the replacement cost of all its companies. As of October 2026, the latest Q-ratio is at 2.35.
Employment Report: 165K Jobs Added in October, Better Than Expected
The latest employment report showed that 165,000 jobs were added in October, compared to September's 60,000 gain. This figure was significantly higher than the projected addition of 65,000 jobs. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate decreased slightly from 4.2% to 4.1%.
The AI Boom May Be Sowing Seeds of Another Financial Crisis
The unprecedented investment boom to build out the infrastructure for artificial intelligence is projected to reach more than $10 trillion, if all current plans are realized. The money is coming from many sources, including corporate cash flows, public equity and debt issuance, private debt issuance, off-balance sheet lease obligations and guarantees to AI data center developers from so-called hyperscalers and the leading chip provider, Nividia Corp.
The $65 Billion Critical Minerals Bet Comes With a Catch
For years, companies trying to mine or process the rare elements vital to the performance of electric vehicles, drones, medical devices, LEDs, jet engines and computer chips had to fight for every cent.
Three Market Risks Bolster the Case for Defensive Equities
Investors are grappling with an evolving set of risks as 2026 draws to a close. The scale of the AI build-out is influencing more sectors and industries. Rising interest rates are reshaping market dynamics as inflation threats linger.
Value Traps Are Painful ... Read the Footnotes
A stock trading at half its former price is not necessarily a bargain. Perhaps its earnings power has halved or its balance sheet can no longer support the business. Maybe its generous dividend is being financed with borrowed money. A low valuation ratio tells us what we are paying relative to one measure of fundamentals. It does not, by itself, tell us what the business is worth or whether those fundamentals will endure.
Midterms Change Congress, Not the Macro Regime
The 2026 midterms may have changed Washington, but they haven’t changed the macro regime. Tariffs, geopolitics, and deficits remain key forces for investors.
Investing in American Resilience
Amid a rapidly changing world, where China’s rise as an industrial powerhouse has nations around the globe on alert, we believe that American reindustrialization will be an important driver of investment returns in the decade ahead.
Why Advisors Are Using High-Yield ETFs
Municipal bonds posted their best month since 2023. See how high-yield muni ETFs help advisors capitalize on the municipal market recovery.
Funding the Next Dollar: AI and the Marginal Supply of Capital
On the surface, financial conditions appear to be easing: the FOMC held rates steady last week, and Treasury yields have retreated from their recent highs. But that rally reflects a flight to safety, driven by growing questions about the durability and financing of the AI investment cycle.
Nvidia-Backed Humanoid Maker Agility Goes Public in First for the US
Agility Robotics Inc. is set to become the first dedicated humanoid company to go public in the US, marking a major milestone for the emerging category that still has a lot to prove.
Chip Stocks Sink as Traders Rotate Into ‘Old Economy’ Stocks
US equities plunged Thursday as a rotation out of chipmakers deepened and investors looked past the initial relief rally following the US midterm elections.
Digital US Stocks Are Coming — Be Worried
The push by regulators to launch digital versions of US stocks is a rush job that risks introducing crypto-like dangers into the equity market with few benefits. Hopefully, a rebalanced Congress with senators who are less in thrall to the industry can block this move, or at least press for stronger guardrails.
October Review: Markets Navigate Competing Forces
October reminded investors that markets rarely move in response to a single factor. The US economy continued to expand at a moderate pace, supported by healthy consumer spending and solid business activity, even as markets contended with higher energy prices, renewed inflation concerns and heightened geopolitical tensions.
Spinning Wheel: What Goes Up…
Notwithstanding that the major U.S. equity indexes are sitting on healthy double-digit gains heading into the final two months of 2026, the calm at the index level belies a lot of churn and rotation underneath.
Where Investors Aren’t Looking
Taken together, these trends point to a healthier, broader economic backdrop than the AI-driven narrative alone would suggest. For us as investors, it reinforces the case for individual, fundamental stockpicking over simply riding the AI wave. There's more supporting this market than one theme, and that breadth matters for how we position portfolios.
Cutting Back on Equities as Financial Conditions Offer Less Support
Equity markets are caught between tighter liquidity conditions and increased geopolitical uncertainty on the one hand, and solid economic growth and corporate earnings on the other. We have consequently reduced our exposure to stocks leading into year end.
Campaign Spending: The Hidden Boost Behind U.S. Consumer Resilience
Following the U.S. midterm elections, investors will naturally focus on what the results mean for fiscal policy, geopolitics, and the regulatory outlook. But there’s another more immediate way the midterms have already mattered for the economy: The campaigns themselves have provided a meaningful boost to U.S. growth.
Anthropic ETFs: Private Markets, Perpetual Futures & More
As investor interest in Anthropic’s upcoming IPO grows, ETFs are finding new ways to offer exposure to private companies through derivatives tied to perpetual futures. Recent regulatory developments could accelerate the use of these instruments across the ETF industry, but they also introduce new risks and complexities.
Bankers Versus Brokers: Whom You Hire to Sell Your Firm Matters More Than You Think
Choosing the advisor who will represent you in the market is not an administrative step; it shapes every stage of the transaction that follows. For many founders, it is the first major decision in the sale process and can influence the ultimate outcome as much as any term negotiated at the closing table.
Stock-Market Gains Are Weakest After Midterm Results Like These
While US midterm election results historically bode well for stocks regardless of which party wins, some Wall Street strategists are warning clients to temper their bullishness this time around.
Commercial Real Estate: A Reset, Not a Replay
One concern raised by the recent backup in rates is whether CRE is about to relive the stress of 2023, when depressed post-pandemic office demand coincided with rising rates and a regional bank crisis, including Silicon Valley Bank and First Republic Bank. The selloff in public REITs suggests investors are repricing property values for a higher-rate world.
Setting Expectations for a Successful Swap
Elevated Treasury yields have created attractive income opportunities across the fixed income markets. Corporate and municipal bonds offer additional yield opportunities, while positively sloped yield curves provide investors with further motivations to extend maturities. For many investors, the opportunity to capture higher income and lock it in for longer periods has renewed interest in exploring bond swaps.
AI Spending Scrutiny Deepens as Markets Rotate Beyond Tech
Sometimes the best lessons are the simplest ones, and right now, the market is offering a good old-fashioned lesson on the benefits of diversification. Stay invested, stay diversified, and stick to your financial plan.
The Rotation Will Continue Until Morale Improves
We expect the rotation to continue. The earnings bar is high—very high. Any minor misstep has led to punishment, which has led to rotation. Rotation is not a bad thing, and if you are running a diversified equity portfolio, you should be in good shape.
Healthcare Stocks Deserve a Second Opinion
From earlier detection and more precise treatments to smarter medical technology, the healthcare sector continues to reinvent products that improve and save lives. Yet healthcare stocks have struggled to reflect that progress, overshadowed in recent years by investor enthusiasm for AI beneficiaries.
10-Year Treasury Yield Long-Term Perspective: October 2026
The 10-year Treasury yield has experienced dramatic fluctuations, ranging from a peak of 15.68% in October 1981, during the height of the Volcker era, to a historic low of 0.55% in August 2020, amidst the economic uncertainty of the pandemic. At the end of October 2026, the weekly average stood at 4.99%.
The Big Picture Beats Politics
Election Day has markets watching how divided Washington will be over the coming two years. Jeff Schulze shares insights for investors based on different potential outcomes.
The Case for GARP: Finding Growth Without the Froth
While market valuations remain on the loftier side, investors face a familiar dilemma. Chasing pure growth leaves portfolios vulnerable to sharp drawdowns, while hiding in traditional “deep value” risks inheriting mature businesses in structural decline — classic value traps.
A Volatile Quarter, and Where We See It Heading
The broad markets experienced volatility in the 3rd quarter with concerns over the impact of energy prices on inflation as well as CapEx spending by hyperscaler companies in the AI space driving technology stocks. The price of WTI Crude oil rallied sharply during the quarter by nearly 30%.