The odds are good that Santa won’t disappoint in 2024. Here’s the history of the past 99 Decembers, compared to the other months.
How to unlock value in a complex market landscape.
Short-term rates are going down because the Treasury is issuing related debt at lower rates. Meanwhile, long-term rates are going up because the Fed is not intervening.. The Fed is trapped in a vicious cycle. Can you see a way out?
The question on “everyone’s” mind, whether the back or the front, is where will the stock market be in two, three, six years?
Some retirees say they could have planned better for lifetime income—helpful insight for current participants.
It is important for savers to understand guaranteed and non-guaranteed options when looking at retirement solutions offered within a 401(k) plan. Our Mike Dullaghan shares the highlights and talks about the need for personalized strategies.
Why the equity market rally following the U.S. presidential election could continue into year-end.
For DC plan sponsors, developing a short list of income solutions is a good first step.
Most of the time the yield on long-term bonds exceeds that on short-term bonds, in order to compensate for the greater risk attached to long-term debt. But until recently the yield curve was inverted, with short-term rates exceeding long-term rates. This happens when investors expect interest rates to decline in the future.
Investors have been married to their money market funds for the better part of the last two years.
Even for dedicated investors, Social Security retirement benefits can be an important part of their financial security.
Protect yourself with Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS), precious metals, certain real estate like farmland, and other real assets.
In this article, Russ Koesterich discusses why he believes U.S. exceptionalism is a trend that is likely to continue.
The third quarter of 2024 saw a clear reversal in market leadership, with the Low Volatility and High Dividend factors performing the best while the Momentum and Growth factors performed the worst.
Markets changed character to broad-based optimism relating to the economy. The economic picture began to come into focus with inflation continuing to moderate as the economy maintains steady growth and employment. The result was a stark turnaround for economically integrated or interest rate sensitive assets, which resulted in a great quarter for diversified multi-asset portfolios. New Frontier sets a major milestone in Q4, marking 20 years of investing at the end of October.
In this article, Russ Koesterich discusses gold may continue to serve as a store of value in the current environment.
In the wake of pandemic shocks, economies appear more “normal” than at any time since 2019. Yet policy rates remain elevated.
GAO reports are intended to improve industry practices. GAO failed in its target date fund report but succeeded in its conflicts of interest report.
In theory, growing a pool of wealth over decades – whether for a family, an endowment, or a pensioner – is a straightforward endeavor.
The ERISA Advisory Council is conducting hearings on Qualified Default Investment Alternatives (QDIAs), seeking recommendations for improvements. The big challenge is making better decisions for people who do not want to engage.
When buying or selling an RIA practice, one of the most important documents you'll encounter is the Asset Purchase Agreement (APA). This agreement is like the foundation of the deal, spelling out exactly what is being bought or sold, how much will be paid, and the responsibilities of both parties.
In this article, Russ Koesterich discusses why the next bout of market volatility may last a bit longer than previous downturns and how to best position your portfolio against this backdrop.
I have looked at market data on inflation expectations, Fed Funds futures, and other factors that influence interest rates. Today, I add an unorthodox factor to the list: cash cows.
An analysis of the leadership reversal and market sell-off observed in recent weeks and why an emphasis on equities with consistent fundamentals is justified.
78 million baby boomers are about one-third of the voter-eligible population and 77 percent of them vote, so there are 60 million baby boomer votes. That 60 million is 38 percent of the 158 million votes cast in the 2020 presidential election. The baby boomer voters’ bloc is a big deal.
The concept of portable alpha is over 40 years old. And while it has evolved through various forms over that time, it continues to be a valuable portfolio tool for institutional investors. Arguably, the most popular iteration right now is adding alpha expected from hedge funds on top of synthetic beta exposure.
Most people see “blockchain” and “funds” in the same sentence and immediately think of pools of money betting on cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ether. That isn’t how Singapore sees the utility of distributed ledgers.
High interest rates have had the predictable effect of restraining the performances of dividend stocks and related exchange traded funds.
As more Chinese companies get comfortable paying dividends, investors may find new sources of equity return potential.
Many recent studies have been done on the economics of different generations. Researchers want to know if Millennials and Gen Z are in fact worse off than their Boomer and Gen X parents. There are quite a few ways to look at this data.
Will 2030 DC plans perform better at preparing U.S. workers for retirement?
Amid expectations of rate cuts from major central banks, managers are increasing their exposure to more cyclical and value-oriented names, including autos, transportation, and short-cycle industrials.
The “country” in this article is the wild and woolly market of small retirement savings plans (SRSPs) that have less than 100 participants. The “old men” are baby boomers who cannot afford to lose their lifetime savings. And the villain is the next stock market crash.
Baby Boomers likely won’t have time to recover from the next crash. Their loss is also their heirs’ loss. There’s $70 trillion in play. Baby boomers shouldn’t be greater fools.
High interest rates – the condition investors have had to contend with for over two years now – can be a drag on dividend stocks and ETFs.
Investor complacency is often blamed when rising stock markets ignore potentially unsettling data for weeks and then viciously sell off. But this very human-sounding characteristic mostly isn’t in the minds of traders: It’s baked into the structure of modern investment strategies.
In this article, Russ Koesterich discusses factors behind gold’s impressive performance year to date.
The US Department of Labor (DOL) offers eight tips for advisors to use to review target-date funds. Our Mike Dullaghan illustrates how to use the DOL tips in preparation for plan review season.
The rise of LLMs and public availability of generative AI tools has driven a wave of excitement over AI’s potential to transform society, economies, and workflows.
Baby boomers need to be concerned about worst cases because the rest of their lives could be ruined by the next crash, and with $70 trillion at risk the stakes are high for them and their heirs. So rather than averages, let’s look at worst cases. That’s what baby boomers need to protect against.
The Momentum factor picked up where it left off at the end of the first quarter, turning in another standout performance in the April-through-June timeframe and ending the second quarter as the factor most relevant to positive performance.
The second quarter began with inflation concerns causing a negative return in April, but improved inflation led to a more hopeful market in May and June, with AI and semiconductor stocks leading.
It’s earnings season yet again. And I think this one is going to be more down-to-earth than the ones we’ve had over the past year.
Elections have been anything but easy for investors. What has been easy is financial conditions in the US relative to the level of policy rates, fostering the debate over the degree of policy restrictiveness as global monetary easing begins.
Diverse stakeholders shared perspectives at AB’s Advancing Retirement Income symposium.
In this article, Russ Koesterich discusses why bonds are still not a reliable hedge for equities in an environment where inflation remains elevated and volatile.
Comparing public fixed income and private credit markets involves weighing factors related to liquidity, transparency, credit quality, risk premium, and opportunity costs.
One after another, the money-making trading formulas for China’s quantitative hedge funds are disappearing.
Many investors hold a concentrated stock position that represents a large percentage—typically 10% to 20%—of their overall portfolio value. Let’s review the risks of concentrated positions and then survey some of the possible solutions.
Last week we had our quarterly live call for Yield Shark subscribers. We had some great conversations over the course of the hour. One of the major topics that came up was what will happen through the end of the year. Will we see a correction or a rotation? If so, when will this happen? And most important, how can we prepare?
Large-cap U.S. stocks, as measured by the S&P 500, have dominated in both absolute and risk-adjusted terms. They are soaring. It’s the Roaring ’20s again!
In this piece, we attempt to answer a number of questions we have gotten from clients about the impacts that rising levels of passive investing may have had on the stock market.
Hedge funds were once the hottest investment around, but they’ve long ceded the spotlight to better performers, including private assets, real estate, technology startups and even cryptocurrencies.
The giant federal debt we’ve been talking about isn’t just borrowed money. It is also lent money. Loans are two-party transactions. One side receives temporary use of cash which it agrees to repay with interest. The other gives up the current use of that cash in exchange for receiving interest. Ideally, it works out for both… but not always.
In the second half of the year, investors will likely be navigating a potential divergence in monetary policy among the major economy central banks, a more normalized U.S. interest rate regime, and an equity market that may favor quality.
Traders are lavishing billions of dollars on quant-powered stock trades, boosting an investing style that’s struggled to gain traction in an era when simple bets on traditional large-cap indexes have paid off handsomely.
Confidence is up, but inflation and other worries offer ways to work toward better outcomes.
Inflation is not fun. And—for the past 30 years—it has largely been a non-issue for consumers. That dynamic has changed. The relevant question is whether this is something persistent and meaningful or simply a fleeting feeling.
I was a landlord once and it didn’t turn out how I expected. I think it mattered that I didn’t set out to be a landlord. I had bought a house in Baltimore City that I expected to live in for many years.
It is essential for financial professionals to include a variety of sources of guaranteed income to give clients the freedom to worry less, gain confidence about the future and enjoy life more.
Defending my love of dividends consumes a lot of my time. Sometimes I’ll pull out my track record. Other times I explain how owning boring and stable dividend stocks means I spend less time watching and worrying about them.
The next inflation wave will challenge the economy and the Fed. It will not be transitory. A pivot back toward a zero interest rate policy (ZIRP) will intensify the problem.
A defining feature of the post-COVID investment regime has been the persistence of elevated market uncertainty and volatility. The below visual highlights how this has led to a wider range of market performance outcomes, focusing in on the vast difference between the last two calendar years.
Our actively managed equity funds that employ machine learning (ML)—and their shareholders—are starting to benefit, according to Cesar Orosco, CFA, and Scott Rodemer, CFA, of Vanguard’s Quantitative Equity Group (QEG). The group develops quantitative models that attempt to replicate what a good fundamental investor would do, but systematically and at scale.
The Federal Open Market Committee is always data-dependent. But the dependency is not always the same. There are times when inflation matters more than the labor market, and times when the situation is reversed. Every regime is unique. There is never a perfect corollary to a previous experience. This time is not different.
Since the Global Financial Crisis of 2007-09, fixed income investors have suffered the worst of both worlds. For a dozen years they endured the stingiest of yields on their fixed income holdings.
Ross Riskin's op-ed examines the potential drawbacks of using glide path portfolios in 529 college savings plans, particularly during high-interest rate environments. He suggests that money market options may offer better capital preservation for funds needed during college enrollment, emphasizing the shift from growth to stability in investment strategies.
VettaFi discusses changes in the MLP/midstream investment product landscape.
The GAO report was three years in the making. At $4 trillion and growing, target date funds are very important. The GAO report has the potential to improve the industry.
Some of the biggest names in tech started paying dividends this year. This includes Alphabet (GOOG), Meta Platforms (META), Salesforce (CRM), and Booking Holdings (BKNG).
On Thursday, May 30, VettaFi will host its 2024 Alternatives Symposium. Adding alternative strategies to an investor’s portfolio can provide diversified exposure and potential for returns. VettaFi’s event will highlight the wide variety of alternative solutions that are now available for advisors.
Steady income and access to remaining assets are key considerations for DC plan sponsors.
Learn how using a “switch” trading strategy can create efficiencies to improve overall execution cost and quality.
Managers are increasingly focusing on sectors beyond tech that could benefit from the rise in AI in the short term. These include healthcare and consumer companies, which also have more attractive valuations.
As long as ETFs stay true to their original mindset of solving investor problems, growth is the only path forward. Current product development suggests that’s the most likely case.
Guessing the direction of interest rates is no easier than any other tactical or market timing decision. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note is just under 3.9%. That is about 100 basis points less than it was a few months ago. Fed policy is uncertain, inflation has not been fully controlled, and fiscal deficits loom as a long-term risk for yields to go higher.
At the Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting we marked what we believe is the end of an era both for Berkshire and for the S&P 500 Index.
How momentum and election cycles may shift the impact and timing of seasonal trends.
The latest run of unchecked optimism might just be over.
Many asset allocation strategies operate at the level of industry groups. Industry momentum -- buying past winners and selling past losers -- is present in U.S. data going back to the early 2000s.
Another strong quarter in markets led to another stellar performance for the Momentum and Growth factors.
After a strong start to the year, equity investors are assessing whether a range of escalating risks will lead to continued volatility ahead. In this quarter’s Systematic Equity Outlook, we’ll explore macro and micro risks through a systematic lens, and how we’re positioning portfolios to harness alpha opportunities ahead.
The market has been highly tuned to news from the Fed or developments in artificial intelligence technology to set expectations.
Interpreting flows into ETFs and mutual funds sometimes feels an awful lot like reading tea leaves, but I love it.
The Federal Reserve is expected to lower interest rates, but the economy and stock market don't need stimulation.
With an understanding of reversion to the mean, it is possible to contextualize market volatility for investors in a way that helps them view it more constructively.
The First Eagle Credit Opportunities Fund (FECRX) just reached its three-year anniversary. The fund offers advisors and their clients access to private credit and syndicated loans through an interval fund structure.
Why the current momentum trade, despite stretched valuations, could continue.
Over half of Gen Z and Millennials have a side hustle or some kind of gig work to supplement their income. The numbers show that nearly two-thirds of workers are living paycheck to paycheck.
Those factors argue in favor of an allocation to floating-rate notes. My guest today will help us explore this asset class, its opportunities and its risks.
Specialty Investments
Santa’s Gift to the Stock Market
The odds are good that Santa won’t disappoint in 2024. Here’s the history of the past 99 Decembers, compared to the other months.
Turning the Corner? Commercial Real Estate Themes for 2025
How to unlock value in a complex market landscape.
Fed Staunches Asset Hemorrhaging, But Consequences Could Loom
Short-term rates are going down because the Treasury is issuing related debt at lower rates. Meanwhile, long-term rates are going up because the Fed is not intervening.. The Fed is trapped in a vicious cycle. Can you see a way out?
The Changing Nature of the Stock Market
The question on “everyone’s” mind, whether the back or the front, is where will the stock market be in two, three, six years?
Lifetime-Income Lessons from Retirees Can Move the Needle for DC Plans
Some retirees say they could have planned better for lifetime income—helpful insight for current participants.
What Retirement Plan Advisors Need to Know About In-Plan Retirement Income Solutions
It is important for savers to understand guaranteed and non-guaranteed options when looking at retirement solutions offered within a 401(k) plan. Our Mike Dullaghan shares the highlights and talks about the need for personalized strategies.
Why the Election Rally Could Continue
Why the equity market rally following the U.S. presidential election could continue into year-end.
Four Questions to Narrow the Field of Retirement Income Solutions
For DC plan sponsors, developing a short list of income solutions is a good first step.
Behind the Scenes of Uninverting the Yield Curve
Most of the time the yield on long-term bonds exceeds that on short-term bonds, in order to compensate for the greater risk attached to long-term debt. But until recently the yield curve was inverted, with short-term rates exceeding long-term rates. This happens when investors expect interest rates to decline in the future.
More Money Market Substitutes Taking Shape
Investors have been married to their money market funds for the better part of the last two years.
The Inflation Adjustment for Social Security Benefits in 2025
Even for dedicated investors, Social Security retirement benefits can be an important part of their financial security.
Update to a Very Funny, but Sobering, Movie on Our National Debt
Protect yourself with Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS), precious metals, certain real estate like farmland, and other real assets.
Reasons to Remain Overweight U.S. Stocks
In this article, Russ Koesterich discusses why he believes U.S. exceptionalism is a trend that is likely to continue.
Q3 2024 Active Management Review: Market Leadership Reverses
The third quarter of 2024 saw a clear reversal in market leadership, with the Low Volatility and High Dividend factors performing the best while the Momentum and Growth factors performed the worst.
Q3 2024: Shifting Tides: Broad-Based Optimism Fuels Market Momentum
Markets changed character to broad-based optimism relating to the economy. The economic picture began to come into focus with inflation continuing to moderate as the economy maintains steady growth and employment. The result was a stark turnaround for economically integrated or interest rate sensitive assets, which resulted in a great quarter for diversified multi-asset portfolios. New Frontier sets a major milestone in Q4, marking 20 years of investing at the end of October.
Gold’s Stars Continue to Align
In this article, Russ Koesterich discusses gold may continue to serve as a store of value in the current environment.
Securing the Soft Landing
In the wake of pandemic shocks, economies appear more “normal” than at any time since 2019. Yet policy rates remain elevated.
Critiques of 2 Recent GAO Reports
GAO reports are intended to improve industry practices. GAO failed in its target date fund report but succeeded in its conflicts of interest report.
A Second Opinion Is Just What the Doctor Ordered
In theory, growing a pool of wealth over decades – whether for a family, an endowment, or a pensioner – is a straightforward endeavor.
Recommendations to the ERISA Advisory Council on QDIAs
The ERISA Advisory Council is conducting hearings on Qualified Default Investment Alternatives (QDIAs), seeking recommendations for improvements. The big challenge is making better decisions for people who do not want to engage.
Why It’s Important to Understand the Asset Purchase Agreement When Buying or Selling a Practice
When buying or selling an RIA practice, one of the most important documents you'll encounter is the Asset Purchase Agreement (APA). This agreement is like the foundation of the deal, spelling out exactly what is being bought or sold, how much will be paid, and the responsibilities of both parties.
Why the Next Spike in Market Volatility May Last
In this article, Russ Koesterich discusses why the next bout of market volatility may last a bit longer than previous downturns and how to best position your portfolio against this backdrop.
Cash Cow Clues: Can Dividend Yields Forecast Interest Rates?
I have looked at market data on inflation expectations, Fed Funds futures, and other factors that influence interest rates. Today, I add an unorthodox factor to the list: cash cows.
Emphasize Consistency to Navigate Volatility
An analysis of the leadership reversal and market sell-off observed in recent weeks and why an emphasis on equities with consistent fundamentals is justified.
60 Million Baby Boomer Votes Sway the Presidential Election
78 million baby boomers are about one-third of the voter-eligible population and 77 percent of them vote, so there are 60 million baby boomer votes. That 60 million is 38 percent of the 158 million votes cast in the 2020 presidential election. The baby boomer voters’ bloc is a big deal.
Portable Alpha: Divorcing and Remarrying Alpha and Beta
The concept of portable alpha is over 40 years old. And while it has evolved through various forms over that time, it continues to be a valuable portfolio tool for institutional investors. Arguably, the most popular iteration right now is adding alpha expected from hedge funds on top of synthetic beta exposure.
Why Singapore Is Bringing Blockchain Into Mutual Funds
Most people see “blockchain” and “funds” in the same sentence and immediately think of pools of money betting on cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ether. That isn’t how Singapore sees the utility of distributed ledgers.
Rate Cuts Could Stoke Dividend Stock Renaissance
High interest rates have had the predictable effect of restraining the performances of dividend stocks and related exchange traded funds.
Chinese Equities: How Investors Can Unlock the Power of Dividends
As more Chinese companies get comfortable paying dividends, investors may find new sources of equity return potential.
Break the Cycle and Create Generational Wealth
Many recent studies have been done on the economics of different generations. Researchers want to know if Millennials and Gen Z are in fact worse off than their Boomer and Gen X parents. There are quite a few ways to look at this data.
8 Ways DC Plans Are Likely to Change by 2030
Will 2030 DC plans perform better at preparing U.S. workers for retirement?
August 2024 Active Management Insights: Positive Outlook for Cyclical and Value-Oriented Stocks
Amid expectations of rate cuts from major central banks, managers are increasing their exposure to more cyclical and value-oriented names, including autos, transportation, and short-cycle industrials.
No Country for Baby Boomers
The “country” in this article is the wild and woolly market of small retirement savings plans (SRSPs) that have less than 100 participants. The “old men” are baby boomers who cannot afford to lose their lifetime savings. And the villain is the next stock market crash.
Baby Boomer Greater Fools Risk Hard Crash
Baby Boomers likely won’t have time to recover from the next crash. Their loss is also their heirs’ loss. There’s $70 trillion in play. Baby boomers shouldn’t be greater fools.
Fed Could Spur Renewed Interest in Dividend Stocks
High interest rates – the condition investors have had to contend with for over two years now – can be a drag on dividend stocks and ETFs.
Beware the Bombs Baked Into Modern Stock Markets
Investor complacency is often blamed when rising stock markets ignore potentially unsettling data for weeks and then viciously sell off. But this very human-sounding characteristic mostly isn’t in the minds of traders: It’s baked into the structure of modern investment strategies.
Gold Shines, Defying Historical Relationships
In this article, Russ Koesterich discusses factors behind gold’s impressive performance year to date.
Maximizing 401(k) Plans: How Financial Advisors Can leverage the DOL’s Target-Date Tips
The US Department of Labor (DOL) offers eight tips for advisors to use to review target-date funds. Our Mike Dullaghan illustrates how to use the DOL tips in preparation for plan review season.
How AI Is Transforming Investing
The rise of LLMs and public availability of generative AI tools has driven a wave of excitement over AI’s potential to transform society, economies, and workflows.
Baby Boomers Better Get Out of the Stock Market Now
Baby boomers need to be concerned about worst cases because the rest of their lives could be ruined by the next crash, and with $70 trillion at risk the stakes are high for them and their heirs. So rather than averages, let’s look at worst cases. That’s what baby boomers need to protect against.
Q2 2024 Active Management Review: Momentum Keeps Rolling
The Momentum factor picked up where it left off at the end of the first quarter, turning in another standout performance in the April-through-June timeframe and ending the second quarter as the factor most relevant to positive performance.
Looking Back at Equity Factors in Q2 2024 With WisdomTree
The second quarter began with inflation concerns causing a negative return in April, but improved inflation led to a more hopeful market in May and June, with AI and semiconductor stocks leading.
Get Your Cash Ready for Earnings Season Bargains
It’s earnings season yet again. And I think this one is going to be more down-to-earth than the ones we’ve had over the past year.
Easing Into Elections
Elections have been anything but easy for investors. What has been easy is financial conditions in the US relative to the level of policy rates, fostering the debate over the degree of policy restrictiveness as global monetary easing begins.
Charting a Collective Path Forward on Retirement Income
Diverse stakeholders shared perspectives at AB’s Advancing Retirement Income symposium.
Are We There Yet? Bonds Still an Unreliable Hedge
In this article, Russ Koesterich discusses why bonds are still not a reliable hedge for equities in an environment where inflation remains elevated and volatile.
Navigating Public and Private Credit Markets: Liquidity, Risk, and Return Potential
Comparing public fixed income and private credit markets involves weighing factors related to liquidity, transparency, credit quality, risk premium, and opportunity costs.
Quant Hedge Funds Dealt Fresh Blow From China’s Short-Sale Curbs
One after another, the money-making trading formulas for China’s quantitative hedge funds are disappearing.
Four Potential Solutions to Concentrated Stock Positions
Many investors hold a concentrated stock position that represents a large percentage—typically 10% to 20%—of their overall portfolio value. Let’s review the risks of concentrated positions and then survey some of the possible solutions.
What’s the Plan for the Second Half of the Year?
Last week we had our quarterly live call for Yield Shark subscribers. We had some great conversations over the course of the hour. One of the major topics that came up was what will happen through the end of the year. Will we see a correction or a rotation? If so, when will this happen? And most important, how can we prepare?
For Large-Cap Stocks, It’s the Roaring ’20s … Again
Large-cap U.S. stocks, as measured by the S&P 500, have dominated in both absolute and risk-adjusted terms. They are soaring. It’s the Roaring ’20s again!
FAQ: Passive Investing
In this piece, we attempt to answer a number of questions we have gotten from clients about the impacts that rising levels of passive investing may have had on the stock market.
Hedge Funds Are Just Too Big to Beat the Market
Hedge funds were once the hottest investment around, but they’ve long ceded the spotlight to better performers, including private assets, real estate, technology startups and even cryptocurrencies.
Debtors and Creditors
The giant federal debt we’ve been talking about isn’t just borrowed money. It is also lent money. Loans are two-party transactions. One side receives temporary use of cash which it agrees to repay with interest. The other gives up the current use of that cash in exchange for receiving interest. Ideally, it works out for both… but not always.
Midyear Outlook 2024
In the second half of the year, investors will likely be navigating a potential divergence in monetary policy among the major economy central banks, a more normalized U.S. interest rate regime, and an equity market that may favor quality.
Retail Funds Dive Into Quant-Factor ETFs After $48 Billion Haul
Traders are lavishing billions of dollars on quant-powered stock trades, boosting an investing style that’s struggled to gain traction in an era when simple bets on traditional large-cap indexes have paid off handsomely.
Mix of Participant Optimism and Anxiety Offers DC Plan Sponsors New Avenues for Engagement
Confidence is up, but inflation and other worries offer ways to work toward better outcomes.
The Prices Don’t Feel Right: Unraveling the Inflation Perception
Inflation is not fun. And—for the past 30 years—it has largely been a non-issue for consumers. That dynamic has changed. The relevant question is whether this is something persistent and meaningful or simply a fleeting feeling.
Real Estate that Should Be on Your Radar Right Now
I was a landlord once and it didn’t turn out how I expected. I think it mattered that I didn’t set out to be a landlord. I had bought a house in Baltimore City that I expected to live in for many years.
Diversify Retirement Saving Strategies to Boost Clients’ Overall Financial Wellness
It is essential for financial professionals to include a variety of sources of guaranteed income to give clients the freedom to worry less, gain confidence about the future and enjoy life more.
Big News that Affects All Your Dividend Stocks
Defending my love of dividends consumes a lot of my time. Sometimes I’ll pull out my track record. Other times I explain how owning boring and stable dividend stocks means I spend less time watching and worrying about them.
This Current Wave of Inflation Is Not Transitory. The First Wave Was.
The next inflation wave will challenge the economy and the Fed. It will not be transitory. A pivot back toward a zero interest rate policy (ZIRP) will intensify the problem.
Targeting Uncorrelated Returns in Uncertain Markets
A defining feature of the post-COVID investment regime has been the persistence of elevated market uncertainty and volatility. The below visual highlights how this has led to a wider range of market performance outcomes, focusing in on the vast difference between the last two calendar years.
Machine Learning’s Role in the Hunt for Alpha
Our actively managed equity funds that employ machine learning (ML)—and their shareholders—are starting to benefit, according to Cesar Orosco, CFA, and Scott Rodemer, CFA, of Vanguard’s Quantitative Equity Group (QEG). The group develops quantitative models that attempt to replicate what a good fundamental investor would do, but systematically and at scale.
Navigating Inflation: The FOMC’s Single Mandate
The Federal Open Market Committee is always data-dependent. But the dependency is not always the same. There are times when inflation matters more than the labor market, and times when the situation is reversed. Every regime is unique. There is never a perfect corollary to a previous experience. This time is not different.
Options for Income
Since the Global Financial Crisis of 2007-09, fixed income investors have suffered the worst of both worlds. For a dozen years they endured the stingiest of yields on their fixed income holdings.
When it Comes to 529 Plans, “Target” Enrollment Portfolios Can Miss the “Mark”
Ross Riskin's op-ed examines the potential drawbacks of using glide path portfolios in 529 college savings plans, particularly during high-interest rate environments. He suggests that money market options may offer better capital preservation for funds needed during college enrollment, emphasizing the shift from growth to stability in investment strategies.
ETFs, CEFs & More: MLP Investment Products Evolve
VettaFi discusses changes in the MLP/midstream investment product landscape.
Five Critiques of GAO’s Report on Target Date Funds
The GAO report was three years in the making. At $4 trillion and growing, target date funds are very important. The GAO report has the potential to improve the industry.
Why I Steer Clear of Tech Dividend Stocks
Some of the biggest names in tech started paying dividends this year. This includes Alphabet (GOOG), Meta Platforms (META), Salesforce (CRM), and Booking Holdings (BKNG).
Check Out VettaFi’s Upcoming Alternatives Symposium
On Thursday, May 30, VettaFi will host its 2024 Alternatives Symposium. Adding alternative strategies to an investor’s portfolio can provide diversified exposure and potential for returns. VettaFi’s event will highlight the wide variety of alternative solutions that are now available for advisors.
How Should DC Plans Deliver Lifetime Income to Typical Participants?
Steady income and access to remaining assets are key considerations for DC plan sponsors.
Switch It Up and Pair Your ETF Trades
Learn how using a “switch” trading strategy can create efficiencies to improve overall execution cost and quality.
May 2024 Active Management Insights: Beyond the Magnificent Seven
Managers are increasingly focusing on sectors beyond tech that could benefit from the rise in AI in the short term. These include healthcare and consumer companies, which also have more attractive valuations.
ETF Lessons for a New Era
As long as ETFs stay true to their original mindset of solving investor problems, growth is the only path forward. Current product development suggests that’s the most likely case.
Equity-Like Return Potential in the Loan Market
Guessing the direction of interest rates is no easier than any other tactical or market timing decision. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note is just under 3.9%. That is about 100 basis points less than it was a few months ago. Fed policy is uncertain, inflation has not been fully controlled, and fiscal deficits loom as a long-term risk for yields to go higher.
Buffett and Munger Mark the End of An Era
At the Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting we marked what we believe is the end of an era both for Berkshire and for the S&P 500 Index.
Election Years Create Their Own Patterns
How momentum and election cycles may shift the impact and timing of seasonal trends.
Investors Are Coming Back to Reality
The latest run of unchecked optimism might just be over.
Industry Momentum
Many asset allocation strategies operate at the level of industry groups. Industry momentum -- buying past winners and selling past losers -- is present in U.S. data going back to the early 2000s.
Q1 2024 Active Management Review: Momentum and Growth Factors Outperform
Another strong quarter in markets led to another stellar performance for the Momentum and Growth factors.
Riding the Momentum - Looking Beyond the Tech Giants
After a strong start to the year, equity investors are assessing whether a range of escalating risks will lead to continued volatility ahead. In this quarter’s Systematic Equity Outlook, we’ll explore macro and micro risks through a systematic lens, and how we’re positioning portfolios to harness alpha opportunities ahead.
The AI-Fed Catch 22: Tango of Technology and Policy
The market has been highly tuned to news from the Fed or developments in artificial intelligence technology to set expectations.
3 Trends Dominating Fund Flows Right Now
Interpreting flows into ETFs and mutual funds sometimes feels an awful lot like reading tea leaves, but I love it.
Going Up! Long-term Interest Rates on the Rise
The Federal Reserve is expected to lower interest rates, but the economy and stock market don't need stimulation.
Mean Reversion and Managing Market Jitters
With an understanding of reversion to the mean, it is possible to contextualize market volatility for investors in a way that helps them view it more constructively.
An Interval Fund to Access Alternative Credit
The First Eagle Credit Opportunities Fund (FECRX) just reached its three-year anniversary. The fund offers advisors and their clients access to private credit and syndicated loans through an interval fund structure.
Quality Is Now a Momentum Trade
Why the current momentum trade, despite stretched valuations, could continue.
Dividends Are the Original Side Hustle
Over half of Gen Z and Millennials have a side hustle or some kind of gig work to supplement their income. The numbers show that nearly two-thirds of workers are living paycheck to paycheck.
What Explains the Outperformance of Loans?
Guessing the direction of interest rates is no easier than any other tactical or market timing decision. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note is just under 3.9%. That is about 100 basis points less than it was a few months ago. Fed policy is uncertain, inflation has not been fully controlled, and fiscal deficits loom as a long-term risk for yields to go higher.
Those factors argue in favor of an allocation to floating-rate notes. My guest today will help us explore this asset class, its opportunities and its risks.