Credit indices rallied during the third quarter, despite a variety of economic headwinds, and it appears FOMO (fear of missing out) is fueling the bullish sentiment more than fundamentals.
Quarterly recap: Fed rate cut and Chinese stimulus take the spotlight.
Foreign investors have been buying more US corporate bonds, a trend that will likely continue as Federal Reserve monetary easing lowers the cost of hedging and investors hunt for yield.
We have openly promoted increasing duration over the last several months. An increase may seem like an odd “wish” as it implies taking on greater price risk.
In the wake of pandemic shocks, economies appear more “normal” than at any time since 2019. Yet policy rates remain elevated.
Long-term US Treasury yields rose last week as investors digested mixed economic data that reinforced the idea of a "Goldilocks" economy.
The puck has certainly moved since our last market commentary. This month, we argue that the needle on portfolio construction should move with it. Equities have been the driver of returns for much of the last few years.
Alpha (α) is a fundamental yet poorly understood concept in finance. Simply put, it is the difference between the return of an investment and that of a risk-adjusted benchmark. In a more advanced definition, alpha is the residual in an asset pricing equation (see Appendix A). Alpha is what active managers strive to achieve and passive managers do not pursue.
A return to lower yields has been every bond fund manager's dream since the nightmare of 2022. But now, with expectations dashed that they’d get their wish this year, it appears they’ll have to hang their hopes on 2025.
Wall Street banks are expected to launch a barrage of bond sales as soon as next week, capitalizing on ultra-low credit spreads and strong demand from investors after they report quarterly results.
Market participation broadened beyond technology stocks during the third quarter.
US investment-grade corporate bond spreads have narrowed to the lowest level in more than three years, a clear sign of just how bullish credit investors are even as macro and geopolitical risks mount.
Just like road trips can bring unexpected detours, the economy and financial markets are at their own crossroads: recession or soft landing?
The Federal Reserve began cutting interest rates. Whether the economy falls into recession, hard or soft, is anyone’s guess.
The outlook for corporate debt is improving now that the Federal Reserve has begun cutting interest rates, according to the latest Bloomberg Markets Live Pulse survey.
Rate cut expectations pushed more investors into investment-grade corporate bonds, giving them their best quarter in nearly a year.
If the risk of stepping too far out into the yield curve is too much to bear, consider using intermediate bond options.
As we look at today’s economy and financial markets, we are at a crossroads: Will it be a long straight highway to a soft landing, or will it be a bumpy road to recession?
Investors have been embracing actively managed fixed income ETFs in 2024. The latest suite of active ETFs to catch my eye are from State Street Global Advisors.
Over the past several years, high-yield bonds have delivered impressive returns, outperforming most other sectors of the fixed income market.
September is typically the weakest month of the year for stocks, but thanks to the much-anticipated federal funds rate cut, the S&P 500 turned in its first positive performance in a September since 2019
CLOs have delivered the most attractive risk-adjusted returns in fixed income over the past decade, but are often deemed 'too complex.'
We believe municipal bonds currently offer a compelling balance of risk and reward for investors in higher tax brackets.
We think it would be a mistake for investors to let tighter spreads and upcoming maturities deter them from the euro high-yield market.
For many investors, the fixed income portion of their portfolio is intended to be the ballast of the portfolio.
The economy reached an inflection point, with labor market conditions squarely in focus.
The bond market is overextrapolating recession risk.
Companies and governments around the globe spent the past month streaming into debt markets, seizing on declining interest rates ahead of an uncertain US presidential election that many fear will spur volatility in markets.
Asian assets swung violently over the past three months, rocked by a succession of epochal events that culminated in a giant stimulus boost for China and propelled the region’s equities to world beaters.
While agency mortgage-backed securities offer compelling valuations, not every mortgage is created equally.
US stocks will outperform the nation’s government and corporate bonds for the rest of this year as the Federal Reserve keeps cutting interest rates, the latest Bloomberg Markets Live Pulse survey shows.
After months if not years of investors asking when the Fed would cut rates, we finally got our answer.
Explore fixed-income tools that generate income and infrastructure.
Fixed income strategy and opportunities have remained relatively unchanged over the past few months. However, the much-talked-about monetary policy change has commenced.
Historically, investors have struggled to add meaningful alpha through security selection. A dynamic new credit scoring approach could change that.
Fixed income investors may want to take a middle-ground approach with bonds and opt for debt with intermediate maturity dates.
On September 18, the Federal Reserve cut the Federal funds rate, as expected, announcing at the same time that the Fed will continue to reduce its balance sheet. In my view, both of these decisions were appropriate. The Fed reduced short-term rates by 50 basis points, which was consistent with economic conditions that remain near the threshold of recession.
A potential recession could push even more investors to bond, but recession or not, investors can reap the benefits of core bond exposure.
Since mid-2022, when the Federal Reserve was in the midst of its aggressive hiking cycle, investors piled over $1.6 trillion into money market funds, which include Treasury bills.
As GMO celebrates its 30th anniversary managing emerging debt this year, we offer our comprehensive guide to emerging debt markets. Given the tumultuous recent events – a global pandemic, defaults, repricing of interest rates, relentless strength in the U.S. dollar – we’ll focus on the Why as a starting point. Then we’ll dive into the proliferating How, covering strategies and vehicles.
From "how" to "why now," here are four things investors should understand about bond investing.
Despite forthcoming volatility, it's an ideal time to get municipal debt exposure, especially in the current market environment.
Trend-following is an exercise in technical analysis, systematic rules following, and signals reading that’s objective and agnostic.
History suggests Presidential elections are not nearly as important to the financial markets as the media plays them up to be, and a focus on fundamentals rather than political slogans has generally been beneficial. Historical asset class and sector performance shows virtually no consistent performance pattern under Democratic or Republican Presidents.
The yield curve measures the difference between short-term, intermediate-term, and long-term Treasury yields.
With tax-loss harvesting season on the horizon, investors may want to consider a pair of tax-conscious, active fixed income ETFs.
How are bull and bear markets defined and how should you approach them as an investor?
Investors are using their massive cash piles to lock in attractive yields in global bond markets, helping to limit losses in the asset class, according to Mohamed El-Erian.
While the pace of Federal Reserve cuts is in question, all roads lead to lower interest rates.
Recent Fed commentary and economic data have crystallized investor confidence in rate cuts coming in less than a week
Regardless of which administration takes power after an election, a balanced portfolio has made strong gains in the years immediately after.
History typically shows that election years don't produce major volatility swings in the municipal bond market.
US Treasuries rallied ahead of a closely watched inflation reading that could cement bets on the size of the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate cut this month.
On the back of recent cooling in economic growth, an uptick in unemployment, and moderating inflation, the Federal Reserve (Fed) looks set to begin its rate-cutting cycle at its September meeting.
Bond traders who struggled to predict how high the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates are finding the way down just as vexing.
ETFs saw a record number of inflows in August, including bond-focused funds, which are offering opportunities in corporate debt.
The main focus for investors should is no longer if the Fed will cut rates in 2024, but how much and how quickly the Fed will lower interest rates.
After two days of record sales in the US blue-chip corporate debt market, another 11 companies are looking to sell bonds on Thursday, and demand for the securities is holding strong by key measures.
Despite pullbacks and elevated volatility in the earlier days of the month, major equity indices were up in August.
On this episode of the “ETF of the Week” podcast, VettaFi’s Head of Research Todd Rosenbluth discussed the JPMorgan Ultra-Short Income ETF (JPST) with Chuck Jaffe of “Money Life.” The pair talked about several topics regarding the fund to give investors a deeper understanding of the ETF overall.
In this edition, Harold Evensky explores the challenges facing sustainable and active funds, the implications of the new DOL Fiduciary Rule, and the value of long-term performance projections. With candid observations and critical analysis--read on to gain perspective on navigating the complex world of investing, the importance of risk management, and the role of fiduciary advisors in securing your financial future.
A record number of blue-chip firms swarmed the US corporate bond market on Tuesday, taking advantage of cheaper borrowing costs as they look to issue debt ahead of the US presidential election.
A soft landing for the U.S. economy still appears to be the most likely outcome.
In our view, stagflation scenarios tend to be worse for balanced portfolios than recessions.
The forthcoming presidential election is certainly adding a healthy dose of intrigue into the municipal bond space.
As tax season draws nearer, advisors and investors increasingly look to their portfolio to optimize exposures for taxation purposes.
When you see that behavior at extreme valuations, it tends to be a sign of underlying skittishness and risk aversion. When valuations are setting record extremes because the news can’t get any better, even a slightly less optimistic outlook becomes a risk.
While short-term fluctuations and sudden selloffs have tested the markets, key indicators such as corporate profits, employment data, and economic resilience have held firm.
An extended period of elevated interest rates may have long-term implications for both consumers and businesses—affecting how investors value company shares.
High-yield bonds have been one of the best-performing bond investments so far this year, but there may be better entry points down the road.
The most glaring uncertainties today, which contributed to early August seeing some of the largest market moves in the last several years, are the risks associated with the Federal Reserve’s dual mandate.
It’s been the ultimate no-brainer for more than a year: Park your money in super-safe Treasury bills, earn yields of more than 5%, rinse and repeat. Or as billionaire bond investor Jeffrey Gundlach put it last October, “T-bill and chill.”
Although we think it's too early to declare the economy is in a recession, risk is elevated. For investors who are concerned about a recession, municipal bonds may help buffer a portfolio.
Recent economic data points have been mixed. On the more positive side of the ledger, there’s evidence that inflation is cooling and consumer spending remains sturdy. Conversely, the jobs market is cooling.
Are we going to have a recession? Are we already in a recession?
Before the pandemic hit in 2020, a decade-long bull run in the stock market saw the 60/40 portfolio slowly fall out of favor. With market volatility returning, that 60/40 split appears to be making a comeback.
As recently as the beginning of this year the market pundits were predicting up to six Federal Reserve rate cuts to the short-term Federal Funds Rate. Shockingly, the pundits’ expectations have not come to fruition. Predictions based on the sentiment of the day fill the twenty-four-hour news cycle on multiple outlets.
On this episode of the “ETF of the Week” podcast, VettaFi’s Head of Research Todd Rosenbluth discussed the Capital Group Municipal Income ETF (CGMU) with Chuck Jaffe of “Money Life.” The pair talked about several topics regarding the fund to give investors a deeper understanding of the ETF overall.
Investors including JPMorgan Asset Management, M&G Investments and Aviva Investors say they seized on the retreat in riskier assets at the start of the month to bolster their holdings of emerging-market bonds.
Markets were recently rattled by concerns the U.S. may slip into recession, but it's not clear that those fears are justified.
We manage risk within our strategic, long-term allocations based on diversification across equity, fixed income, and alternative assets.
The BlackRock Flexible Income ETF (BINC) launched less than 15 months ago and is already approaching $4 billion in AUM.
For years, the emphasis within fixed income investing has been to seek security-specific alpha in an illiquid bond market where no single security significantly impacts portfolio returns.
Bond prices whipsawed over the past month as volatility spiked across markets. What's next for fixed income markets?
A year after UBS Group AG completed its emergency takeover of failing rival Credit Suisse, the project is faring better than the Swiss bank dared hope. It’s cut unwanted assets, people and costs faster than it promised — enabling it to deliver forecast-beating profits so far in 2024.
The KraneShares Sustainable Ultra Short Duration Index ETF (KCSH) offers low risk income investing with notable yields and diversification.
Franklin Templeton’s David Mann highlights the firm’s diverse ETF lineup and offers perspective on stocks, bonds, and crypto. VettaFi’s Zeno Mercer goes in-depth on the “Magnificent Seven” stocks.
It's an ideal time to add bonds, especially if they are poised to outperform stocks over the next 10 years.
Actively managed ETFs continued to gain traction in July with $24 billion of net inflows. This represented 19% of the industry’s net inflows.
China’s two-speed economy and the internationalization of the renminbi suggest long-term opportunities may be found amid near-term challenges.
Corporate Credit
Fourth Quarter Strategic Income Outlook
Credit indices rallied during the third quarter, despite a variety of economic headwinds, and it appears FOMO (fear of missing out) is fueling the bullish sentiment more than fundamentals.
Q3 Recap: Value Begins to Take Leadership
Quarterly recap: Fed rate cut and Chinese stimulus take the spotlight.
US Credit Draws In Foreign Investors Eying Lower Costs to Hedge
Foreign investors have been buying more US corporate bonds, a trend that will likely continue as Federal Reserve monetary easing lowers the cost of hedging and investors hunt for yield.
Getting Specific – A Working Strategy
We have openly promoted increasing duration over the last several months. An increase may seem like an odd “wish” as it implies taking on greater price risk.
Securing the Soft Landing
In the wake of pandemic shocks, economies appear more “normal” than at any time since 2019. Yet policy rates remain elevated.
Notes from the Desk: Yields Rise as Strong Labor Markets, "Goldilocks" Economy in Focus
Long-term US Treasury yields rose last week as investors digested mixed economic data that reinforced the idea of a "Goldilocks" economy.
Moving the Needle
The puck has certainly moved since our last market commentary. This month, we argue that the needle on portfolio construction should move with it. Equities have been the driver of returns for much of the last few years.
The Alpha Equation: Myths and Realities
Alpha (α) is a fundamental yet poorly understood concept in finance. Simply put, it is the difference between the return of an investment and that of a risk-adjusted benchmark. In a more advanced definition, alpha is the residual in an asset pricing equation (see Appendix A). Alpha is what active managers strive to achieve and passive managers do not pursue.
For Bond Traders, It’s Wait Till Next Year (Again)
A return to lower yields has been every bond fund manager's dream since the nightmare of 2022. But now, with expectations dashed that they’d get their wish this year, it appears they’ll have to hang their hopes on 2025.
Big Banks Prep for Billions More in Bond Issuance After Earnings
Wall Street banks are expected to launch a barrage of bond sales as soon as next week, capitalizing on ultra-low credit spreads and strong demand from investors after they report quarterly results.
Market Broadens Amid China & Fed Policy Actions. Play the Rotation While Barbelling Your Portfolio
Market participation broadened beyond technology stocks during the third quarter.
US Corporate Bond Spreads Rally to Three-Year Low, Bucking Risks
US investment-grade corporate bond spreads have narrowed to the lowest level in more than three years, a clear sign of just how bullish credit investors are even as macro and geopolitical risks mount.
The U.S. Economy Is on Track for a Soft Landing
Just like road trips can bring unexpected detours, the economy and financial markets are at their own crossroads: recession or soft landing?
Is It Possible to See a Recession and a Great Bull Market?
The Federal Reserve began cutting interest rates. Whether the economy falls into recession, hard or soft, is anyone’s guess.
Corporate Bonds Gain an Edge Over Stocks as Fed Cuts
The outlook for corporate debt is improving now that the Federal Reserve has begun cutting interest rates, according to the latest Bloomberg Markets Live Pulse survey.
High-Quality Corporate Bonds Notch Best Quarter of the Year
Rate cut expectations pushed more investors into investment-grade corporate bonds, giving them their best quarter in nearly a year.
2 Intermediate Bond Options for Immediate Consideration
If the risk of stepping too far out into the yield curve is too much to bear, consider using intermediate bond options.
The Great American Road Trip
As we look at today’s economy and financial markets, we are at a crossroads: Will it be a long straight highway to a soft landing, or will it be a bumpy road to recession?
An Active Approach to Target Maturity
Investors have been embracing actively managed fixed income ETFs in 2024. The latest suite of active ETFs to catch my eye are from State Street Global Advisors.
Navigating High-Yield Bonds: Opportunities, Risks and Fallen Angels
Over the past several years, high-yield bonds have delivered impressive returns, outperforming most other sectors of the fixed income market.
Federal Reserve Rate Cut Helped Propel Markets Forward
September is typically the weakest month of the year for stocks, but thanks to the much-anticipated federal funds rate cut, the S&P 500 turned in its first positive performance in a September since 2019
CLO Cheat Sheet: How to Answer Questions About CLOs
CLOs have delivered the most attractive risk-adjusted returns in fixed income over the past decade, but are often deemed 'too complex.'
7 Reasons to Consider Municipal Bonds Now
We believe municipal bonds currently offer a compelling balance of risk and reward for investors in higher tax brackets.
Why the Euro High-Yield Market May Be Worth the Risk
We think it would be a mistake for investors to let tighter spreads and upcoming maturities deter them from the euro high-yield market.
Ballast of the Portfolio
For many investors, the fixed income portion of their portfolio is intended to be the ballast of the portfolio.
Another Solid Quarter for the Equity Market
The economy reached an inflection point, with labor market conditions squarely in focus.
Fed Rate Cutting Cycle Begins With a Bang
The bond market is overextrapolating recession risk.
Global Debt Binge Brings Record $600 Billion of Bond Sales
Companies and governments around the globe spent the past month streaming into debt markets, seizing on declining interest rates ahead of an uncertain US presidential election that many fear will spur volatility in markets.
Suddenly Asia Is Place to Be as Stocks, Currencies Outperform
Asian assets swung violently over the past three months, rocked by a succession of epochal events that culminated in a giant stimulus boost for China and propelled the region’s equities to world beaters.
The Appeal of Agency Mortgage-Backed Securities in a Shifting Economic Landscape
While agency mortgage-backed securities offer compelling valuations, not every mortgage is created equally.
Stocks Are In and Bonds Are Out: Top Trades for the Rest of the Year
US stocks will outperform the nation’s government and corporate bonds for the rest of this year as the Federal Reserve keeps cutting interest rates, the latest Bloomberg Markets Live Pulse survey shows.
The Fed Goes Big: What’s Next for Asset Allocation?
After months if not years of investors asking when the Fed would cut rates, we finally got our answer.
Wealth and Taxes: The Potential Benefits of Municipal Bond Investing
Explore fixed-income tools that generate income and infrastructure.
Fixed Income Strategy as the Economic Cycle Takes a Turn
Fixed income strategy and opportunities have remained relatively unchanged over the past few months. However, the much-talked-about monetary policy change has commenced.
Core Score: How a New Approach to Credit Investing May Harness More Alpha
Historically, investors have struggled to add meaningful alpha through security selection. A dynamic new credit scoring approach could change that.
With Uncertainty Ahead, Intermediate Bonds Offer Opportunities
Fixed income investors may want to take a middle-ground approach with bonds and opt for debt with intermediate maturity dates.
Asking a Better Question
On September 18, the Federal Reserve cut the Federal funds rate, as expected, announcing at the same time that the Fed will continue to reduce its balance sheet. In my view, both of these decisions were appropriate. The Fed reduced short-term rates by 50 basis points, which was consistent with economic conditions that remain near the threshold of recession.
Recession Or Not, Investors Can Benefit From Core Bonds
A potential recession could push even more investors to bond, but recession or not, investors can reap the benefits of core bond exposure.
Considering Moving Out of T-bills? A Guide to Determine What’s Next in Your Portfolio
Since mid-2022, when the Federal Reserve was in the midst of its aggressive hiking cycle, investors piled over $1.6 trillion into money market funds, which include Treasury bills.
The What-Why-When-How Guide to Owning Emerging Debt
As GMO celebrates its 30th anniversary managing emerging debt this year, we offer our comprehensive guide to emerging debt markets. Given the tumultuous recent events – a global pandemic, defaults, repricing of interest rates, relentless strength in the U.S. dollar – we’ll focus on the Why as a starting point. Then we’ll dive into the proliferating How, covering strategies and vehicles.
How to Build a Bond Portfolio
From "how" to "why now," here are four things investors should understand about bond investing.
Don't Shy Away From Munis to Avoid Election Volatility
Despite forthcoming volatility, it's an ideal time to get municipal debt exposure, especially in the current market environment.
Opportunity Clues in Trend-Following ETFs
Trend-following is an exercise in technical analysis, systematic rules following, and signals reading that’s objective and agnostic.
Fade the Election
History suggests Presidential elections are not nearly as important to the financial markets as the media plays them up to be, and a focus on fundamentals rather than political slogans has generally been beneficial. Historical asset class and sector performance shows virtually no consistent performance pattern under Democratic or Republican Presidents.
Getting Back to Normal: The Yield Curve
The yield curve measures the difference between short-term, intermediate-term, and long-term Treasury yields.
Tax-Loss Harvesting? These Fixed Income ETFs Deserve a Look
With tax-loss harvesting season on the horizon, investors may want to consider a pair of tax-conscious, active fixed income ETFs.
Bull vs. Bear: Understanding Market Phases
How are bull and bear markets defined and how should you approach them as an investor?
El-Erian Says Cash on Sidelines Is Minimizing Bond Market Losses
Investors are using their massive cash piles to lock in attractive yields in global bond markets, helping to limit losses in the asset class, according to Mohamed El-Erian.
Federal Reserve: On the Road Again
While the pace of Federal Reserve cuts is in question, all roads lead to lower interest rates.
Positioning Ahead of the Fed: ETFs for a Lower Rate Era
Recent Fed commentary and economic data have crystallized investor confidence in rate cuts coming in less than a week
Who’s Going to Win the U.S. Presidential Election? For Markets, Does It Really Matter?
Regardless of which administration takes power after an election, a balanced portfolio has made strong gains in the years immediately after.
Don't Let an Election Year Keep You From Munis
History typically shows that election years don't produce major volatility swings in the municipal bond market.
US Two-Year Yield Falls to Lowest Since 2022 Ahead of CPI Report
US Treasuries rallied ahead of a closely watched inflation reading that could cement bets on the size of the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate cut this month.
Do AAA CLOs Still Make Sense in a Declining Rate Environment?
On the back of recent cooling in economic growth, an uptick in unemployment, and moderating inflation, the Federal Reserve (Fed) looks set to begin its rate-cutting cycle at its September meeting.
The Bond Market Rally Rides on How Fast the Fed Cuts Rates
Bond traders who struggled to predict how high the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates are finding the way down just as vexing.
Higher ETF Inflows Could Benefit Corporate Bond Funds
ETFs saw a record number of inflows in August, including bond-focused funds, which are offering opportunities in corporate debt.
Fed Rate Cuts Coming in September: What’s Next?
The main focus for investors should is no longer if the Fed will cut rates in 2024, but how much and how quickly the Fed will lower interest rates.
Blue-Chip Company Debt Deluge Hits Record Two-Day Streak
After two days of record sales in the US blue-chip corporate debt market, another 11 companies are looking to sell bonds on Thursday, and demand for the securities is holding strong by key measures.
Fed Rate Cuts Give Higher Probability of the Great Rotation Occurring
Despite pullbacks and elevated volatility in the earlier days of the month, major equity indices were up in August.
JPMorgan Ultra-Short Income ETF (JPST)
On this episode of the “ETF of the Week” podcast, VettaFi’s Head of Research Todd Rosenbluth discussed the JPMorgan Ultra-Short Income ETF (JPST) with Chuck Jaffe of “Money Life.” The pair talked about several topics regarding the fund to give investors a deeper understanding of the ETF overall.
Navigating the Investment Landscape: Insights and Warnings
In this edition, Harold Evensky explores the challenges facing sustainable and active funds, the implications of the new DOL Fiduciary Rule, and the value of long-term performance projections. With candid observations and critical analysis--read on to gain perspective on navigating the complex world of investing, the importance of risk management, and the role of fiduciary advisors in securing your financial future.
Firms Pile Into Bond Market in Busiest Day on Record
A record number of blue-chip firms swarmed the US corporate bond market on Tuesday, taking advantage of cheaper borrowing costs as they look to issue debt ahead of the US presidential election.
August Sees Markets Close Strong After Tough Start
A soft landing for the U.S. economy still appears to be the most likely outcome.
Stagflation vs. Recession
In our view, stagflation scenarios tend to be worse for balanced portfolios than recessions.
Election Year Adds Intrigue to Municipal Bonds
The forthcoming presidential election is certainly adding a healthy dose of intrigue into the municipal bond space.
The Tax Implications of Your Short-Term Investments
As tax season draws nearer, advisors and investors increasingly look to their portfolio to optimize exposures for taxation purposes.
Fed Pivots and Baby Aspirin
When you see that behavior at extreme valuations, it tends to be a sign of underlying skittishness and risk aversion. When valuations are setting record extremes because the news can’t get any better, even a slightly less optimistic outlook becomes a risk.
Fundamentals Matter
While short-term fluctuations and sudden selloffs have tested the markets, key indicators such as corporate profits, employment data, and economic resilience have held firm.
Debt Burdens, Elevated Rates to Test Equity Investors
An extended period of elevated interest rates may have long-term implications for both consumers and businesses—affecting how investors value company shares.
High-Yield Bonds: Are They Attractive Now?
High-yield bonds have been one of the best-performing bond investments so far this year, but there may be better entry points down the road.
Let’s Get Real (Rates)!
The most glaring uncertainties today, which contributed to early August seeing some of the largest market moves in the last several years, are the risks associated with the Federal Reserve’s dual mandate.
‘T-Bill and Chill’ Is a Hard Habit for Investors to Break
It’s been the ultimate no-brainer for more than a year: Park your money in super-safe Treasury bills, earn yields of more than 5%, rinse and repeat. Or as billionaire bond investor Jeffrey Gundlach put it last October, “T-bill and chill.”
Five Reasons Munis May Offer Shelter in Recession
Although we think it's too early to declare the economy is in a recession, risk is elevated. For investors who are concerned about a recession, municipal bonds may help buffer a portfolio.
Corporate Bond Outlook Is Solid
Recent economic data points have been mixed. On the more positive side of the ledger, there’s evidence that inflation is cooling and consumer spending remains sturdy. Conversely, the jobs market is cooling.
DoubleLine on Recession, Current Positioning, and U.S. Debt
Are we going to have a recession? Are we already in a recession?
Increased Volatility Brings Back the 60/40 Portfolio
Before the pandemic hit in 2020, a decade-long bull run in the stock market saw the 60/40 portfolio slowly fall out of favor. With market volatility returning, that 60/40 split appears to be making a comeback.
The Long Term Approach vs. Short Term Noise
As recently as the beginning of this year the market pundits were predicting up to six Federal Reserve rate cuts to the short-term Federal Funds Rate. Shockingly, the pundits’ expectations have not come to fruition. Predictions based on the sentiment of the day fill the twenty-four-hour news cycle on multiple outlets.
Capital Group Municipal Income ETF (CGMU)
On this episode of the “ETF of the Week” podcast, VettaFi’s Head of Research Todd Rosenbluth discussed the Capital Group Municipal Income ETF (CGMU) with Chuck Jaffe of “Money Life.” The pair talked about several topics regarding the fund to give investors a deeper understanding of the ETF overall.
JPMorgan, Aviva Shrug Off EM Rout on Bet for Soft US Landing
Investors including JPMorgan Asset Management, M&G Investments and Aviva Investors say they seized on the retreat in riskier assets at the start of the month to bolster their holdings of emerging-market bonds.
Schwab Market Perspective: Spinning
Markets were recently rattled by concerns the U.S. may slip into recession, but it's not clear that those fears are justified.
The August 2024 Dashboard: Our Three Layers of Risk Management
We manage risk within our strategic, long-term allocations based on diversification across equity, fixed income, and alternative assets.
Golden Age for Fixed Income at BlackRock
The BlackRock Flexible Income ETF (BINC) launched less than 15 months ago and is already approaching $4 billion in AUM.
Building Blocks of Fixed Income: A Macro Framework
For years, the emphasis within fixed income investing has been to seek security-specific alpha in an illiquid bond market where no single security significantly impacts portfolio returns.
Bond Market: Shaken, Not Stirred
Bond prices whipsawed over the past month as volatility spiked across markets. What's next for fixed income markets?
UBS’ Yard Sale Is the Star of Its Earnings Show
A year after UBS Group AG completed its emergency takeover of failing rival Credit Suisse, the project is faring better than the Swiss bank dared hope. It’s cut unwanted assets, people and costs faster than it promised — enabling it to deliver forecast-beating profits so far in 2024.
Diversify Your Income Portfolio Without Sacrificing Yields
The KraneShares Sustainable Ultra Short Duration Index ETF (KCSH) offers low risk income investing with notable yields and diversification.
Franklin Templeton’s David Mann on Stocks, Bonds, & Crypto
Franklin Templeton’s David Mann highlights the firm’s diverse ETF lineup and offers perspective on stocks, bonds, and crypto. VettaFi’s Zeno Mercer goes in-depth on the “Magnificent Seven” stocks.
Bonds Could Be Poised to Outperform Stocks in Next Decade
It's an ideal time to add bonds, especially if they are poised to outperform stocks over the next 10 years.
Growing Supply of Active Municipal Bond ETFs
Actively managed ETFs continued to gain traction in July with $24 billion of net inflows. This represented 19% of the industry’s net inflows.
China's Nuanced Outlook May Favor Corporate Bonds
China’s two-speed economy and the internationalization of the renminbi suggest long-term opportunities may be found amid near-term challenges.