Join the experts at GraniteShares and VettaFi for a state-of-the-category briefing covering where flows are heading, what advisors are reallocating from, and how the autocallable has held up in different rate and volatility regimes.
As investors seek new sources of income beyond traditional fixed income, derivative-based strategies offer different ways to seek income from equity markets. Join ProShares Global Investment Strategist Simeon Hyman for a discussion on Autocallable Income and High Income ETFs, how these strategies work, and their potential roles in advisor portfolios.
For many investors, the allocation to fixed income is intended to be the ballast of the portfolio with a primary objective of preserving wealth. Investment-grade bonds, which are those with ratings of Baa3/BBB- or higher, typically make up most, if not all, of many fixed income allocations.
The AI boom is reshaping the U.S. economy in ways that are becoming increasingly difficult to separate from the broader macroeconomic outlook. The race to build AI infrastructure has fueled a surge in imports of semiconductors, servers, and other computing equipment, while data center construction has become an increasingly important source of business investment.
Last week brought dramatic developments across the markets. The plunge in technology stocks, particularly those tied to artificial intelligence, did not surprise us. Recognizing a bubble in search of a pin, we had been expecting it to burst for some time. When it finally began to do so last week, it dragged the broader market down with it.
The US midterm elections have brought about a major political realignment, with the Democratic Party taking decisive control of both the House and the Senate. What are the most likely implications for the economic outlook and financial markets?
The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) has released its latest Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), providing forecasts for energy markets. This article presents the annual production outlooks for crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs), comparing the November 2026 projections against the previous month's estimates.
The greatest investment risk at the moment is the inclination to confuse the length of time a bubble has persisted with proof that a bubble does not exist.
Broadly speaking, investors eyeing retirement often have many goals in mind, particularly income. And when inflation, geopolitical uncertainty, and rising interest rates are all playing out at the same time, achieving this can often present a challenge.
Anthropic’s backers were reportedly seeking a $2 trillion valuation for the forthcoming listing back in August. The market backdrop is very different today. Rising interest rates and a potential US policy shift on data centers following the midterm elections have pummeled tech valuations.
Voters sent a clear message about data centers on Tuesday. We take it seriously. But data centers are one node in a larger AI-infrastructure build: chips, networks, power, cooling, sites and the capital that funds them. We have to look past the heavy rhetoric to what the policy can actually do.
Dividend ETFs have long been an investor favorite for their unique defensive flavor and total-return profile in the face of sticky inflation, rising interest rates, and volatile markets. While bonds may struggle with price erosion in rising rate cycles, and growth equities may face valuation compression, dividend stocks can offer resilience through cash flow and lower equity duration.
The U.S. midterm election results could slow the AI buildout and near-term issuance but are unlikely to materially reduce its ultimate scale or financing needs. The pace of supply may slow, but concentration risk is unlikely to dissipate, reinforcing the case for diversification into high quality securitized products and emerging markets (EM).
Despite some volatility caused by the midterm elections last week, mega-cap cash flows remain resilient, earnings continue to come in better-than-expected, and corporate balance sheets remain fundamentally sound even as late-cycle pressures emerge.
Inflation rose 0.4% month-over-month in October, down from September's print of 0.6%. The headline figure for the Consumer Price Index (CPI) was also higher than economist estimates of 0.3%.
Families often put it off. Talking about money with aging parents touches on mortality, independence, and family dynamics. A financial advisor may already have a reason to bring the family together, a record of the client's finances, and a relationship that predates the emergency. The bill for care comes either way. Families who see it coming have more say in how they meet it.
We tend to treat values-aligned investing as a knowledge problem. As long as you learn the impact investing strategies, the client conversations will follow. However, after working alongside impact investors, wealth advisors, and the families around them, I’ve come to think there’s been a misdiagnosis.
The S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average (Dow), and Nasdaq Composite are all stock market indexes used to measure the performance of various aspects of the U.S. stock market. The indexes generally rise and fall together; however, the extent of gains or losses produced by each can differ depending on market conditions and the state of the economy.
The index that has served investors well for decades is suddenly considered passé. This puts prudent advisors in a bind. The main driver is recency bias. After several strong years in the market, many investors, especially those who have never lived through a serious bear market, assume that strong returns are forever.
The flexibility and tax efficiency of the wrapper has helped the ETF ecosystem blossom and the strategies available evolve.
Health Savings Accounts offer Americans a tax-free way to save for medical expenses. Now, some are using them to trade stocks — and dabble in risky bets they wouldn't touch in their 401(k) or brokerage accounts.
Let’s start with the inverse relationship between bond price and the yield. When a bond is issued, its coupon is fixed for life. The only thing that changes is the yield that new buyers demand. Let me explain.
Nominal and real yields have risen, creating some of the most attractive opportunities investors have seen in fixed income in several years. A resilient economy, higher oil prices, sticky inflation and growing worry about the deficit have all contributed to higher yields across much of the bond market.
The shift to artificial intelligence models that can carry out tasks, not just generate content, hasn’t yet taken off in the way the tech industry desperately needs it to.
The employment report was extraordinarily strong, with approximately 165,000 jobs created, well above expectations, and upward revisions of 84,000 for the previous two months. Almost all the gains were in the private sector, with manufacturing adding 19,000 jobs.
Tuesday’s midterms were one for the history books. Democrats won control of both the House and Senate, and they picked up governorships in Ohio, Texas and Georgia. Kansas elected a Democrat to the Senate for the first time since 1932. Our home state of Texas did so for the first time in 38 years.
Our investment teams weigh what comes next for stocks, bonds, and AI to help you explain what may come next.
You do get rewarded for pushing duration out, with a steep increase from 30 days to one year, and a more moderate — but still substantial — increment in return for going out to five years.
Politicians, particularly when they’re on the winning end of the deal, often say “elections have consequences.” It’s true. And it’s wisdom that advisors and muni bond investors need to remember.
In this article, I explain what credit spreads are and why they matter to stock investors. I also examine what they are signaling today by reviewing key spreads across the credit curve, historical percentiles, and relative value metrics.
Hedge funds dumped technology stocks at one of the fastest paces on record last week, and the momentum crash that followed was the biggest in about 40 years. Even so, few on Wall Street are ready to call time on the AI boom.
A client considering a passive ESG fund may associate “passive” with the low-cost, diversified market exposure familiar from broad-market index funds. But understanding how the fund tracks its index is different from understanding the sustainability judgments that index expresses.
A global tech rout continues to remind investors that volatility can strike at any time. That’s especially true in today’s market environment, where stretched megacap technology valuations and broader equity indices have elevated concentration risk.
Chris Galipeau discusses high-conviction insights that go beyond media headlines.
Portfolio Manager Denny Fish explains why the market was justified in assigning a higher level of regulatory risk to the AI ecosystem after the midterm elections. But in his view, the secular strength of this theme, along with the massive bottlenecks and geopolitical implications, mean that this historic investment cycle will likely continue.
Franklin Templeton Institute’s Stephen Dover and Larry Hatheway opine on the US stock market’s recent volatility in the wake of the US midterm elections and the path forward for investors.
Traditionally speaking, when one is choosing to lean into a particular sector of the equity market, they’re going to want to lean into the one that’s offering the best performance.
In recent years, getting tech exposure was easy. You bought an index fund, whether a mutual fund or an ETF, and let the biggest names carry the portfolio. Now, those names make up such a significant share of large-cap indices that advisors are getting nervous. Indeed, many are looking elsewhere for the next stretch of compounding growth typically associated with the tech sector.
Here is a look at real (inflation-adjusted) charts of the S&P 500, Dow 30, and Nasdaq composite since their 2000 highs. We've updated this through the October 2026 close.
The S&P 500 real monthly averages of daily closes reached a its all-time high in October 2026. Let's examine the past to broaden our understanding of the range of historical bull and bear market trends in market performance.
The yield on the 10-year note finished November 6, 2026 at 4.86% while the 2-year note ended at 4.51%.
Here is a summary of the four market valuation indicators we update on a monthly basis.
The Q Ratio is the total price of the market divided by the replacement cost of all its companies. As of October 2026, the latest Q-ratio is at 2.35.
Based on October's S&P 500 average of daily closes, the Crestmont P/E of 44.6 is 189% above its arithmetic mean, 217% above its geometric mean, and is in the 100th percentile of this 14-plus-decade series.
The inflation-adjusted S&P Composite Index was 213% above its long-term trend at the end of October.
The unprecedented investment boom to build out the infrastructure for artificial intelligence is projected to reach more than $10 trillion, if all current plans are realized. The money is coming from many sources, including corporate cash flows, public equity and debt issuance, private debt issuance, off-balance sheet lease obligations and guarantees to AI data center developers from so-called hyperscalers and the leading chip provider, Nividia Corp.
For years, companies trying to mine or process the rare elements vital to the performance of electric vehicles, drones, medical devices, LEDs, jet engines and computer chips had to fight for every cent.
Democrats won control of both the House and Senate in Tuesday’s midterm elections, according to The Associated Press. The results set up a divided government for the final two years of President Donald Trump’s term. This could have repercussions when it comes to healthcare stocks.
Investors are grappling with an evolving set of risks as 2026 draws to a close. The scale of the AI build-out is influencing more sectors and industries. Rising interest rates are reshaping market dynamics as inflation threats linger.
US state and local government debt is on track to notch its strongest October in more than four decades, as a relief rally follows one of the worst months for the bond market in years.
Understanding the FAFSA process can help families navigate college financial aid. Bill Cass, director of US Wealth Planning, explores five important considerations, from income and assets to application timing and aid offers.
The 2026 midterms may have changed Washington, but they haven’t changed the macro regime. Tariffs, geopolitics, and deficits remain key forces for investors.
The votes have been cast. While control of the House and Senate has been decided, now we wait for the final tallies (and celebrate the end of the political ads — at least for another 20 months or so). We’re not political strategists, but policy does move markets, so it’s important to pay attention.
Amid a rapidly changing world, where China’s rise as an industrial powerhouse has nations around the globe on alert, we believe that American reindustrialization will be an important driver of investment returns in the decade ahead.
We have been writing extensively about the rapid evolution of crypto ETFs, and recent data reinforces why digital assets remain top of mind for wealth managers. According to CoinShares, financial advisors hold roughly 55% of Wall Street’s total bitcoin ETF stake at the end of the second quarter, cementing their role as primary drivers of long-term digital asset adoption.
Duration management is a key function of fixed income portfolio management. However, as yields have moved approximately 100 bps in 2026 and the monetary regime has sharply changed from rate cuts to rate hikes, duration management has come into greater focus.
Municipal bonds posted their best month since 2023. See how high-yield muni ETFs help advisors capitalize on the municipal market recovery.
Join Amy Y. Zhang, CFA, Portfolio Manager of the Alger Mid Cap 40 ETF (FRTY), for an in-depth discussion on today's mid-cap opportunity set and where she is uncovering high-conviction ideas across transformative themes such as artificial intelligence and healthcare innovation.
On the surface, financial conditions appear to be easing: the FOMC held rates steady last week, and Treasury yields have retreated from their recent highs. But that rally reflects a flight to safety, driven by growing questions about the durability and financing of the AI investment cycle.
US equities plunged Thursday as a rotation out of chipmakers deepened and investors looked past the initial relief rally following the US midterm elections.
The world’s advanced economies could be facing a slow-moving train wreck that they appear powerless to stop. We are no longer producing enough babies.
October reminded investors that markets rarely move in response to a single factor. The US economy continued to expand at a moderate pace, supported by healthy consumer spending and solid business activity, even as markets contended with higher energy prices, renewed inflation concerns and heightened geopolitical tensions.
Following U.S. midterm results, Paul Eitelman, Chief Investment Strategist, Russell Investments, shares the potential implications for markets and the data center rollout. Views are as of 10:00 am Eastern Time on November 4, 2026.
Notwithstanding that the major U.S. equity indexes are sitting on healthy double-digit gains heading into the final two months of 2026, the calm at the index level belies a lot of churn and rotation underneath.
Taken together, these trends point to a healthier, broader economic backdrop than the AI-driven narrative alone would suggest. For us as investors, it reinforces the case for individual, fundamental stockpicking over simply riding the AI wave. There's more supporting this market than one theme, and that breadth matters for how we position portfolios.
Equity markets are caught between tighter liquidity conditions and increased geopolitical uncertainty on the one hand, and solid economic growth and corporate earnings on the other. We have consequently reduced our exposure to stocks leading into year end.
As investor interest in Anthropic’s upcoming IPO grows, ETFs are finding new ways to offer exposure to private companies through derivatives tied to perpetual futures. Recent regulatory developments could accelerate the use of these instruments across the ETF industry, but they also introduce new risks and complexities.
As AI tools remove friction from administrative tasks, more clients flow into the pipeline, stretching advisor capacity without fortifying the infrastructure required to support it. Every efficiency created for an advisor can generate additional work elsewhere, with much of it landing on client service and operations teams.
Although AI reasoning tools drastically speed up workflow—allowing single individuals to build complex financial platforms—they tend to produce generic consensus, overlook subtle guidance, and push inexperienced users toward crowded, high-risk strategies.
Focus on raising the brand of your firm. We call it “standing out in a crowded market”. Take a look at what you are saying and find ways to differentiate yourself so people become curious and want to learn more about what you can do for them. Websites don’t sell anything but they do tell a story. Make sure your story is a solid one.
Fixed income ETFs shattered all-time records in October, amassing an unprecedented $74 billion in monthly net inflows. The milestone marked a record sixth consecutive month with more than $50 billion in allocations. This streak never occurred in the industry prior to this year.
Google parent Alphabet Inc. is back in the municipal bond market for the second time this year with a $1.5 billion prepaid energy deal.
While US midterm election results historically bode well for stocks regardless of which party wins, some Wall Street strategists are warning clients to temper their bullishness this time around.
One concern raised by the recent backup in rates is whether CRE is about to relive the stress of 2023, when depressed post-pandemic office demand coincided with rising rates and a regional bank crisis, including Silicon Valley Bank and First Republic Bank. The selloff in public REITs suggests investors are repricing property values for a higher-rate world.
Almost three years have passed since the SEC approved spot Bitcoin ETFs, bringing crypto and digital assets investing to a whole new audience. The asset class has evolved in that time, becoming a bigger and bigger part of investor and advisor plans.
Elevated Treasury yields have created attractive income opportunities across the fixed income markets. Corporate and municipal bonds offer additional yield opportunities, while positively sloped yield curves provide investors with further motivations to extend maturities. For many investors, the opportunity to capture higher income and lock it in for longer periods has renewed interest in exploring bond swaps.
We expect the rotation to continue. The earnings bar is high—very high. Any minor misstep has led to punishment, which has led to rotation. Rotation is not a bad thing, and if you are running a diversified equity portfolio, you should be in good shape.
The Federal Reserve meeting last week was largely uneventful. The S&P 500 and the 10-year Treasury yield ending the trading session almost exactly where they stood before the Fed’s announcements. Despite some disagreements within the Fed, there was virtually no forward guidance.
From earlier detection and more precise treatments to smarter medical technology, the healthcare sector continues to reinvent products that improve and save lives. Yet healthcare stocks have struggled to reflect that progress, overshadowed in recent years by investor enthusiasm for AI beneficiaries.
The 10-year Treasury yield has experienced dramatic fluctuations, ranging from a peak of 15.68% in October 1981, during the height of the Volcker era, to a historic low of 0.55% in August 2020, amidst the economic uncertainty of the pandemic. At the end of October 2026, the weekly average stood at 4.99%.
When I introduce the emotional side of money to my financial planning students at Golden Gate University, the most common reaction is shock that it was never part of their formal education.
With the Fed resuming rate hikes, inflation remaining above target, and market volatility returning as a persistent feature of the investment landscape, advisors are increasingly turning to income not tied to duration or credit risk.
While market valuations remain on the loftier side, investors face a familiar dilemma. Chasing pure growth leaves portfolios vulnerable to sharp drawdowns, while hiding in traditional “deep value” risks inheriting mature businesses in structural decline — classic value traps.
The broad markets experienced volatility in the 3rd quarter with concerns over the impact of energy prices on inflation as well as CapEx spending by hyperscaler companies in the AI space driving technology stocks. The price of WTI Crude oil rallied sharply during the quarter by nearly 30%.
Once prone to external shocks, Latin America has weathered this year’s geopolitical upheavals largely unscathed.
Oil and natural gas extended a plunge on unconfirmed reports of further diplomacy in the US-Iran conflict. The US approved a draft memorandum of understanding that the Qatari delegation presented to Iran yesterday, the Al Araby news service reported Tuesday, citing sources close to the mediation team.
The Bank of Japan’s decision to accelerate sales of exchange-traded funds could boost its payments to the government, potentially helping Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi finance her costly policy agenda.
Technology took us out of our homes. It gave us a boss, office politics and an alarm clock — and it was awful. We got used to it; we made it work. Now technology might take those jobs away. But perhaps it will also restore the autonomy and flexibility that once defined work.
A few years back, I compared two island-nations whose leaders came to power in 1959. At the time, Cuba was by far the wealthier of the two—rich in sugar, tobacco and tourism—while Singapore was a sleepy former colonial outpost with almost no natural resources.
Last week, the AI trade began to crack further with Alphabet’s release, missing on both the top and bottom lines. Mirroring Meta’s print from the prior week, massive AI capex turned free cash flow negative, alarming investors.
ETF
The Rise Of Autocallable ETFs: Benefits of Diversified Income Sources
Join the experts at GraniteShares and VettaFi for a state-of-the-category briefing covering where flows are heading, what advisors are reallocating from, and how the autocallable has held up in different rate and volatility regimes.
Beyond Traditional Income: Exploring Autocallable and High Income ETFs
As investors seek new sources of income beyond traditional fixed income, derivative-based strategies offer different ways to seek income from equity markets. Join ProShares Global Investment Strategist Simeon Hyman for a discussion on Autocallable Income and High Income ETFs, how these strategies work, and their potential roles in advisor portfolios.
Quality Check-in
For many investors, the allocation to fixed income is intended to be the ballast of the portfolio with a primary objective of preserving wealth. Investment-grade bonds, which are those with ratings of Baa3/BBB- or higher, typically make up most, if not all, of many fixed income allocations.
Retain Your Focus on Economic Fundamentals
The AI boom is reshaping the U.S. economy in ways that are becoming increasingly difficult to separate from the broader macroeconomic outlook. The race to build AI infrastructure has fueled a surge in imports of semiconductors, servers, and other computing equipment, while data center construction has become an increasingly important source of business investment.
The Precious Metals Sector’s Impressive Relative Breakout—and What It Portends
Last week brought dramatic developments across the markets. The plunge in technology stocks, particularly those tied to artificial intelligence, did not surprise us. Recognizing a bubble in search of a pin, we had been expecting it to burst for some time. When it finally began to do so last week, it dragged the broader market down with it.
On My Mind: Out of the Blue
The US midterm elections have brought about a major political realignment, with the Democratic Party taking decisive control of both the House and the Senate. What are the most likely implications for the economic outlook and financial markets?
Short-Term Energy Outlook: November 2026
The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) has released its latest Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), providing forecasts for energy markets. This article presents the annual production outlooks for crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs), comparing the November 2026 projections against the previous month's estimates.
The Free Money Bubble
The greatest investment risk at the moment is the inclination to confuse the length of time a bubble has persisted with proof that a bubble does not exist.
Got Retirement on the Mind? Explore the Income Potential of CLOs
Broadly speaking, investors eyeing retirement often have many goals in mind, particularly income. And when inflation, geopolitical uncertainty, and rising interest rates are all playing out at the same time, achieving this can often present a challenge.
An Anthropic IPO at $1.4 Trillion Is No Bargain
Anthropic’s backers were reportedly seeking a $2 trillion valuation for the forthcoming listing back in August. The market backdrop is very different today. Rising interest rates and a potential US policy shift on data centers following the midterm elections have pummeled tech valuations.
The Build May Get Harder. The Need Does Not Go Away.
Voters sent a clear message about data centers on Tuesday. We take it seriously. But data centers are one node in a larger AI-infrastructure build: chips, networks, power, cooling, sites and the capital that funds them. We have to look past the heavy rhetoric to what the policy can actually do.
Inside the Billions Pouring Into Dividend ETFs
Dividend ETFs have long been an investor favorite for their unique defensive flavor and total-return profile in the face of sticky inflation, rising interest rates, and volatile markets. While bonds may struggle with price erosion in rising rate cycles, and growth equities may face valuation compression, dividend stocks can offer resilience through cash flow and lower equity duration.
Where to Seek Diversification From the AI Investment Theme
The U.S. midterm election results could slow the AI buildout and near-term issuance but are unlikely to materially reduce its ultimate scale or financing needs. The pace of supply may slow, but concentration risk is unlikely to dissipate, reinforcing the case for diversification into high quality securitized products and emerging markets (EM).
Earnings Breadth Hits Near-Record Highs, But Cracks Emerge at the Margins
Despite some volatility caused by the midterm elections last week, mega-cap cash flows remain resilient, earnings continue to come in better-than-expected, and corporate balance sheets remain fundamentally sound even as late-cycle pressures emerge.
Consumer Price Index: Inflation Rose 0.4% MoM in October
Inflation rose 0.4% month-over-month in October, down from September's print of 0.6%. The headline figure for the Consumer Price Index (CPI) was also higher than economist estimates of 0.3%.
The Bill for Care Comes Either Way
Families often put it off. Talking about money with aging parents touches on mortality, independence, and family dynamics. A financial advisor may already have a reason to bring the family together, a record of the client's finances, and a relationship that predates the emergency. The bill for care comes either way. Families who see it coming have more say in how they meet it.
The Blank-Page Problem in Values-Aligned Investing
We tend to treat values-aligned investing as a knowledge problem. As long as you learn the impact investing strategies, the client conversations will follow. However, after working alongside impact investors, wealth advisors, and the families around them, I’ve come to think there’s been a misdiagnosis.
The S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq: Real Returns Since 2000 Peak (October 2026)
The S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average (Dow), and Nasdaq Composite are all stock market indexes used to measure the performance of various aspects of the U.S. stock market. The indexes generally rise and fall together; however, the extent of gains or losses produced by each can differ depending on market conditions and the state of the economy.
When 12% Becomes “Conservative”
The index that has served investors well for decades is suddenly considered passé. This puts prudent advisors in a bind. The main driver is recency bias. After several strong years in the market, many investors, especially those who have never lived through a serious bear market, assume that strong returns are forever.
ETF Roundup: October Launches Include Active, Thematic ETFs
The flexibility and tax efficiency of the wrapper has helped the ETF ecosystem blossom and the strategies available evolve.
The Hot New Place to Bet on Stocks Is a Health Savings Account
Health Savings Accounts offer Americans a tax-free way to save for medical expenses. Now, some are using them to trade stocks — and dabble in risky bets they wouldn't touch in their 401(k) or brokerage accounts.
How Bonds Work: Everything You Need To Know
Let’s start with the inverse relationship between bond price and the yield. When a bond is issued, its coupon is fixed for life. The only thing that changes is the yield that new buyers demand. Let me explain.
Outlook: A Review of the Corporate, Agency and Municipal Sectors Given Tight Spreads and Record Issuance
Nominal and real yields have risen, creating some of the most attractive opportunities investors have seen in fixed income in several years. A resilient economy, higher oil prices, sticky inflation and growing worry about the deficit have all contributed to higher yields across much of the bond market.
AI Agents Are a Solution Looking for a Problem
The shift to artificial intelligence models that can carry out tasks, not just generate content, hasn’t yet taken off in the way the tech industry desperately needs it to.
Strong Jobs Report Reinforces Outlook and Market Rotation
The employment report was extraordinarily strong, with approximately 165,000 jobs created, well above expectations, and upward revisions of 84,000 for the previous two months. Almost all the gains were in the private sector, with manufacturing adding 19,000 jobs.
What Stocks Have Done Under a Republican President and a Democratic Congress
Tuesday’s midterms were one for the history books. Democrats won control of both the House and Senate, and they picked up governorships in Ohio, Texas and Georgia. Kansas elected a Democrat to the Senate for the first time since 1932. Our home state of Texas did so for the first time in 38 years.
After the Election: What Matters for Your Clients’ Portfolios
Our investment teams weigh what comes next for stocks, bonds, and AI to help you explain what may come next.
Do Bond Investors Get Rewarded for Taking Duration Risk? (Part 1)
You do get rewarded for pushing duration out, with a steep increase from 30 days to one year, and a more moderate — but still substantial — increment in return for going out to five years.
Muni Bonds Face a Variety of Post-Election Possibilities
Politicians, particularly when they’re on the winning end of the deal, often say “elections have consequences.” It’s true. And it’s wisdom that advisors and muni bond investors need to remember.
Credit Spreads: Calm at the Top, Concern at the Bottom
In this article, I explain what credit spreads are and why they matter to stock investors. I also examine what they are signaling today by reviewing key spreads across the credit curve, historical percentiles, and relative value metrics.
Wall Street Sticks With AI Playbook After Historic Tech Unwind
Hedge funds dumped technology stocks at one of the fastest paces on record last week, and the momentum crash that followed was the biggest in about 40 years. Even so, few on Wall Street are ready to call time on the AI boom.
The Active Decisions Inside Every Passive ESG Fund
A client considering a passive ESG fund may associate “passive” with the low-cost, diversified market exposure familiar from broad-market index funds. But understanding how the fund tracks its index is different from understanding the sustainability judgments that index expresses.
Seek Shelter From Tech Volatility With Real Asset ETFs
A global tech rout continues to remind investors that volatility can strike at any time. That’s especially true in today’s market environment, where stretched megacap technology valuations and broader equity indices have elevated concentration risk.
Panic at the Disco
Chris Galipeau discusses high-conviction insights that go beyond media headlines.
Quick View: An Argument for the Long View During AI Volatility
Portfolio Manager Denny Fish explains why the market was justified in assigning a higher level of regulatory risk to the AI ecosystem after the midterm elections. But in his view, the secular strength of this theme, along with the massive bottlenecks and geopolitical implications, mean that this historic investment cycle will likely continue.
The AI Selloff and Portfolio Implications
Franklin Templeton Institute’s Stephen Dover and Larry Hatheway opine on the US stock market’s recent volatility in the wake of the US midterm elections and the path forward for investors.
It’s Not Tech: Energy Leads the S&P 500
Traditionally speaking, when one is choosing to lean into a particular sector of the equity market, they’re going to want to lean into the one that’s offering the best performance.
The Innovation Spillover: Capturing Tech Beyond U.S. Megacaps
In recent years, getting tech exposure was easy. You bought an index fund, whether a mutual fund or an ETF, and let the biggest names carry the portfolio. Now, those names make up such a significant share of large-cap indices that advisors are getting nervous. Indeed, many are looking elsewhere for the next stretch of compounding growth typically associated with the tech sector.
The S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq: Real Returns Since 2000 Peak (October 2026)
Here is a look at real (inflation-adjusted) charts of the S&P 500, Dow 30, and Nasdaq composite since their 2000 highs. We've updated this through the October 2026 close.
Secular Bull and Bear Market Trends: October 2026
The S&P 500 real monthly averages of daily closes reached a its all-time high in October 2026. Let's examine the past to broaden our understanding of the range of historical bull and bear market trends in market performance.
Treasury Yields Snapshot: November 6, 2026
The yield on the 10-year note finished November 6, 2026 at 4.86% while the 2-year note ended at 4.51%.
Market Valuation: Is the Market Still Overvalued?
Here is a summary of the four market valuation indicators we update on a monthly basis.
Q-Ratio and Market Valuation: October 2026
The Q Ratio is the total price of the market divided by the replacement cost of all its companies. As of October 2026, the latest Q-ratio is at 2.35.
Crestmont P/E and Market Valuation: October 2026
Based on October's S&P 500 average of daily closes, the Crestmont P/E of 44.6 is 189% above its arithmetic mean, 217% above its geometric mean, and is in the 100th percentile of this 14-plus-decade series.
Regression to Trend: S&P Composite 213% Above Trend in October
The inflation-adjusted S&P Composite Index was 213% above its long-term trend at the end of October.
The AI Boom May Be Sowing Seeds of Another Financial Crisis
The unprecedented investment boom to build out the infrastructure for artificial intelligence is projected to reach more than $10 trillion, if all current plans are realized. The money is coming from many sources, including corporate cash flows, public equity and debt issuance, private debt issuance, off-balance sheet lease obligations and guarantees to AI data center developers from so-called hyperscalers and the leading chip provider, Nividia Corp.
The $65 Billion Critical Minerals Bet Comes With a Catch
For years, companies trying to mine or process the rare elements vital to the performance of electric vehicles, drones, medical devices, LEDs, jet engines and computer chips had to fight for every cent.
Healthcare Stocks Face Policy Split After Midterm
Democrats won control of both the House and Senate in Tuesday’s midterm elections, according to The Associated Press. The results set up a divided government for the final two years of President Donald Trump’s term. This could have repercussions when it comes to healthcare stocks.
Three Market Risks Bolster the Case for Defensive Equities
Investors are grappling with an evolving set of risks as 2026 draws to a close. The scale of the AI build-out is influencing more sectors and industries. Rising interest rates are reshaping market dynamics as inflation threats linger.
Munis Head for Best October in More Than Four Decades After Rout
US state and local government debt is on track to notch its strongest October in more than four decades, as a relief rally follows one of the worst months for the bond market in years.
Five Things Families Should Know About the FAFSA
Understanding the FAFSA process can help families navigate college financial aid. Bill Cass, director of US Wealth Planning, explores five important considerations, from income and assets to application timing and aid offers.
Midterms Change Congress, Not the Macro Regime
The 2026 midterms may have changed Washington, but they haven’t changed the macro regime. Tariffs, geopolitics, and deficits remain key forces for investors.
Beyond the Ballots: What Matters for Markets
The votes have been cast. While control of the House and Senate has been decided, now we wait for the final tallies (and celebrate the end of the political ads — at least for another 20 months or so). We’re not political strategists, but policy does move markets, so it’s important to pay attention.
Investing in American Resilience
Amid a rapidly changing world, where China’s rise as an industrial powerhouse has nations around the globe on alert, we believe that American reindustrialization will be an important driver of investment returns in the decade ahead.
VettaFi Wants to Know: How Are Advisors Navigating Crypto Allocations?
We have been writing extensively about the rapid evolution of crypto ETFs, and recent data reinforces why digital assets remain top of mind for wealth managers. According to CoinShares, financial advisors hold roughly 55% of Wall Street’s total bitcoin ETF stake at the end of the second quarter, cementing their role as primary drivers of long-term digital asset adoption.
Manage Unintended Duration Risk Across the Yield Curve
Duration management is a key function of fixed income portfolio management. However, as yields have moved approximately 100 bps in 2026 and the monetary regime has sharply changed from rate cuts to rate hikes, duration management has come into greater focus.
Why Advisors Are Using High-Yield ETFs
Municipal bonds posted their best month since 2023. See how high-yield muni ETFs help advisors capitalize on the municipal market recovery.
Uncovering High-Conviction Mid Cap Opportunities
Join Amy Y. Zhang, CFA, Portfolio Manager of the Alger Mid Cap 40 ETF (FRTY), for an in-depth discussion on today's mid-cap opportunity set and where she is uncovering high-conviction ideas across transformative themes such as artificial intelligence and healthcare innovation.
Funding the Next Dollar: AI and the Marginal Supply of Capital
On the surface, financial conditions appear to be easing: the FOMC held rates steady last week, and Treasury yields have retreated from their recent highs. But that rally reflects a flight to safety, driven by growing questions about the durability and financing of the AI investment cycle.
Chip Stocks Sink as Traders Rotate Into ‘Old Economy’ Stocks
US equities plunged Thursday as a rotation out of chipmakers deepened and investors looked past the initial relief rally following the US midterm elections.
The AI Boom Has a Fertility Problem
The world’s advanced economies could be facing a slow-moving train wreck that they appear powerless to stop. We are no longer producing enough babies.
October Review: Markets Navigate Competing Forces
October reminded investors that markets rarely move in response to a single factor. The US economy continued to expand at a moderate pace, supported by healthy consumer spending and solid business activity, even as markets contended with higher energy prices, renewed inflation concerns and heightened geopolitical tensions.
What Midterm Results Mean for Policy and Data Center Risk
Following U.S. midterm results, Paul Eitelman, Chief Investment Strategist, Russell Investments, shares the potential implications for markets and the data center rollout. Views are as of 10:00 am Eastern Time on November 4, 2026.
Spinning Wheel: What Goes Up…
Notwithstanding that the major U.S. equity indexes are sitting on healthy double-digit gains heading into the final two months of 2026, the calm at the index level belies a lot of churn and rotation underneath.
Where Investors Aren’t Looking
Taken together, these trends point to a healthier, broader economic backdrop than the AI-driven narrative alone would suggest. For us as investors, it reinforces the case for individual, fundamental stockpicking over simply riding the AI wave. There's more supporting this market than one theme, and that breadth matters for how we position portfolios.
Cutting Back on Equities as Financial Conditions Offer Less Support
Equity markets are caught between tighter liquidity conditions and increased geopolitical uncertainty on the one hand, and solid economic growth and corporate earnings on the other. We have consequently reduced our exposure to stocks leading into year end.
Anthropic ETFs: Private Markets, Perpetual Futures & More
As investor interest in Anthropic’s upcoming IPO grows, ETFs are finding new ways to offer exposure to private companies through derivatives tied to perpetual futures. Recent regulatory developments could accelerate the use of these instruments across the ETF industry, but they also introduce new risks and complexities.
When AI Speeds Up the Advisor, Can the Rest of the Firm Keep Pace?
As AI tools remove friction from administrative tasks, more clients flow into the pipeline, stretching advisor capacity without fortifying the infrastructure required to support it. Every efficiency created for an advisor can generate additional work elsewhere, with much of it landing on client service and operations teams.
AI Multiplies Advisor Expertise: A Computer Nerd Comes Clean
Although AI reasoning tools drastically speed up workflow—allowing single individuals to build complex financial platforms—they tend to produce generic consensus, overlook subtle guidance, and push inexperienced users toward crowded, high-risk strategies.
Tuning Up Your Growth Engine
Focus on raising the brand of your firm. We call it “standing out in a crowded market”. Take a look at what you are saying and find ways to differentiate yourself so people become curious and want to learn more about what you can do for them. Websites don’t sell anything but they do tell a story. Make sure your story is a solid one.
Record $74 Billion Inflows: Fixed Income ETFs Surge in October
Fixed income ETFs shattered all-time records in October, amassing an unprecedented $74 billion in monthly net inflows. The milestone marked a record sixth consecutive month with more than $50 billion in allocations. This streak never occurred in the industry prior to this year.
Google Parent Plans $1.5 Billion Prepaid Energy Deal via Goldman
Google parent Alphabet Inc. is back in the municipal bond market for the second time this year with a $1.5 billion prepaid energy deal.
Stock-Market Gains Are Weakest After Midterm Results Like These
While US midterm election results historically bode well for stocks regardless of which party wins, some Wall Street strategists are warning clients to temper their bullishness this time around.
Commercial Real Estate: A Reset, Not a Replay
One concern raised by the recent backup in rates is whether CRE is about to relive the stress of 2023, when depressed post-pandemic office demand coincided with rising rates and a regional bank crisis, including Silicon Valley Bank and First Republic Bank. The selloff in public REITs suggests investors are repricing property values for a higher-rate world.
T. Rowe Price Digital Assets Head Macellari on Active Crypto
Almost three years have passed since the SEC approved spot Bitcoin ETFs, bringing crypto and digital assets investing to a whole new audience. The asset class has evolved in that time, becoming a bigger and bigger part of investor and advisor plans.
Setting Expectations for a Successful Swap
Elevated Treasury yields have created attractive income opportunities across the fixed income markets. Corporate and municipal bonds offer additional yield opportunities, while positively sloped yield curves provide investors with further motivations to extend maturities. For many investors, the opportunity to capture higher income and lock it in for longer periods has renewed interest in exploring bond swaps.
The Rotation Will Continue Until Morale Improves
We expect the rotation to continue. The earnings bar is high—very high. Any minor misstep has led to punishment, which has led to rotation. Rotation is not a bad thing, and if you are running a diversified equity portfolio, you should be in good shape.
Tech Weakness Fuels Bond Rally and Value Rotation
The Federal Reserve meeting last week was largely uneventful. The S&P 500 and the 10-year Treasury yield ending the trading session almost exactly where they stood before the Fed’s announcements. Despite some disagreements within the Fed, there was virtually no forward guidance.
Healthcare Stocks Deserve a Second Opinion
From earlier detection and more precise treatments to smarter medical technology, the healthcare sector continues to reinvent products that improve and save lives. Yet healthcare stocks have struggled to reflect that progress, overshadowed in recent years by investor enthusiasm for AI beneficiaries.
10-Year Treasury Yield Long-Term Perspective: October 2026
The 10-year Treasury yield has experienced dramatic fluctuations, ranging from a peak of 15.68% in October 1981, during the height of the Volcker era, to a historic low of 0.55% in August 2020, amidst the economic uncertainty of the pandemic. At the end of October 2026, the weekly average stood at 4.99%.
Teaching Financial Advisors the Depth Behind Tools & Recipes
When I introduce the emotional side of money to my financial planning students at Golden Gate University, the most common reaction is shock that it was never part of their formal education.
Yield 3.0 – How Autocallable ETFs Are Rewriting the Derivative Income Playbook
With the Fed resuming rate hikes, inflation remaining above target, and market volatility returning as a persistent feature of the investment landscape, advisors are increasingly turning to income not tied to duration or credit risk.
The Case for GARP: Finding Growth Without the Froth
While market valuations remain on the loftier side, investors face a familiar dilemma. Chasing pure growth leaves portfolios vulnerable to sharp drawdowns, while hiding in traditional “deep value” risks inheriting mature businesses in structural decline — classic value traps.
A Volatile Quarter, and Where We See It Heading
The broad markets experienced volatility in the 3rd quarter with concerns over the impact of energy prices on inflation as well as CapEx spending by hyperscaler companies in the AI space driving technology stocks. The price of WTI Crude oil rallied sharply during the quarter by nearly 30%.
Forget the Macro. Latin America Needs Micro Warriors
Once prone to external shocks, Latin America has weathered this year’s geopolitical upheavals largely unscathed.
Oil and Gas Extend Plunge on Reports of US-Iran Diplomacy
Oil and natural gas extended a plunge on unconfirmed reports of further diplomacy in the US-Iran conflict. The US approved a draft memorandum of understanding that the Qatari delegation presented to Iran yesterday, the Al Araby news service reported Tuesday, citing sources close to the mediation team.
BOJ’s Faster ETF Sales May Help Takaichi’s Spending Plan
The Bank of Japan’s decision to accelerate sales of exchange-traded funds could boost its payments to the government, potentially helping Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi finance her costly policy agenda.
Permanent WFH Is AI’s Best Promise Yet
Technology took us out of our homes. It gave us a boss, office politics and an alarm clock — and it was awful. We got used to it; we made it work. Now technology might take those jobs away. But perhaps it will also restore the autonomy and flexibility that once defined work.
Venezuela Was Richer Than Poland in 1990. Now Poland Is Six Times Richer
A few years back, I compared two island-nations whose leaders came to power in 1959. At the time, Cuba was by far the wealthier of the two—rich in sugar, tobacco and tourism—while Singapore was a sleepy former colonial outpost with almost no natural resources.
Can Q3 Earnings Get Back on Track After Being Rattled by Big Tech's AI Prints?
Last week, the AI trade began to crack further with Alphabet’s release, missing on both the top and bottom lines. Mirroring Meta’s print from the prior week, massive AI capex turned free cash flow negative, alarming investors.