Natural resources deserve a seat at your table. The U.S. is in the middle of a massive AI infrastructure buildout, and the constraints are increasingly physical: power, copper, fuel and the raw materials that make data centers run. At the same time, most advisors have little or no dedicated exposure to the asset class that sits behind all of it. Join the experts at American Beacon for an educational webcast to learn more.
Looking to complement traditional equities? Dividend reinvestment can be deployed more creatively than just putting earnings back into a fund. Exposure to high growth assets like Bitcoin can create differentiated return potential. Join the experts at Franklin Templeton to learn another way to differentiate your returns.
Join Alliant Energy’s CEO Lisa Barton, CFO Robert Durian, and the experts from SS&C ALPS Advisors and VettaFi for an educational webcast to learn more.
Join the experts at SS&C ALPS Advisors and VettaFi for a 30-minute discussion on November 10th at 12:30 pm ET focusing on how energy infrastructure companies are capitalizing on North American LNG export growth.
Health Savings Accounts offer Americans a tax-free way to save for medical expenses. Now, some are using them to trade stocks — and dabble in risky bets they wouldn't touch in their 401(k) or brokerage accounts.
Rafay Farooqui, CEO and Founder of SUBSCRIBE, joins Tony Davidow to discuss the future of fintech within private markets.
Each day seems to bring fresh havoc in the digital world. In recent weeks, researchers have uncovered security flaws in some of the most consequential corners of the internet, bugs that could put users at risk, jeopardize essential services and impose significant economic costs. Squint a little, though, and it looks like progress.
If you’re considering changing firms in 2027, use the remainder of 2026 to establish readiness and explore a rapidly shifting economic and geopolitical landscape. Before committing, review your restrictions, confirm client-data boundaries, assess account portability, compare the economics, and determine what your next business model requires.
Tuesday’s midterms were one for the history books. Democrats won control of both the House and Senate, and they picked up governorships in Ohio, Texas and Georgia. Kansas elected a Democrat to the Senate for the first time since 1932. Our home state of Texas did so for the first time in 38 years.
Our investment teams weigh what comes next for stocks, bonds, and AI to help you explain what may come next.
Politicians, particularly when they’re on the winning end of the deal, often say “elections have consequences.” It’s true. And it’s wisdom that advisors and muni bond investors need to remember.
Hedge funds dumped technology stocks at one of the fastest paces on record last week, and the momentum crash that followed was the biggest in about 40 years. Even so, few on Wall Street are ready to call time on the AI boom.
I try not to write about politics in this letter. I’d rather focus on economics and investments. But this week, politics impacts economics so we need to address it. Let me see if I can express what I think many voters were feeling.
The most important number in October’s inflation reports wasn’t the one that made the headlines. Everyone watched the Consumer Price Index print 3.7%. Far fewer noticed the Producer Price Index for final demand. It jumped 1.3% in a single month, the largest gain since March 2022, and the annual rate hit 6.3%.
The big message from the midterms is that Americans are struggling with the cost of living. In case anyone missed it, they need relief now. This will put even more attention on the Federal Reserve: Will Chair Kevin Warsh do all he can to bring down inflation or placate the White House, which wants lower interest rates?
In a recent letter to investors, Paul Singer’s Elliott Investment Management predicted a substantial bear market ahead. There might be an abrupt change from fear of missing out, or FOMO, to fear of getting obliterated, or FOGO, the $80 billion manager wrote.
What will protect portfolios when U.S. stocks tank, especially when inflation is also a concern? I think real assets like commodities and real estate (especially farmland) will hold up, as will Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS).
The magnitude of the Democratic victories in both the Senate and gubernatorial races was surprising and exceeded what many market participants appeared to be pricing. While the outcome is politically significant, investors should resist the temptation to view it as an immediate economic regime change.
A global tech rout continues to remind investors that volatility can strike at any time. That’s especially true in today’s market environment, where stretched megacap technology valuations and broader equity indices have elevated concentration risk.
Domestic demand for gold bars and coins tends to rise modestly under Democratic administrations. However, elections have not historically had a significant impact on gold’s global performance over the long haul.
Chris Galipeau discusses high-conviction insights that go beyond media headlines.
Portfolio Manager Denny Fish explains why the market was justified in assigning a higher level of regulatory risk to the AI ecosystem after the midterm elections. But in his view, the secular strength of this theme, along with the massive bottlenecks and geopolitical implications, mean that this historic investment cycle will likely continue.
Franklin Templeton Institute’s Stephen Dover and Larry Hatheway opine on the US stock market’s recent volatility in the wake of the US midterm elections and the path forward for investors.
The big story last week? The Federal Reserve paused despite stronger growth and persistent inflation. It was a hawkish pause, with a December hike still the base case, according to Franklin Templeton Fixed Income. Third-quarter gross domestic product showed the US economy's resilience, but also its growing dependence on artificial intelligence investment, and household purchasing power took a hit.
The S&P 500 real monthly averages of daily closes reached a its all-time high in October 2026. Let's examine the past to broaden our understanding of the range of historical bull and bear market trends in market performance.
Based on October's S&P 500 average of daily closes, the Crestmont P/E of 44.6 is 189% above its arithmetic mean, 217% above its geometric mean, and is in the 100th percentile of this 14-plus-decade series.
Treasuries dipped after an unexpected surge in US job growth led traders to add to wagers that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates when officials next meet in December.
The unprecedented investment boom to build out the infrastructure for artificial intelligence is projected to reach more than $10 trillion, if all current plans are realized. The money is coming from many sources, including corporate cash flows, public equity and debt issuance, private debt issuance, off-balance sheet lease obligations and guarantees to AI data center developers from so-called hyperscalers and the leading chip provider, Nividia Corp.
For years, companies trying to mine or process the rare elements vital to the performance of electric vehicles, drones, medical devices, LEDs, jet engines and computer chips had to fight for every cent.
Investors are grappling with an evolving set of risks as 2026 draws to a close. The scale of the AI build-out is influencing more sectors and industries. Rising interest rates are reshaping market dynamics as inflation threats linger.
US state and local government debt is on track to notch its strongest October in more than four decades, as a relief rally follows one of the worst months for the bond market in years.
The 2026 midterms may have changed Washington, but they haven’t changed the macro regime. Tariffs, geopolitics, and deficits remain key forces for investors.
The votes have been cast. While control of the House and Senate has been decided, now we wait for the final tallies (and celebrate the end of the political ads — at least for another 20 months or so). We’re not political strategists, but policy does move markets, so it’s important to pay attention.
Amid a rapidly changing world, where China’s rise as an industrial powerhouse has nations around the globe on alert, we believe that American reindustrialization will be an important driver of investment returns in the decade ahead. Standard U.S. equity indexes are poorly positioned to capture the benefits of this generational opportunity due to their global, technology-heavy composition.
We have been writing extensively about the rapid evolution of crypto ETFs, and recent data reinforces why digital assets remain top of mind for wealth managers. According to CoinShares, financial advisors hold roughly 55% of Wall Street’s total bitcoin ETF stake at the end of the second quarter, cementing their role as primary drivers of long-term digital asset adoption.
At least five portfolio managers focused on credit trading at Brevan Howard Asset Management have left the hedge fund firm, the latest sign of fallout from market turmoil.
Duration management is a key function of fixed income portfolio management. However, as yields have moved approximately 100 bps in 2026 and the monetary regime has sharply changed from rate cuts to rate hikes, duration management has come into greater focus.
On the surface, financial conditions appear to be easing: the FOMC held rates steady last week, and Treasury yields have retreated from their recent highs. But that rally reflects a flight to safety, driven by growing questions about the durability and financing of the AI investment cycle.
Agility Robotics Inc. is set to become the first dedicated humanoid company to go public in the US, marking a major milestone for the emerging category that still has a lot to prove.
If history is any indication, when push comes to shove, the Fed will ultimately choose more easy money despite elevated inflation to support the markets and the broader economy.
The push by regulators to launch digital versions of US stocks is a rush job that risks introducing crypto-like dangers into the equity market with few benefits. Hopefully, a rebalanced Congress with senators who are less in thrall to the industry can block this move, or at least press for stronger guardrails.
October reminded investors that markets rarely move in response to a single factor. The US economy continued to expand at a moderate pace, supported by healthy consumer spending and solid business activity, even as markets contended with higher energy prices, renewed inflation concerns and heightened geopolitical tensions.
Following U.S. midterm results, Paul Eitelman, Chief Investment Strategist, Russell Investments, shares the potential implications for markets and the data center rollout. Views are as of 10:00 am Eastern Time on November 4, 2026.
Notwithstanding that the major U.S. equity indexes are sitting on healthy double-digit gains heading into the final two months of 2026, the calm at the index level belies a lot of churn and rotation underneath.
Taken together, these trends point to a healthier, broader economic backdrop than the AI-driven narrative alone would suggest. For us as investors, it reinforces the case for individual, fundamental stockpicking over simply riding the AI wave. There's more supporting this market than one theme, and that breadth matters for how we position portfolios.
Equity markets are caught between tighter liquidity conditions and increased geopolitical uncertainty on the one hand, and solid economic growth and corporate earnings on the other. We have consequently reduced our exposure to stocks leading into year end.
As investor interest in Anthropic’s upcoming IPO grows, ETFs are finding new ways to offer exposure to private companies through derivatives tied to perpetual futures. Recent regulatory developments could accelerate the use of these instruments across the ETF industry, but they also introduce new risks and complexities.
As AI tools remove friction from administrative tasks, more clients flow into the pipeline, stretching advisor capacity without fortifying the infrastructure required to support it. Every efficiency created for an advisor can generate additional work elsewhere, with much of it landing on client service and operations teams.
Although AI reasoning tools drastically speed up workflow—allowing single individuals to build complex financial platforms—they tend to produce generic consensus, overlook subtle guidance, and push inexperienced users toward crowded, high-risk strategies.
Choosing the advisor who will represent you in the market is not an administrative step; it shapes every stage of the transaction that follows. For many founders, it is the first major decision in the sale process and can influence the ultimate outcome as much as any term negotiated at the closing table.
The world remains in a volatile situation: There’s unrest in France over its deteriorating finances, and big political changes are potentially afoot in the US and Israel. Then there’s the ongoing war with Iran, including increased attacks on tankers in the Strait of Hormuz and Houthi strikes against Saudi Arabia.
Google parent Alphabet Inc. is back in the municipal bond market for the second time this year with a $1.5 billion prepaid energy deal.
One concern raised by the recent backup in rates is whether CRE is about to relive the stress of 2023, when depressed post-pandemic office demand coincided with rising rates and a regional bank crisis, including Silicon Valley Bank and First Republic Bank. The selloff in public REITs suggests investors are repricing property values for a higher-rate world.
Almost three years have passed since the SEC approved spot Bitcoin ETFs, bringing crypto and digital assets investing to a whole new audience. The asset class has evolved in that time, becoming a bigger and bigger part of investor and advisor plans.
Sometimes the best lessons are the simplest ones, and right now, the market is offering a good old-fashioned lesson on the benefits of diversification. Stay invested, stay diversified, and stick to your financial plan.
We expect the rotation to continue. The earnings bar is high—very high. Any minor misstep has led to punishment, which has led to rotation. Rotation is not a bad thing, and if you are running a diversified equity portfolio, you should be in good shape.
When I introduce the emotional side of money to my financial planning students at Golden Gate University, the most common reaction is shock that it was never part of their formal education.
The broad markets experienced volatility in the 3rd quarter with concerns over the impact of energy prices on inflation as well as CapEx spending by hyperscaler companies in the AI space driving technology stocks. The price of WTI Crude oil rallied sharply during the quarter by nearly 30%.
Once prone to external shocks, Latin America has weathered this year’s geopolitical upheavals largely unscathed.
Oil and natural gas extended a plunge on unconfirmed reports of further diplomacy in the US-Iran conflict. The US approved a draft memorandum of understanding that the Qatari delegation presented to Iran yesterday, the Al Araby news service reported Tuesday, citing sources close to the mediation team.
Technology took us out of our homes. It gave us a boss, office politics and an alarm clock — and it was awful. We got used to it; we made it work. Now technology might take those jobs away. But perhaps it will also restore the autonomy and flexibility that once defined work.
A few years back, I compared two island-nations whose leaders came to power in 1959. At the time, Cuba was by far the wealthier of the two—rich in sugar, tobacco and tourism—while Singapore was a sleepy former colonial outpost with almost no natural resources.
Last week, the AI trade began to crack further with Alphabet’s release, missing on both the top and bottom lines. Mirroring Meta’s print from the prior week, massive AI capex turned free cash flow negative, alarming investors.
With the one constant being that gold fell again, this time by 6.6%, October’s price action is a mirror image of what happened in markets in September. In September, tech and momentum led the charge higher, with anything value- or rate-related leading the selloff. October was the exact opposite.
Innovation takes time—very often years—and can be expensive. For example, it wasn’t so long ago that Nvidia was considered to be just a gaming company. Today, it is one of the largest companies in the world with a dominant position in hardware and software tools powering the artificial intelligence (AI) revolution.
The prolonged impact of raising the Fed Funds rate, coupled with the recent surge in long-term bond yields, is exactly the kind of over-restrictive policy mistake the bond market may be worried about, helping explain the recent decline in long-term yields.
The runup in Apple Inc. shares in recent months has left the iPhone maker little room for disappointment when it reports earnings after the bell on Monday.
Anthropic PBC reported third-quarter revenue of nearly $17 billion as of Sept. 30, a twelve-fold increase versus the same period a year ago that’s set to stoke anticipation for the artificial intelligence lab’s potentially record-breaking IPO.
As gold heads toward its worst annual loss in more than a decade, investors are gauging the odds a political shift in the US will restore the precious metal’s haven allure.
Marvell Technology Inc. has reached a deal to buy data center optics maker Lumentum Holdings Inc. at an enterprise value of $115 billion, one of the biggest tech tie-ups ever, in a race to capitalize on the artificial intelligence boom.
US manufacturing activity picked up in October, supported by the strongest production growth in nearly five years.
Credit problems in the AI space are not going to be contained to just the AI space. It is going to have impacts all throughout the economy and global markets. I guarantee you central banks are paying attention as it is affecting what they have to charge for sovereign debt.
Rising U.S. Treasury yields have added fresh strain to the U.S. housing market. The average 30-year mortgage rate, which generally tracks the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield plus a mortgage spread, rose to 7.5% in October 2026, according to Mortgage Bankers Association data, worsening an affordability crunch that remains a top concern among U.S. households.
Starting December 6, 2026, Nasdaq and NYSE Arca will officially launch extended trading sessions, expanding U.S. stock trading to up to 23 hours a day, five days a week.
Infrastructure has long been valued for its defensive characteristics, income potential and ability to protect against inflation. Essential assets such as electricity networks, pipelines, railways, airports and toll roads typically benefit from high barriers to entry and predictable revenues.
In this episode of the Money Metals Midweek Memo, host Mike Maharrey considers how artificial intelligence could affect trust, cybersecurity, and investors’ access to their money. He also discusses silver’s sharp correction, the long history of gold jewelry, and ways listeners might use precious metals as a physical store of value.
The economy appears to be settling into a new equilibrium. Economic growth has moderated to a sustainable pace. While inflation has picked up over the last few months, there does not seem to be a fundamental shift in the underlying trend.
Valid until the market close on November 31, 2026
This article provides an update on the monthly moving averages we track for the S&P 500 and the Ivy Portfolio after the close of the last business day of the month.
Wall Street expects Democrats to win at least one of the houses of Congress in the US midterm elections on Tuesday, setting the stage for a potentially volatile ride in the stock and bond markets with artificial intelligence oversight, defense spending and crypto legislation on the table.
ExxonMobil Holdings Corp. plans to invest more than $100 billion over the next few years to help augment global energy supplies, Chief Executive Officer Darren Woods told CNBC after the supermajor posted blockbuster quarterly results.
The AI investment boom has become one of the largest sources of demand in the U.S. economy. Announced annual capital spending across large U.S. technology companies points to more than $1 trillion in desired investment, up dramatically from only a few years ago.
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decided to keep rates unchanged, maintaining the fed funds trading range at 3.75% to 4.00%. After some early back and forth on the chances for a rate hike at this gathering, this result was largely expected. In fact, fed funds futures were pricing in more than a 90% chance that the fed funds target would remain unchanged.
Franklin Templeton plans to launch two ETFs Thursday that use stock dividends to buy bitcoin instead of more shares.
Royce Investment Partners: Co-CIO Francis Gannon details why recent volatility looks like the typical pattern of a US small-cap leadership cycle.
After overshooting projections for years, AI capex is slowing down. The shift doesn’t spell the end of the AI trade but a move to a more mature, predictable cycle that favors higher-quality borrowers.
Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh champions parsimony in central bank communications and loathes so-called forward guidance. But he’s said plenty about the future of artificial intelligence: He’s an arch optimist on the technology who thinks it will help him vanquish inflation.
Wall Street’s recent risk aversion toward stocks may have created an opening for a sharp rebound, particularly in technology shares, if Anthropic PBC’s planned initial public offering reignites enthusiasm for artificial intelligence.
Blistering cloud growth sent Amazon.com Inc. shares soaring after its last earnings report. Now with more than half those gains gone, the firm needs to deliver a repeat performance in order to reignite its faltering stock.
How many eyeball-grabbing headlines can we stuff into the next few weeks? For tech investors, AI concerns mount, with rising credit default swap prices among the hyperscalers and sagging neocloud equities.
With the recent movements in both the stock and bond markets, there was some noteworthy news that got kind of lost. Indeed, the U.S. government posted a $1.99 trillion budget deficit for fiscal year (FY) 2026. While technically it is not a record amount of red-ink, it represented the largest non-COVID-related shortfall ever recorded in modern history.
Alternative Investments
Why natural resources belong in the allocation conversation
Natural resources deserve a seat at your table. The U.S. is in the middle of a massive AI infrastructure buildout, and the constraints are increasingly physical: power, copper, fuel and the raw materials that make data centers run. At the same time, most advisors have little or no dedicated exposure to the asset class that sits behind all of it. Join the experts at American Beacon for an educational webcast to learn more.
How advisors can differentiate portfolio returns
Looking to complement traditional equities? Dividend reinvestment can be deployed more creatively than just putting earnings back into a fund. Exposure to high growth assets like Bitcoin can create differentiated return potential. Join the experts at Franklin Templeton to learn another way to differentiate your returns.
A Fireside Chat with Alliant Executives on Utilities, Grid Infrastructure, and Electrification
Join Alliant Energy’s CEO Lisa Barton, CFO Robert Durian, and the experts from SS&C ALPS Advisors and VettaFi for an educational webcast to learn more.
How Midstream/MLPs Benefit from Booming LNG Exports
Join the experts at SS&C ALPS Advisors and VettaFi for a 30-minute discussion on November 10th at 12:30 pm ET focusing on how energy infrastructure companies are capitalizing on North American LNG export growth.
The Hot New Place to Bet on Stocks Is a Health Savings Account
Health Savings Accounts offer Americans a tax-free way to save for medical expenses. Now, some are using them to trade stocks — and dabble in risky bets they wouldn't touch in their 401(k) or brokerage accounts.
Solving the Operational Challenges of Private Markets
Rafay Farooqui, CEO and Founder of SUBSCRIBE, joins Tony Davidow to discuss the future of fintech within private markets.
Fears of an AI Cyber Apocalypse Are a Bit Premature
Each day seems to bring fresh havoc in the digital world. In recent weeks, researchers have uncovered security flaws in some of the most consequential corners of the internet, bugs that could put users at risk, jeopardize essential services and impose significant economic costs. Squint a little, though, and it looks like progress.
Advisor Year-End Checklist: Prepare for a 2027 Move
If you’re considering changing firms in 2027, use the remainder of 2026 to establish readiness and explore a rapidly shifting economic and geopolitical landscape. Before committing, review your restrictions, confirm client-data boundaries, assess account portability, compare the economics, and determine what your next business model requires.
What Stocks Have Done Under a Republican President and a Democratic Congress
Tuesday’s midterms were one for the history books. Democrats won control of both the House and Senate, and they picked up governorships in Ohio, Texas and Georgia. Kansas elected a Democrat to the Senate for the first time since 1932. Our home state of Texas did so for the first time in 38 years.
After the Election: What Matters for Your Clients’ Portfolios
Our investment teams weigh what comes next for stocks, bonds, and AI to help you explain what may come next.
Muni Bonds Face a Variety of Post-Election Possibilities
Politicians, particularly when they’re on the winning end of the deal, often say “elections have consequences.” It’s true. And it’s wisdom that advisors and muni bond investors need to remember.
Wall Street Sticks With AI Playbook After Historic Tech Unwind
Hedge funds dumped technology stocks at one of the fastest paces on record last week, and the momentum crash that followed was the biggest in about 40 years. Even so, few on Wall Street are ready to call time on the AI boom.
Debt Be Not Proud
I try not to write about politics in this letter. I’d rather focus on economics and investments. But this week, politics impacts economics so we need to address it. Let me see if I can express what I think many voters were feeling.
PPI vs CPI: Are Record Profit Margins About To Get Squeezed
The most important number in October’s inflation reports wasn’t the one that made the headlines. Everyone watched the Consumer Price Index print 3.7%. Far fewer noticed the Producer Price Index for final demand. It jumped 1.3% in a single month, the largest gain since March 2022, and the annual rate hit 6.3%.
The Affordability Crisis Isn’t About Inflation
The big message from the midterms is that Americans are struggling with the cost of living. In case anyone missed it, they need relief now. This will put even more attention on the Federal Reserve: Will Chair Kevin Warsh do all he can to bring down inflation or placate the White House, which wants lower interest rates?
Hedge Fund FOGO Is Obliterating the FOMO Trade
In a recent letter to investors, Paul Singer’s Elliott Investment Management predicted a substantial bear market ahead. There might be an abrupt change from fear of missing out, or FOMO, to fear of getting obliterated, or FOGO, the $80 billion manager wrote.
As U.S. Stocks Flatten, Commodities Take the Lead in 2026
What will protect portfolios when U.S. stocks tank, especially when inflation is also a concern? I think real assets like commodities and real estate (especially farmland) will hold up, as will Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS).
Midterm Election 2026: What Matters for Investors Now
The magnitude of the Democratic victories in both the Senate and gubernatorial races was surprising and exceeded what many market participants appeared to be pricing. While the outcome is politically significant, investors should resist the temptation to view it as an immediate economic regime change.
Seek Shelter From Tech Volatility With Real Asset ETFs
A global tech rout continues to remind investors that volatility can strike at any time. That’s especially true in today’s market environment, where stretched megacap technology valuations and broader equity indices have elevated concentration risk.
What Does the "Blue Wave" Mean for Gold and Silver
Domestic demand for gold bars and coins tends to rise modestly under Democratic administrations. However, elections have not historically had a significant impact on gold’s global performance over the long haul.
Panic at the Disco
Chris Galipeau discusses high-conviction insights that go beyond media headlines.
Quick View: An Argument for the Long View During AI Volatility
Portfolio Manager Denny Fish explains why the market was justified in assigning a higher level of regulatory risk to the AI ecosystem after the midterm elections. But in his view, the secular strength of this theme, along with the massive bottlenecks and geopolitical implications, mean that this historic investment cycle will likely continue.
The AI Selloff and Portfolio Implications
Franklin Templeton Institute’s Stephen Dover and Larry Hatheway opine on the US stock market’s recent volatility in the wake of the US midterm elections and the path forward for investors.
Strong Growth, Emerging Cracks
The big story last week? The Federal Reserve paused despite stronger growth and persistent inflation. It was a hawkish pause, with a December hike still the base case, according to Franklin Templeton Fixed Income. Third-quarter gross domestic product showed the US economy's resilience, but also its growing dependence on artificial intelligence investment, and household purchasing power took a hit.
Secular Bull and Bear Market Trends: October 2026
The S&P 500 real monthly averages of daily closes reached a its all-time high in October 2026. Let's examine the past to broaden our understanding of the range of historical bull and bear market trends in market performance.
Crestmont P/E and Market Valuation: October 2026
Based on October's S&P 500 average of daily closes, the Crestmont P/E of 44.6 is 189% above its arithmetic mean, 217% above its geometric mean, and is in the 100th percentile of this 14-plus-decade series.
Treasuries Stumble as Strong Jobs Data Backs Fed-Hike Bets
Treasuries dipped after an unexpected surge in US job growth led traders to add to wagers that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates when officials next meet in December.
The AI Boom May Be Sowing Seeds of Another Financial Crisis
The unprecedented investment boom to build out the infrastructure for artificial intelligence is projected to reach more than $10 trillion, if all current plans are realized. The money is coming from many sources, including corporate cash flows, public equity and debt issuance, private debt issuance, off-balance sheet lease obligations and guarantees to AI data center developers from so-called hyperscalers and the leading chip provider, Nividia Corp.
The $65 Billion Critical Minerals Bet Comes With a Catch
For years, companies trying to mine or process the rare elements vital to the performance of electric vehicles, drones, medical devices, LEDs, jet engines and computer chips had to fight for every cent.
Three Market Risks Bolster the Case for Defensive Equities
Investors are grappling with an evolving set of risks as 2026 draws to a close. The scale of the AI build-out is influencing more sectors and industries. Rising interest rates are reshaping market dynamics as inflation threats linger.
Munis Head for Best October in More Than Four Decades After Rout
US state and local government debt is on track to notch its strongest October in more than four decades, as a relief rally follows one of the worst months for the bond market in years.
Midterms Change Congress, Not the Macro Regime
The 2026 midterms may have changed Washington, but they haven’t changed the macro regime. Tariffs, geopolitics, and deficits remain key forces for investors.
Beyond the Ballots: What Matters for Markets
The votes have been cast. While control of the House and Senate has been decided, now we wait for the final tallies (and celebrate the end of the political ads — at least for another 20 months or so). We’re not political strategists, but policy does move markets, so it’s important to pay attention.
Investing in American Resilience
Amid a rapidly changing world, where China’s rise as an industrial powerhouse has nations around the globe on alert, we believe that American reindustrialization will be an important driver of investment returns in the decade ahead. Standard U.S. equity indexes are poorly positioned to capture the benefits of this generational opportunity due to their global, technology-heavy composition.
VettaFi Wants to Know: How Are Advisors Navigating Crypto Allocations?
We have been writing extensively about the rapid evolution of crypto ETFs, and recent data reinforces why digital assets remain top of mind for wealth managers. According to CoinShares, financial advisors hold roughly 55% of Wall Street’s total bitcoin ETF stake at the end of the second quarter, cementing their role as primary drivers of long-term digital asset adoption.
Five Credit Portfolio Managers Leave Hedge Fund Brevan Howard
At least five portfolio managers focused on credit trading at Brevan Howard Asset Management have left the hedge fund firm, the latest sign of fallout from market turmoil.
Manage Unintended Duration Risk Across the Yield Curve
Duration management is a key function of fixed income portfolio management. However, as yields have moved approximately 100 bps in 2026 and the monetary regime has sharply changed from rate cuts to rate hikes, duration management has come into greater focus.
Funding the Next Dollar: AI and the Marginal Supply of Capital
On the surface, financial conditions appear to be easing: the FOMC held rates steady last week, and Treasury yields have retreated from their recent highs. But that rally reflects a flight to safety, driven by growing questions about the durability and financing of the AI investment cycle.
Nvidia-Backed Humanoid Maker Agility Goes Public in First for the US
Agility Robotics Inc. is set to become the first dedicated humanoid company to go public in the US, marking a major milestone for the emerging category that still has a lot to prove.
What Sparked Gold's Off Selloff?
If history is any indication, when push comes to shove, the Fed will ultimately choose more easy money despite elevated inflation to support the markets and the broader economy.
Digital US Stocks Are Coming — Be Worried
The push by regulators to launch digital versions of US stocks is a rush job that risks introducing crypto-like dangers into the equity market with few benefits. Hopefully, a rebalanced Congress with senators who are less in thrall to the industry can block this move, or at least press for stronger guardrails.
October Review: Markets Navigate Competing Forces
October reminded investors that markets rarely move in response to a single factor. The US economy continued to expand at a moderate pace, supported by healthy consumer spending and solid business activity, even as markets contended with higher energy prices, renewed inflation concerns and heightened geopolitical tensions.
What Midterm Results Mean for Policy and Data Center Risk
Following U.S. midterm results, Paul Eitelman, Chief Investment Strategist, Russell Investments, shares the potential implications for markets and the data center rollout. Views are as of 10:00 am Eastern Time on November 4, 2026.
Spinning Wheel: What Goes Up…
Notwithstanding that the major U.S. equity indexes are sitting on healthy double-digit gains heading into the final two months of 2026, the calm at the index level belies a lot of churn and rotation underneath.
Where Investors Aren’t Looking
Taken together, these trends point to a healthier, broader economic backdrop than the AI-driven narrative alone would suggest. For us as investors, it reinforces the case for individual, fundamental stockpicking over simply riding the AI wave. There's more supporting this market than one theme, and that breadth matters for how we position portfolios.
Cutting Back on Equities as Financial Conditions Offer Less Support
Equity markets are caught between tighter liquidity conditions and increased geopolitical uncertainty on the one hand, and solid economic growth and corporate earnings on the other. We have consequently reduced our exposure to stocks leading into year end.
Anthropic ETFs: Private Markets, Perpetual Futures & More
As investor interest in Anthropic’s upcoming IPO grows, ETFs are finding new ways to offer exposure to private companies through derivatives tied to perpetual futures. Recent regulatory developments could accelerate the use of these instruments across the ETF industry, but they also introduce new risks and complexities.
When AI Speeds Up the Advisor, Can the Rest of the Firm Keep Pace?
As AI tools remove friction from administrative tasks, more clients flow into the pipeline, stretching advisor capacity without fortifying the infrastructure required to support it. Every efficiency created for an advisor can generate additional work elsewhere, with much of it landing on client service and operations teams.
AI Multiplies Advisor Expertise: A Computer Nerd Comes Clean
Although AI reasoning tools drastically speed up workflow—allowing single individuals to build complex financial platforms—they tend to produce generic consensus, overlook subtle guidance, and push inexperienced users toward crowded, high-risk strategies.
Bankers Versus Brokers: Whom You Hire to Sell Your Firm Matters More Than You Think
Choosing the advisor who will represent you in the market is not an administrative step; it shapes every stage of the transaction that follows. For many founders, it is the first major decision in the sale process and can influence the ultimate outcome as much as any term negotiated at the closing table.
The Dollar Is Reasserting Itself as the King of Global Finance
The world remains in a volatile situation: There’s unrest in France over its deteriorating finances, and big political changes are potentially afoot in the US and Israel. Then there’s the ongoing war with Iran, including increased attacks on tankers in the Strait of Hormuz and Houthi strikes against Saudi Arabia.
Google Parent Plans $1.5 Billion Prepaid Energy Deal via Goldman
Google parent Alphabet Inc. is back in the municipal bond market for the second time this year with a $1.5 billion prepaid energy deal.
Commercial Real Estate: A Reset, Not a Replay
One concern raised by the recent backup in rates is whether CRE is about to relive the stress of 2023, when depressed post-pandemic office demand coincided with rising rates and a regional bank crisis, including Silicon Valley Bank and First Republic Bank. The selloff in public REITs suggests investors are repricing property values for a higher-rate world.
T. Rowe Price Digital Assets Head Macellari on Active Crypto
Almost three years have passed since the SEC approved spot Bitcoin ETFs, bringing crypto and digital assets investing to a whole new audience. The asset class has evolved in that time, becoming a bigger and bigger part of investor and advisor plans.
AI Spending Scrutiny Deepens as Markets Rotate Beyond Tech
Sometimes the best lessons are the simplest ones, and right now, the market is offering a good old-fashioned lesson on the benefits of diversification. Stay invested, stay diversified, and stick to your financial plan.
The Rotation Will Continue Until Morale Improves
We expect the rotation to continue. The earnings bar is high—very high. Any minor misstep has led to punishment, which has led to rotation. Rotation is not a bad thing, and if you are running a diversified equity portfolio, you should be in good shape.
Teaching Financial Advisors the Depth Behind Tools & Recipes
When I introduce the emotional side of money to my financial planning students at Golden Gate University, the most common reaction is shock that it was never part of their formal education.
A Volatile Quarter, and Where We See It Heading
The broad markets experienced volatility in the 3rd quarter with concerns over the impact of energy prices on inflation as well as CapEx spending by hyperscaler companies in the AI space driving technology stocks. The price of WTI Crude oil rallied sharply during the quarter by nearly 30%.
Forget the Macro. Latin America Needs Micro Warriors
Once prone to external shocks, Latin America has weathered this year’s geopolitical upheavals largely unscathed.
Oil and Gas Extend Plunge on Reports of US-Iran Diplomacy
Oil and natural gas extended a plunge on unconfirmed reports of further diplomacy in the US-Iran conflict. The US approved a draft memorandum of understanding that the Qatari delegation presented to Iran yesterday, the Al Araby news service reported Tuesday, citing sources close to the mediation team.
Permanent WFH Is AI’s Best Promise Yet
Technology took us out of our homes. It gave us a boss, office politics and an alarm clock — and it was awful. We got used to it; we made it work. Now technology might take those jobs away. But perhaps it will also restore the autonomy and flexibility that once defined work.
Venezuela Was Richer Than Poland in 1990. Now Poland Is Six Times Richer
A few years back, I compared two island-nations whose leaders came to power in 1959. At the time, Cuba was by far the wealthier of the two—rich in sugar, tobacco and tourism—while Singapore was a sleepy former colonial outpost with almost no natural resources.
Can Q3 Earnings Get Back on Track After Being Rattled by Big Tech's AI Prints?
Last week, the AI trade began to crack further with Alphabet’s release, missing on both the top and bottom lines. Mirroring Meta’s print from the prior week, massive AI capex turned free cash flow negative, alarming investors.
QuantStreet November 2026 Letter: AI Worries
With the one constant being that gold fell again, this time by 6.6%, October’s price action is a mirror image of what happened in markets in September. In September, tech and momentum led the charge higher, with anything value- or rate-related leading the selloff. October was the exact opposite.
R&D: A Long-Term Investment
Innovation takes time—very often years—and can be expensive. For example, it wasn’t so long ago that Nvidia was considered to be just a gaming company. Today, it is one of the largest companies in the world with a dominant position in hardware and software tools powering the artificial intelligence (AI) revolution.
The Fed Risks a Policy Error Fighting Oil Prices
The prolonged impact of raising the Fed Funds rate, coupled with the recent surge in long-term bond yields, is exactly the kind of over-restrictive policy mistake the bond market may be worried about, helping explain the recent decline in long-term yields.
Apple’s $1 Trillion Rally Leaves No Room for Error on Earnings
The runup in Apple Inc. shares in recent months has left the iPhone maker little room for disappointment when it reports earnings after the bell on Monday.
Anthropic Revenue Hits Nearly $17 Billion Before Mega-IPO
Anthropic PBC reported third-quarter revenue of nearly $17 billion as of Sept. 30, a twelve-fold increase versus the same period a year ago that’s set to stoke anticipation for the artificial intelligence lab’s potentially record-breaking IPO.
Gold Investors Rocked by Wipeout, Seek Firmer Footing After Vote
As gold heads toward its worst annual loss in more than a decade, investors are gauging the odds a political shift in the US will restore the precious metal’s haven allure.
Marvell Reaches $115 Billion Deal for Lumentum Holdings
Marvell Technology Inc. has reached a deal to buy data center optics maker Lumentum Holdings Inc. at an enterprise value of $115 billion, one of the biggest tech tie-ups ever, in a race to capitalize on the artificial intelligence boom.
US Manufacturing Activity Accelerates as Production Picks Up
US manufacturing activity picked up in October, supported by the strongest production growth in nearly five years.
When a Credit Default Swap Isn’t about Credit
Credit problems in the AI space are not going to be contained to just the AI space. It is going to have impacts all throughout the economy and global markets. I guarantee you central banks are paying attention as it is affecting what they have to charge for sovereign debt.
Policy Options Are Available Now to Lower U.S. Mortgage Rates
Rising U.S. Treasury yields have added fresh strain to the U.S. housing market. The average 30-year mortgage rate, which generally tracks the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield plus a mortgage spread, rose to 7.5% in October 2026, according to Mortgage Bankers Association data, worsening an affordability crunch that remains a top concern among U.S. households.
What Institutional Investors Should Know About After-Hours Trading for U.S. Equities
Starting December 6, 2026, Nasdaq and NYSE Arca will officially launch extended trading sessions, expanding U.S. stock trading to up to 23 hours a day, five days a week.
Infrastructure’s Essential Assets Have Expanding Ambitions
Infrastructure has long been valued for its defensive characteristics, income potential and ability to protect against inflation. Essential assets such as electricity networks, pipelines, railways, airports and toll roads typically benefit from high barriers to entry and predictable revenues.
AI Cybersecurity Risks, Physical Gold and Silver, and Gold’s Value
In this episode of the Money Metals Midweek Memo, host Mike Maharrey considers how artificial intelligence could affect trust, cybersecurity, and investors’ access to their money. He also discusses silver’s sharp correction, the long history of gold jewelry, and ways listeners might use precious metals as a physical store of value.
Confluence Asset Allocation Quarterly
The economy appears to be settling into a new equilibrium. Economic growth has moderated to a sustainable pace. While inflation has picked up over the last few months, there does not seem to be a fundamental shift in the underlying trend.
Moving Averages of the Ivy Portfolio and S&P 500: October 2026
Valid until the market close on November 31, 2026
This article provides an update on the monthly moving averages we track for the S&P 500 and the Ivy Portfolio after the close of the last business day of the month.
AI Policy Fears Grip Stock, Bond Traders With Midterms Days Away
Wall Street expects Democrats to win at least one of the houses of Congress in the US midterm elections on Tuesday, setting the stage for a potentially volatile ride in the stock and bond markets with artificial intelligence oversight, defense spending and crypto legislation on the table.
Exxon Plans $100 Billion in Capex Through 2030, CEO Tells CNBC
ExxonMobil Holdings Corp. plans to invest more than $100 billion over the next few years to help augment global energy supplies, Chief Executive Officer Darren Woods told CNBC after the supermajor posted blockbuster quarterly results.
Is AI Crowding Out the Rest of the Economy?
The AI investment boom has become one of the largest sources of demand in the U.S. economy. Announced annual capital spending across large U.S. technology companies points to more than $1 trillion in desired investment, up dramatically from only a few years ago.
Holding the Line
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decided to keep rates unchanged, maintaining the fed funds trading range at 3.75% to 4.00%. After some early back and forth on the chances for a rate hike at this gathering, this result was largely expected. In fact, fed funds futures were pricing in more than a 90% chance that the fed funds target would remain unchanged.
Franklin Templeton ETFs Turn Stock Dividends Into Bitcoin
Franklin Templeton plans to launch two ETFs Thursday that use stock dividends to buy bitcoin instead of more shares.
The US Small-Cap Bull Market: A Correction, Not a Conclusion
Royce Investment Partners: Co-CIO Francis Gannon details why recent volatility looks like the typical pattern of a US small-cap leadership cycle.
The AI Soft Landing Scenario
After overshooting projections for years, AI capex is slowing down. The shift doesn’t spell the end of the AI trade but a move to a more mature, predictable cycle that favors higher-quality borrowers.
Warsh’s AI Optimism May Box Him In at the Fed
Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh champions parsimony in central bank communications and loathes so-called forward guidance. But he’s said plenty about the future of artificial intelligence: He’s an arch optimist on the technology who thinks it will help him vanquish inflation.
Anthropic IPO May Spark AI Rally as Short Bets on Tech Pile Up
Wall Street’s recent risk aversion toward stocks may have created an opening for a sharp rebound, particularly in technology shares, if Anthropic PBC’s planned initial public offering reignites enthusiasm for artificial intelligence.
Amazon’s Ailing Stock Needs Booming Cloud Growth to Revive Rally
Blistering cloud growth sent Amazon.com Inc. shares soaring after its last earnings report. Now with more than half those gains gone, the firm needs to deliver a repeat performance in order to reignite its faltering stock.
Anthropic IPO on Tap, NVIDIA Updates, & Other Investor Days Shaping Markets
How many eyeball-grabbing headlines can we stuff into the next few weeks? For tech investors, AI concerns mount, with rising credit default swap prices among the hyperscalers and sagging neocloud equities.
Mind the $2 Trillion Gap
With the recent movements in both the stock and bond markets, there was some noteworthy news that got kind of lost. Indeed, the U.S. government posted a $1.99 trillion budget deficit for fiscal year (FY) 2026. While technically it is not a record amount of red-ink, it represented the largest non-COVID-related shortfall ever recorded in modern history.