The flexibility and tax efficiency of the wrapper has helped the ETF ecosystem blossom and the strategies available evolve.
Health Savings Accounts offer Americans a tax-free way to save for medical expenses. Now, some are using them to trade stocks — and dabble in risky bets they wouldn't touch in their 401(k) or brokerage accounts.
Rafay Farooqui, CEO and Founder of SUBSCRIBE, joins Tony Davidow to discuss the future of fintech within private markets.
Let’s start with the inverse relationship between bond price and the yield. When a bond is issued, its coupon is fixed for life. The only thing that changes is the yield that new buyers demand. Let me explain.
Nominal and real yields have risen, creating some of the most attractive opportunities investors have seen in fixed income in several years. A resilient economy, higher oil prices, sticky inflation and growing worry about the deficit have all contributed to higher yields across much of the bond market.
The employment report was extraordinarily strong, with approximately 165,000 jobs created, well above expectations, and upward revisions of 84,000 for the previous two months. Almost all the gains were in the private sector, with manufacturing adding 19,000 jobs.
Tuesday’s midterms were one for the history books. Democrats won control of both the House and Senate, and they picked up governorships in Ohio, Texas and Georgia. Kansas elected a Democrat to the Senate for the first time since 1932. Our home state of Texas did so for the first time in 38 years.
Our investment teams weigh what comes next for stocks, bonds, and AI to help you explain what may come next.
Election Day delivered a decisive shift in the political landscape. Democrats regained control of both the House and Senate and captured several key governorships. Affordability concerns, unease about the economy and dissatisfaction with the war in Iran all played a role, consistent with polling heading into the vote.
Politicians, particularly when they’re on the winning end of the deal, often say “elections have consequences.” It’s true. And it’s wisdom that advisors and muni bond investors need to remember.
I try not to write about politics in this letter. I’d rather focus on economics and investments. But this week, politics impacts economics so we need to address it. Let me see if I can express what I think many voters were feeling.
The most important number in October’s inflation reports wasn’t the one that made the headlines. Everyone watched the Consumer Price Index print 3.7%. Far fewer noticed the Producer Price Index for final demand. It jumped 1.3% in a single month, the largest gain since March 2022, and the annual rate hit 6.3%.
The big message from the midterms is that Americans are struggling with the cost of living. In case anyone missed it, they need relief now. This will put even more attention on the Federal Reserve: Will Chair Kevin Warsh do all he can to bring down inflation or placate the White House, which wants lower interest rates?
The magnitude of the Democratic victories in both the Senate and gubernatorial races was surprising and exceeded what many market participants appeared to be pricing. While the outcome is politically significant, investors should resist the temptation to view it as an immediate economic regime change.
A will can name guardians for minor children, designate an executor, and direct certain assets after your death. A trust serves a different role, including managing assets during your lifetime and controlling how they pass to beneficiaries. Understanding the distinction can help you build an estate plan that reflects your family, assets, and wishes.
Domestic demand for gold bars and coins tends to rise modestly under Democratic administrations. However, elections have not historically had a significant impact on gold’s global performance over the long haul.
Chris Galipeau discusses high-conviction insights that go beyond media headlines.
Portfolio Manager Denny Fish explains why the market was justified in assigning a higher level of regulatory risk to the AI ecosystem after the midterm elections. But in his view, the secular strength of this theme, along with the massive bottlenecks and geopolitical implications, mean that this historic investment cycle will likely continue.
Franklin Templeton Institute’s Stephen Dover and Larry Hatheway opine on the US stock market’s recent volatility in the wake of the US midterm elections and the path forward for investors.
The big story last week? The Federal Reserve paused despite stronger growth and persistent inflation. It was a hawkish pause, with a December hike still the base case, according to Franklin Templeton Fixed Income. Third-quarter gross domestic product showed the US economy's resilience, but also its growing dependence on artificial intelligence investment, and household purchasing power took a hit.
US state and local government debt is on track to notch its strongest October in more than four decades, as a relief rally follows one of the worst months for the bond market in years.
Understanding the FAFSA process can help families navigate college financial aid. Bill Cass, director of US Wealth Planning, explores five important considerations, from income and assets to application timing and aid offers.
The 2026 midterms may have changed Washington, but they haven’t changed the macro regime. Tariffs, geopolitics, and deficits remain key forces for investors.
The votes have been cast. While control of the House and Senate has been decided, now we wait for the final tallies (and celebrate the end of the political ads — at least for another 20 months or so). We’re not political strategists, but policy does move markets, so it’s important to pay attention.
Amid a rapidly changing world, where China’s rise as an industrial powerhouse has nations around the globe on alert, we believe that American reindustrialization will be an important driver of investment returns in the decade ahead. Standard U.S. equity indexes are poorly positioned to capture the benefits of this generational opportunity due to their global, technology-heavy composition.
Duration management is a key function of fixed income portfolio management. However, as yields have moved approximately 100 bps in 2026 and the monetary regime has sharply changed from rate cuts to rate hikes, duration management has come into greater focus.
Municipal bonds posted their best month since 2023. See how high-yield muni ETFs help advisors capitalize on the municipal market recovery.
October reminded investors that markets rarely move in response to a single factor. The US economy continued to expand at a moderate pace, supported by healthy consumer spending and solid business activity, even as markets contended with higher energy prices, renewed inflation concerns and heightened geopolitical tensions.
Following U.S. midterm results, Paul Eitelman, Chief Investment Strategist, Russell Investments, shares the potential implications for markets and the data center rollout. Views are as of 10:00 am Eastern Time on November 4, 2026.
Notwithstanding that the major U.S. equity indexes are sitting on healthy double-digit gains heading into the final two months of 2026, the calm at the index level belies a lot of churn and rotation underneath.
Taken together, these trends point to a healthier, broader economic backdrop than the AI-driven narrative alone would suggest. For us as investors, it reinforces the case for individual, fundamental stockpicking over simply riding the AI wave. There's more supporting this market than one theme, and that breadth matters for how we position portfolios.
Equity markets are caught between tighter liquidity conditions and increased geopolitical uncertainty on the one hand, and solid economic growth and corporate earnings on the other. We have consequently reduced our exposure to stocks leading into year end.
Following the U.S. midterm elections, investors will naturally focus on what the results mean for fiscal policy, geopolitics, and the regulatory outlook. But there’s another more immediate way the midterms have already mattered for the economy: The campaigns themselves have provided a meaningful boost to U.S. growth.
Although AI reasoning tools drastically speed up workflow—allowing single individuals to build complex financial platforms—they tend to produce generic consensus, overlook subtle guidance, and push inexperienced users toward crowded, high-risk strategies.
Google parent Alphabet Inc. is back in the municipal bond market for the second time this year with a $1.5 billion prepaid energy deal.
One concern raised by the recent backup in rates is whether CRE is about to relive the stress of 2023, when depressed post-pandemic office demand coincided with rising rates and a regional bank crisis, including Silicon Valley Bank and First Republic Bank. The selloff in public REITs suggests investors are repricing property values for a higher-rate world.
The significance of federal debt breaching the 100%-of-GDP threshold is debatable, but if debt keeps rising relative to the economy there is surely a point at which it becomes problematic for the US. In one sense it already has: net interest on the debt accounted for 14% of federal spending during the fiscal year that ended in September, and more than half the $2 trillion deficit.
Elevated Treasury yields have created attractive income opportunities across the fixed income markets. Corporate and municipal bonds offer additional yield opportunities, while positively sloped yield curves provide investors with further motivations to extend maturities. For many investors, the opportunity to capture higher income and lock it in for longer periods has renewed interest in exploring bond swaps.
We expect the rotation to continue. The earnings bar is high—very high. Any minor misstep has led to punishment, which has led to rotation. Rotation is not a bad thing, and if you are running a diversified equity portfolio, you should be in good shape.
The Federal Reserve meeting last week was largely uneventful. The S&P 500 and the 10-year Treasury yield ending the trading session almost exactly where they stood before the Fed’s announcements. Despite some disagreements within the Fed, there was virtually no forward guidance.
Most of us consider the end of the year as the season of giving. While you may have put some thought into how much you’d like to give this year, have you considered the best way to do it? The biggest benefit of charitable giving is supporting an organization that holds special meaning to you. But that doesn’t mean you can’t incorporate some potential tax advantages as well.
Social contracts are written for the population of their day, but while populations change, contracts rarely do. France is now the clearest case study of that collision.
When I introduce the emotional side of money to my financial planning students at Golden Gate University, the most common reaction is shock that it was never part of their formal education.
Election Day has markets watching how divided Washington will be over the coming two years. Jeff Schulze shares insights for investors based on different potential outcomes.
The broad markets experienced volatility in the 3rd quarter with concerns over the impact of energy prices on inflation as well as CapEx spending by hyperscaler companies in the AI space driving technology stocks. The price of WTI Crude oil rallied sharply during the quarter by nearly 30%.
Once prone to external shocks, Latin America has weathered this year’s geopolitical upheavals largely unscathed.
The Bank of Japan’s decision to accelerate sales of exchange-traded funds could boost its payments to the government, potentially helping Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi finance her costly policy agenda.
Technology took us out of our homes. It gave us a boss, office politics and an alarm clock — and it was awful. We got used to it; we made it work. Now technology might take those jobs away. But perhaps it will also restore the autonomy and flexibility that once defined work.
Last week, the AI trade began to crack further with Alphabet’s release, missing on both the top and bottom lines. Mirroring Meta’s print from the prior week, massive AI capex turned free cash flow negative, alarming investors.
As the days grow shorter and the nights longer, Americans will turn their clocks back, shifting from daylight saving time to standard time. But the clocks won’t be the only thing changing. Americans will also head to the polls, with the potential to reshape Congress in the 2026 midterm elections.
With the one constant being that gold fell again, this time by 6.6%, October’s price action is a mirror image of what happened in markets in September. In September, tech and momentum led the charge higher, with anything value- or rate-related leading the selloff. October was the exact opposite.
Medicare's annual enrollment period gives advisors an opportunity to revisit healthcare coverage with clients. While advisors needn't become Medicare experts, they can help identify issues that warrant a closer look or consultation with a qualified Medicare professional.
Instead of making defensive, fear-driven claiming choices, financial planners are urged to stress-test retirement plans against a baseline 78% benefit level to ensure essential expenses remain covered.
When Elon Musk pledged to give a share of SpaceX to each child in the US, the proclamation was met with a certain amount of skepticism. Regardless of Musk’s motivation or whether his promise comes to fruition, he has — inadvertently or not — hit on a worthwhile idea.
The stock market doesn’t wait for GDP. The ratio of consumer discretionary stocks to consumer staples has fallen about 19% from its late-2025 peak, suggesting the so-called “smart money” has been quietly moving out of what people want and into what people need for most of this year.5
Starting December 6, 2026, Nasdaq and NYSE Arca will officially launch extended trading sessions, expanding U.S. stock trading to up to 23 hours a day, five days a week.
Infrastructure has long been valued for its defensive characteristics, income potential and ability to protect against inflation. Essential assets such as electricity networks, pipelines, railways, airports and toll roads typically benefit from high barriers to entry and predictable revenues.
Today I want to tell you about the city of Shenzhen. Unless you are in global manufacturing, you may not have heard of this Chinese city of 18 million people. As recently as 1979, the area had only 30,000 residents, living in small fishing villages. Today, it is one of the most modern cities in the world. It is also quite wealthy.
Personal income (excluding transfer receipts) was up 0.18% in September and was up 4.21% year-over-year. However, when adjusted for inflation using the BEA's PCE Price Index, real personal income (excluding transfer receipts) was down 0.31% month-over-month and up 0.54% year-over-year.
The Fed held rates steady at its October meeting but kept the door open to further tightening, with two dissenting votes and hawkish rhetoric signaling that the pause is a skip, not a stop.
Consumer staples are behaving (in a good way) like their technology counterparts. It may be the latter that’s helping the former. There are currently renewed fears about AI bubbles and hefty spending by hyperscalers. So some investors are trimming tech exposure and heading to more docile pastures, including staples.
Valid until the market close on November 31, 2026
This article provides an update on the monthly moving averages we track for the S&P 500 and the Ivy Portfolio after the close of the last business day of the month.
Wall Street expects Democrats to win at least one of the houses of Congress in the US midterm elections on Tuesday, setting the stage for a potentially volatile ride in the stock and bond markets with artificial intelligence oversight, defense spending and crypto legislation on the table.
ExxonMobil Holdings Corp. plans to invest more than $100 billion over the next few years to help augment global energy supplies, Chief Executive Officer Darren Woods told CNBC after the supermajor posted blockbuster quarterly results.
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decided to keep rates unchanged, maintaining the fed funds trading range at 3.75% to 4.00%. After some early back and forth on the chances for a rate hike at this gathering, this result was largely expected. In fact, fed funds futures were pricing in more than a 90% chance that the fed funds target would remain unchanged.
Royce Investment Partners: Co-CIO Francis Gannon details why recent volatility looks like the typical pattern of a US small-cap leadership cycle.
Investors may be overlooking one of the most established drivers of long-term wealth creation: dividend yield. In his October insight, Richard Bernstein, Global Head of Macro & Customized Investing, examines the broad availability of dividend opportunities, how income-focused stocks have performed relative to growth stocks, and why dividend yield may help investors balance portfolios increasingly geared toward capital gains and higher risk.
After overshooting projections for years, AI capex is slowing down. The shift doesn’t spell the end of the AI trade but a move to a more mature, predictable cycle that favors higher-quality borrowers.
New charitable deduction rules may affect year-end giving strategies. Bill Cass examines the changes for 2026 and considerations for taxpayers looking to align charitable goals with tax planning.
The Federal Reserve decided to wait for more data rather than raise rates at its October meeting. Two policymakers dissented, favoring a rate hike of a quarter percentage point.
Could the near to medium term finally see value ETFs take the starring role back from growth? Value indices have provided some steady returns this year, but the question is, can they accelerate into the new year? Economic headwinds and concentration risk for the AI hyperscalers could see value stocks outperform. The American Century U.S. Quality Value ETF (VALQ) presents a strong candidate to do well if value stocks do.
Many long simmering tensions boiled over in France’s protests and riots. Rising borrowing costs for the government proved a crucial pressure point — a message from bondholders grown impatient with a lack of pension reform and the country’s enormous welfare state. Americans would do well to pay attention.
How many eyeball-grabbing headlines can we stuff into the next few weeks? For tech investors, AI concerns mount, with rising credit default swap prices among the hyperscalers and sagging neocloud equities.
With the recent movements in both the stock and bond markets, there was some noteworthy news that got kind of lost. Indeed, the U.S. government posted a $1.99 trillion budget deficit for fiscal year (FY) 2026. While technically it is not a record amount of red-ink, it represented the largest non-COVID-related shortfall ever recorded in modern history.
Gold has traditionally been one of the most popular ways for investors to gain commodity exposure, but its recent weakness highlights the differences across various commodities. While precious metals have struggled, energy and certain agricultural commodities have seen stronger returns. Existing diversified strategies are also giving investors more ways to access commodities beyond traditional gold funds.
Reasonable minds can disagree about the ideal scope of government, but no one argues against nations providing for their defense. As conflicts emerge and tensions rise, defense spending will take a larger role in all nations’ budgets, with effects that will flow across the economy.
Income ETF strategies have exploded in popularity in recent years. Historically, investors have looked to bond coupons to add durability to their portfolios. The explosion of ETF popularity, launches, and adoption, however, has seen some intriguing options join the fray. The Goldman Sachs Municipal Income ETF (GMUB), which hits its three-year ETF milestone next year, represents just such a strategy.
As information and AI-powered insights become more accessible, experience, judgment, and discernment are becoming increasingly valuable. The advisor's role is evolving from simply providing answers to helping clients interpret complexity, evaluate trade-offs, make decisions with confidence, and execute those decisions effectively.
US midterm elections take place on Tuesday, November 3. Currently, the Republican party is in control of the House and the Senate. This vote will essentially be a referendum on the Republican party’s body of work. It’s likely the composition of either the House or the Senate will change.
Keynes’ influence is still very much alive. As one point of evidence, Robert Hall of Stanford University and Michael Woodford of Columbia University, champions of what is now known as “The New Keynesian Theory,” were recognized with this year’s Nobel Prize in Economics.
Clients want to understand how the advisor thinks, what they value, and what guides them when hard decisions arise. Your clients want to hear a familiar voice, not another generic, institutional message that could have come from any firm in the country.
Family offices do not need to choose between ignoring AI entirely and adopting it everywhere at once. A practical middle path exists, and it starts with controlled experimentation. By protecting sensitive information, choosing a well-defined use case, and confirming that the underlying data can actually support it, family offices can see significant benefits from AI without introducing significant risks.
Record ETF launches are compressing product shelf lives and raising closure risks. Learn the real costs for advisors and clients.
A wirehouse financial advisor recently asked me to run the numbers on his group long-term disability (LTD) coverage. He had enrolled years earlier and looked at the benefit summary, which indicated coverage for 60% of his earnings — a figure that seemed generous enough. What he didn’t check was what that 60% was applied to.
Rick Polsinello, Christian Galipeau Discuss high-conviction insights that go beyond media headlines.
The Middle Eastern waters might be calm enough to allow for energy shipments to recover toward pre-war levels, but Asia-Pacific (APAC) economies are not yet in calm waters. Tight petroleum product supplies and higher shipping costs leave the region vulnerable to further shocks.
We have been arguing that the reset higher in yields has restored the dual role of bonds in multi-asset portfolios: providing attractive income while once again offering the potential for meaningful risk mitigation. This month’s tech market turbulence has provided a clear example: As equities came under pressure, U.S. Treasury yields fell amid a flight to safety, allowing duration to behave like a diversifier again.
Last year, U.S. charitable giving hit a record $617.20 billion, according to Giving USA. That’s the first time it’s ever topped $600 billion. Individuals gave $394.2 billion of that, foundations gave $117.15 billion, bequests added $62.19 billion and corporations contributed $43.67 billion.
Insurance-licensed RIAs grew fastest as fee-only firms’ asset share fell to 34%, though fiduciary clients report higher satisfaction.
Knowing how to read the underlying SEC Form 4 filing can help an advisor explain to a client what happened and put the headline in context. This article walks through the explanations and transaction codes that can help an advisor separate routine activity from trades worth investigating further.
Tax Loss Harvesting
ETF Roundup: October Launches Include Active, Thematic ETFs
The flexibility and tax efficiency of the wrapper has helped the ETF ecosystem blossom and the strategies available evolve.
The Hot New Place to Bet on Stocks Is a Health Savings Account
Health Savings Accounts offer Americans a tax-free way to save for medical expenses. Now, some are using them to trade stocks — and dabble in risky bets they wouldn't touch in their 401(k) or brokerage accounts.
Solving the Operational Challenges of Private Markets
Rafay Farooqui, CEO and Founder of SUBSCRIBE, joins Tony Davidow to discuss the future of fintech within private markets.
How Bonds Work: Everything You Need To Know
Let’s start with the inverse relationship between bond price and the yield. When a bond is issued, its coupon is fixed for life. The only thing that changes is the yield that new buyers demand. Let me explain.
Outlook: A Review of the Corporate, Agency and Municipal Sectors Given Tight Spreads and Record Issuance
Nominal and real yields have risen, creating some of the most attractive opportunities investors have seen in fixed income in several years. A resilient economy, higher oil prices, sticky inflation and growing worry about the deficit have all contributed to higher yields across much of the bond market.
Strong Jobs Report Reinforces Outlook and Market Rotation
The employment report was extraordinarily strong, with approximately 165,000 jobs created, well above expectations, and upward revisions of 84,000 for the previous two months. Almost all the gains were in the private sector, with manufacturing adding 19,000 jobs.
What Stocks Have Done Under a Republican President and a Democratic Congress
Tuesday’s midterms were one for the history books. Democrats won control of both the House and Senate, and they picked up governorships in Ohio, Texas and Georgia. Kansas elected a Democrat to the Senate for the first time since 1932. Our home state of Texas did so for the first time in 38 years.
After the Election: What Matters for Your Clients’ Portfolios
Our investment teams weigh what comes next for stocks, bonds, and AI to help you explain what may come next.
Five Questions for Markets After the Midterm Elections
Election Day delivered a decisive shift in the political landscape. Democrats regained control of both the House and Senate and captured several key governorships. Affordability concerns, unease about the economy and dissatisfaction with the war in Iran all played a role, consistent with polling heading into the vote.
Muni Bonds Face a Variety of Post-Election Possibilities
Politicians, particularly when they’re on the winning end of the deal, often say “elections have consequences.” It’s true. And it’s wisdom that advisors and muni bond investors need to remember.
Debt Be Not Proud
I try not to write about politics in this letter. I’d rather focus on economics and investments. But this week, politics impacts economics so we need to address it. Let me see if I can express what I think many voters were feeling.
PPI vs CPI: Are Record Profit Margins About To Get Squeezed
The most important number in October’s inflation reports wasn’t the one that made the headlines. Everyone watched the Consumer Price Index print 3.7%. Far fewer noticed the Producer Price Index for final demand. It jumped 1.3% in a single month, the largest gain since March 2022, and the annual rate hit 6.3%.
The Affordability Crisis Isn’t About Inflation
The big message from the midterms is that Americans are struggling with the cost of living. In case anyone missed it, they need relief now. This will put even more attention on the Federal Reserve: Will Chair Kevin Warsh do all he can to bring down inflation or placate the White House, which wants lower interest rates?
Midterm Election 2026: What Matters for Investors Now
The magnitude of the Democratic victories in both the Senate and gubernatorial races was surprising and exceeded what many market participants appeared to be pricing. While the outcome is politically significant, investors should resist the temptation to view it as an immediate economic regime change.
Do You Need a Will, a Trust, or Both?
A will can name guardians for minor children, designate an executor, and direct certain assets after your death. A trust serves a different role, including managing assets during your lifetime and controlling how they pass to beneficiaries. Understanding the distinction can help you build an estate plan that reflects your family, assets, and wishes.
What Does the "Blue Wave" Mean for Gold and Silver
Domestic demand for gold bars and coins tends to rise modestly under Democratic administrations. However, elections have not historically had a significant impact on gold’s global performance over the long haul.
Panic at the Disco
Chris Galipeau discusses high-conviction insights that go beyond media headlines.
Quick View: An Argument for the Long View During AI Volatility
Portfolio Manager Denny Fish explains why the market was justified in assigning a higher level of regulatory risk to the AI ecosystem after the midterm elections. But in his view, the secular strength of this theme, along with the massive bottlenecks and geopolitical implications, mean that this historic investment cycle will likely continue.
The AI Selloff and Portfolio Implications
Franklin Templeton Institute’s Stephen Dover and Larry Hatheway opine on the US stock market’s recent volatility in the wake of the US midterm elections and the path forward for investors.
Strong Growth, Emerging Cracks
The big story last week? The Federal Reserve paused despite stronger growth and persistent inflation. It was a hawkish pause, with a December hike still the base case, according to Franklin Templeton Fixed Income. Third-quarter gross domestic product showed the US economy's resilience, but also its growing dependence on artificial intelligence investment, and household purchasing power took a hit.
Munis Head for Best October in More Than Four Decades After Rout
US state and local government debt is on track to notch its strongest October in more than four decades, as a relief rally follows one of the worst months for the bond market in years.
Five Things Families Should Know About the FAFSA
Understanding the FAFSA process can help families navigate college financial aid. Bill Cass, director of US Wealth Planning, explores five important considerations, from income and assets to application timing and aid offers.
Midterms Change Congress, Not the Macro Regime
The 2026 midterms may have changed Washington, but they haven’t changed the macro regime. Tariffs, geopolitics, and deficits remain key forces for investors.
Beyond the Ballots: What Matters for Markets
The votes have been cast. While control of the House and Senate has been decided, now we wait for the final tallies (and celebrate the end of the political ads — at least for another 20 months or so). We’re not political strategists, but policy does move markets, so it’s important to pay attention.
Investing in American Resilience
Amid a rapidly changing world, where China’s rise as an industrial powerhouse has nations around the globe on alert, we believe that American reindustrialization will be an important driver of investment returns in the decade ahead. Standard U.S. equity indexes are poorly positioned to capture the benefits of this generational opportunity due to their global, technology-heavy composition.
Manage Unintended Duration Risk Across the Yield Curve
Duration management is a key function of fixed income portfolio management. However, as yields have moved approximately 100 bps in 2026 and the monetary regime has sharply changed from rate cuts to rate hikes, duration management has come into greater focus.
Why Advisors Are Using High-Yield ETFs
Municipal bonds posted their best month since 2023. See how high-yield muni ETFs help advisors capitalize on the municipal market recovery.
October Review: Markets Navigate Competing Forces
October reminded investors that markets rarely move in response to a single factor. The US economy continued to expand at a moderate pace, supported by healthy consumer spending and solid business activity, even as markets contended with higher energy prices, renewed inflation concerns and heightened geopolitical tensions.
What Midterm Results Mean for Policy and Data Center Risk
Following U.S. midterm results, Paul Eitelman, Chief Investment Strategist, Russell Investments, shares the potential implications for markets and the data center rollout. Views are as of 10:00 am Eastern Time on November 4, 2026.
Spinning Wheel: What Goes Up…
Notwithstanding that the major U.S. equity indexes are sitting on healthy double-digit gains heading into the final two months of 2026, the calm at the index level belies a lot of churn and rotation underneath.
Where Investors Aren’t Looking
Taken together, these trends point to a healthier, broader economic backdrop than the AI-driven narrative alone would suggest. For us as investors, it reinforces the case for individual, fundamental stockpicking over simply riding the AI wave. There's more supporting this market than one theme, and that breadth matters for how we position portfolios.
Cutting Back on Equities as Financial Conditions Offer Less Support
Equity markets are caught between tighter liquidity conditions and increased geopolitical uncertainty on the one hand, and solid economic growth and corporate earnings on the other. We have consequently reduced our exposure to stocks leading into year end.
Campaign Spending: The Hidden Boost Behind U.S. Consumer Resilience
Following the U.S. midterm elections, investors will naturally focus on what the results mean for fiscal policy, geopolitics, and the regulatory outlook. But there’s another more immediate way the midterms have already mattered for the economy: The campaigns themselves have provided a meaningful boost to U.S. growth.
AI Multiplies Advisor Expertise: A Computer Nerd Comes Clean
Although AI reasoning tools drastically speed up workflow—allowing single individuals to build complex financial platforms—they tend to produce generic consensus, overlook subtle guidance, and push inexperienced users toward crowded, high-risk strategies.
Google Parent Plans $1.5 Billion Prepaid Energy Deal via Goldman
Google parent Alphabet Inc. is back in the municipal bond market for the second time this year with a $1.5 billion prepaid energy deal.
Commercial Real Estate: A Reset, Not a Replay
One concern raised by the recent backup in rates is whether CRE is about to relive the stress of 2023, when depressed post-pandemic office demand coincided with rising rates and a regional bank crisis, including Silicon Valley Bank and First Republic Bank. The selloff in public REITs suggests investors are repricing property values for a higher-rate world.
Economic Growth Alone Won’t Solve the US Debt Problem
The significance of federal debt breaching the 100%-of-GDP threshold is debatable, but if debt keeps rising relative to the economy there is surely a point at which it becomes problematic for the US. In one sense it already has: net interest on the debt accounted for 14% of federal spending during the fiscal year that ended in September, and more than half the $2 trillion deficit.
Setting Expectations for a Successful Swap
Elevated Treasury yields have created attractive income opportunities across the fixed income markets. Corporate and municipal bonds offer additional yield opportunities, while positively sloped yield curves provide investors with further motivations to extend maturities. For many investors, the opportunity to capture higher income and lock it in for longer periods has renewed interest in exploring bond swaps.
The Rotation Will Continue Until Morale Improves
We expect the rotation to continue. The earnings bar is high—very high. Any minor misstep has led to punishment, which has led to rotation. Rotation is not a bad thing, and if you are running a diversified equity portfolio, you should be in good shape.
Tech Weakness Fuels Bond Rally and Value Rotation
The Federal Reserve meeting last week was largely uneventful. The S&P 500 and the 10-year Treasury yield ending the trading session almost exactly where they stood before the Fed’s announcements. Despite some disagreements within the Fed, there was virtually no forward guidance.
Giving to Charity This Year? Consider the Tax Strategy Too
Most of us consider the end of the year as the season of giving. While you may have put some thought into how much you’d like to give this year, have you considered the best way to do it? The biggest benefit of charitable giving is supporting an organization that holds special meaning to you. But that doesn’t mean you can’t incorporate some potential tax advantages as well.
Will the Bond Market Retire the French Pension?
Social contracts are written for the population of their day, but while populations change, contracts rarely do. France is now the clearest case study of that collision.
Teaching Financial Advisors the Depth Behind Tools & Recipes
When I introduce the emotional side of money to my financial planning students at Golden Gate University, the most common reaction is shock that it was never part of their formal education.
The Big Picture Beats Politics
Election Day has markets watching how divided Washington will be over the coming two years. Jeff Schulze shares insights for investors based on different potential outcomes.
A Volatile Quarter, and Where We See It Heading
The broad markets experienced volatility in the 3rd quarter with concerns over the impact of energy prices on inflation as well as CapEx spending by hyperscaler companies in the AI space driving technology stocks. The price of WTI Crude oil rallied sharply during the quarter by nearly 30%.
Forget the Macro. Latin America Needs Micro Warriors
Once prone to external shocks, Latin America has weathered this year’s geopolitical upheavals largely unscathed.
BOJ’s Faster ETF Sales May Help Takaichi’s Spending Plan
The Bank of Japan’s decision to accelerate sales of exchange-traded funds could boost its payments to the government, potentially helping Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi finance her costly policy agenda.
Permanent WFH Is AI’s Best Promise Yet
Technology took us out of our homes. It gave us a boss, office politics and an alarm clock — and it was awful. We got used to it; we made it work. Now technology might take those jobs away. But perhaps it will also restore the autonomy and flexibility that once defined work.
Can Q3 Earnings Get Back on Track After Being Rattled by Big Tech's AI Prints?
Last week, the AI trade began to crack further with Alphabet’s release, missing on both the top and bottom lines. Mirroring Meta’s print from the prior week, massive AI capex turned free cash flow negative, alarming investors.
What Midterm Election Results Could Mean for the Market Outlook
As the days grow shorter and the nights longer, Americans will turn their clocks back, shifting from daylight saving time to standard time. But the clocks won’t be the only thing changing. Americans will also head to the polls, with the potential to reshape Congress in the 2026 midterm elections.
QuantStreet November 2026 Letter: AI Worries
With the one constant being that gold fell again, this time by 6.6%, October’s price action is a mirror image of what happened in markets in September. In September, tech and momentum led the charge higher, with anything value- or rate-related leading the selloff. October was the exact opposite.
Medicare Decisions Are Becoming a Financial Planning Blind Spot
Medicare's annual enrollment period gives advisors an opportunity to revisit healthcare coverage with clients. While advisors needn't become Medicare experts, they can help identify issues that warrant a closer look or consultation with a qualified Medicare professional.
Social Security's Depletion Date Moved Inside Your Client's Retirement
Instead of making defensive, fear-driven claiming choices, financial planners are urged to stress-test retirement plans against a baseline 78% benefit level to ensure essential expenses remain covered.
Musk Is on to Something With His Stock Handout Idea
When Elon Musk pledged to give a share of SpaceX to each child in the US, the proclamation was met with a certain amount of skepticism. Regardless of Musk’s motivation or whether his promise comes to fruition, he has — inadvertently or not — hit on a worthwhile idea.
Real Wages 2026: Why Consumer Stocks Feel It First
The stock market doesn’t wait for GDP. The ratio of consumer discretionary stocks to consumer staples has fallen about 19% from its late-2025 peak, suggesting the so-called “smart money” has been quietly moving out of what people want and into what people need for most of this year.5
What Institutional Investors Should Know About After-Hours Trading for U.S. Equities
Starting December 6, 2026, Nasdaq and NYSE Arca will officially launch extended trading sessions, expanding U.S. stock trading to up to 23 hours a day, five days a week.
Infrastructure’s Essential Assets Have Expanding Ambitions
Infrastructure has long been valued for its defensive characteristics, income potential and ability to protect against inflation. Essential assets such as electricity networks, pipelines, railways, airports and toll roads typically benefit from high barriers to entry and predictable revenues.
America Doesn’t Have a Monopoly on Capitalism
Today I want to tell you about the city of Shenzhen. Unless you are in global manufacturing, you may not have heard of this Chinese city of 18 million people. As recently as 1979, the area had only 30,000 residents, living in small fishing villages. Today, it is one of the most modern cities in the world. It is also quite wealthy.
The Big Four Recession Indicators: Real Personal Income
Personal income (excluding transfer receipts) was up 0.18% in September and was up 4.21% year-over-year. However, when adjusted for inflation using the BEA's PCE Price Index, real personal income (excluding transfer receipts) was down 0.31% month-over-month and up 0.54% year-over-year.
October FOMC Recap—No Hike But Hawk Talk Persists
The Fed held rates steady at its October meeting but kept the door open to further tightening, with two dissenting votes and hawkish rhetoric signaling that the pause is a skip, not a stop.
With Consumer Staples in Rally Mode, Consider This Momentum ETF
Consumer staples are behaving (in a good way) like their technology counterparts. It may be the latter that’s helping the former. There are currently renewed fears about AI bubbles and hefty spending by hyperscalers. So some investors are trimming tech exposure and heading to more docile pastures, including staples.
Moving Averages of the Ivy Portfolio and S&P 500: October 2026
Valid until the market close on November 31, 2026
This article provides an update on the monthly moving averages we track for the S&P 500 and the Ivy Portfolio after the close of the last business day of the month.
AI Policy Fears Grip Stock, Bond Traders With Midterms Days Away
Wall Street expects Democrats to win at least one of the houses of Congress in the US midterm elections on Tuesday, setting the stage for a potentially volatile ride in the stock and bond markets with artificial intelligence oversight, defense spending and crypto legislation on the table.
Exxon Plans $100 Billion in Capex Through 2030, CEO Tells CNBC
ExxonMobil Holdings Corp. plans to invest more than $100 billion over the next few years to help augment global energy supplies, Chief Executive Officer Darren Woods told CNBC after the supermajor posted blockbuster quarterly results.
Holding the Line
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decided to keep rates unchanged, maintaining the fed funds trading range at 3.75% to 4.00%. After some early back and forth on the chances for a rate hike at this gathering, this result was largely expected. In fact, fed funds futures were pricing in more than a 90% chance that the fed funds target would remain unchanged.
The US Small-Cap Bull Market: A Correction, Not a Conclusion
Royce Investment Partners: Co-CIO Francis Gannon details why recent volatility looks like the typical pattern of a US small-cap leadership cycle.
The Opposite of Narrow Breadth: Yield is Everywhere!
Investors may be overlooking one of the most established drivers of long-term wealth creation: dividend yield. In his October insight, Richard Bernstein, Global Head of Macro & Customized Investing, examines the broad availability of dividend opportunities, how income-focused stocks have performed relative to growth stocks, and why dividend yield may help investors balance portfolios increasingly geared toward capital gains and higher risk.
The AI Soft Landing Scenario
After overshooting projections for years, AI capex is slowing down. The shift doesn’t spell the end of the AI trade but a move to a more mature, predictable cycle that favors higher-quality borrowers.
Year-End Charitable Giving: Understanding the New Tax Rules
New charitable deduction rules may affect year-end giving strategies. Bill Cass examines the changes for 2026 and considerations for taxpayers looking to align charitable goals with tax planning.
Divided Fed Chooses Patience, Leaves Rates Unchanged
The Federal Reserve decided to wait for more data rather than raise rates at its October meeting. Two policymakers dissented, favoring a rate hike of a quarter percentage point.
Is Now the Moment for Value ETFs? The Case for VALQ
Could the near to medium term finally see value ETFs take the starring role back from growth? Value indices have provided some steady returns this year, but the question is, can they accelerate into the new year? Economic headwinds and concentration risk for the AI hyperscalers could see value stocks outperform. The American Century U.S. Quality Value ETF (VALQ) presents a strong candidate to do well if value stocks do.
America Is Getting a Peek at Its Debt Future, and It’s Scary
Many long simmering tensions boiled over in France’s protests and riots. Rising borrowing costs for the government proved a crucial pressure point — a message from bondholders grown impatient with a lack of pension reform and the country’s enormous welfare state. Americans would do well to pay attention.
Anthropic IPO on Tap, NVIDIA Updates, & Other Investor Days Shaping Markets
How many eyeball-grabbing headlines can we stuff into the next few weeks? For tech investors, AI concerns mount, with rising credit default swap prices among the hyperscalers and sagging neocloud equities.
Mind the $2 Trillion Gap
With the recent movements in both the stock and bond markets, there was some noteworthy news that got kind of lost. Indeed, the U.S. government posted a $1.99 trillion budget deficit for fiscal year (FY) 2026. While technically it is not a record amount of red-ink, it represented the largest non-COVID-related shortfall ever recorded in modern history.
Commodity ETFs: Beyond the Gold Trade
Gold has traditionally been one of the most popular ways for investors to gain commodity exposure, but its recent weakness highlights the differences across various commodities. While precious metals have struggled, energy and certain agricultural commodities have seen stronger returns. Existing diversified strategies are also giving investors more ways to access commodities beyond traditional gold funds.
Some Benefits of Defense Spending
Reasonable minds can disagree about the ideal scope of government, but no one argues against nations providing for their defense. As conflicts emerge and tensions rise, defense spending will take a larger role in all nations’ budgets, with effects that will flow across the economy.
The Massive Advantage This Income ETF Brings to Portfolios
Income ETF strategies have exploded in popularity in recent years. Historically, investors have looked to bond coupons to add durability to their portfolios. The explosion of ETF popularity, launches, and adoption, however, has seen some intriguing options join the fray. The Goldman Sachs Municipal Income ETF (GMUB), which hits its three-year ETF milestone next year, represents just such a strategy.
When Information Is Free, Sound Judgment Becomes Priceless
As information and AI-powered insights become more accessible, experience, judgment, and discernment are becoming increasingly valuable. The advisor's role is evolving from simply providing answers to helping clients interpret complexity, evaluate trade-offs, make decisions with confidence, and execute those decisions effectively.
The Midterm Market Effect
US midterm elections take place on Tuesday, November 3. Currently, the Republican party is in control of the House and the Senate. This vote will essentially be a referendum on the Republican party’s body of work. It’s likely the composition of either the House or the Senate will change.
Keynes Is Still with Us
Keynes’ influence is still very much alive. As one point of evidence, Robert Hall of Stanford University and Michael Woodford of Columbia University, champions of what is now known as “The New Keynesian Theory,” were recognized with this year’s Nobel Prize in Economics.
Your Clients Don’t Want a Market Update. They Want to Know You.
Clients want to understand how the advisor thinks, what they value, and what guides them when hard decisions arise. Your clients want to hear a familiar voice, not another generic, institutional message that could have come from any firm in the country.
How Family Offices Can Take a Practical Approach to AI
Family offices do not need to choose between ignoring AI entirely and adopting it everywhere at once. A practical middle path exists, and it starts with controlled experimentation. By protecting sensitive information, choosing a well-defined use case, and confirming that the underlying data can actually support it, family offices can see significant benefits from AI without introducing significant risks.
The Hidden Costs of Shrinking ETF Shelf Lives
Record ETF launches are compressing product shelf lives and raising closure risks. Learn the real costs for advisors and clients.
Group Disability Plans Cover Base Salary Only, Not Commissions
A wirehouse financial advisor recently asked me to run the numbers on his group long-term disability (LTD) coverage. He had enrolled years earlier and looked at the benefit summary, which indicated coverage for 60% of his earnings — a figure that seemed generous enough. What he didn’t check was what that 60% was applied to.
AI Wobbles. Treasuries Step Up.
Rick Polsinello, Christian Galipeau Discuss high-conviction insights that go beyond media headlines.
No Safe Harbor
The Middle Eastern waters might be calm enough to allow for energy shipments to recover toward pre-war levels, but Asia-Pacific (APAC) economies are not yet in calm waters. Tight petroleum product supplies and higher shipping costs leave the region vulnerable to further shocks.
The Other Side of Higher Yields
We have been arguing that the reset higher in yields has restored the dual role of bonds in multi-asset portfolios: providing attractive income while once again offering the potential for meaningful risk mitigation. This month’s tech market turbulence has provided a clear example: As equities came under pressure, U.S. Treasury yields fell amid a flight to safety, allowing duration to behave like a diversifier again.
AI Is Proving Yet Again That Americans Are the Most Generous People on Earth
Last year, U.S. charitable giving hit a record $617.20 billion, according to Giving USA. That’s the first time it’s ever topped $600 billion. Individuals gave $394.2 billion of that, foundations gave $117.15 billion, bequests added $62.19 billion and corporations contributed $43.67 billion.
Hybrid RIAs Outpace Fee-Only Fiduciary Firms, Cerulli Finds
Insurance-licensed RIAs grew fastest as fee-only firms’ asset share fell to 34%, though fiduciary clients report higher satisfaction.
A Guide to Form 4 Noise Reduction
Knowing how to read the underlying SEC Form 4 filing can help an advisor explain to a client what happened and put the headline in context. This article walks through the explanations and transaction codes that can help an advisor separate routine activity from trades worth investigating further.