Weighing the Week Ahead: Do Rising Interest Rates Signal the Beginning of the End?

There is a light economic calendar with a focus on inflation data. This is timely given the growing fear about rising interest rates. While these reports have been benign in recent years, even a modest uptick could fuel concerns. If the focus remains non-political, pundits will be asking:

Do rising interest rates signal the beginning of the end for stocks – and the economy?

Last Week Recap

In my last edition of WTWA I anticipated that the punditry would pay little attention to a week chockful of important economic data. That was accurate until Fed Chair Powell’s answers to some questions seemed to indicate a change in Fed policy. I analyzed four key market questions; that should be helpful even though my guess for the week missed the mark.

The Story in One Chart

I always start my personal review of the week by looking at a great chart. I especially like the version updated each week by Jill Mislinski. She includes a lot of valuable information in a single visual. The full post has even more charts and analysis, including commentary on volume. Check it out.

The market declined 1% on the week. The weekly trading range was about 2.6%, much larger than we have recently seen. From a historical perspective, volatility is still low. I summarize actual and implied volatility each week in our Indicator Snapshot section below.


Suze Orman opines that you need about $5 million to retire early.


Jeff Desjardins of Visual Capitalist observes that “the world is changing faster than ever before.” This excellent analysis shows eight forces behind global growth, with important details about each trend. (Did you know that there were 100 cities in China with a population over 1 million? One of the charts compares the GDP of Chinese cities with equivalent countries. Fascinating!] Everyone will find something interesting in this article, so sit back and enjoy it. Here are two examples.