Weekly Investment Strategy

Review the latest Weekly Headings by CIO Larry Adam.

Key Takeaways

  • Weaker euro compounds pricing pressures
  • Energy prices prolonging Europe’s inflation peak
  • European economy inching closer to a recession

Traffic signs provide critical information to drivers—indicating what to expect up ahead, creating order on roadways, and hopefully ensuring safety. For much of this year, the global economy has seemed to be at a ‘Recession Crossroad,’ with the weight of inflation and central banks’ responses to escalating price pressures leading many to conclude that a recession was the near-term destination for many developed economies. While we never merged with these expectations when it came to the US economy, recession risks loom in Europe as there are a number of hazards (e.g., weakened euro, still soaring inflation and an ongoing energy crisis) on the region’s route. In light of these challenges, below outlines why investors should exercise caution when investing in European equities in the months ahead.