A Ticket to Purgatory

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The Sherman Antitrust Act was created to stop our democratic republic from being ruined by “the concentration of capital in vast combinations.” The fear was that if too much of the success of industry went to too few people, our system would get disrupted.

The bad news is that the federal government has ignored the original purpose of the act. In our opinion, our society was first disrupted by the success of the FANG stocks and is now being disrupted by the Magnificent Seven. The good news is that the stock market has a history of solving problems on its own. What has happened over time to the largest and most popular stocks as measured by market capitalization?

top 10 vs 490

The chart above shows the relative performance if you bought the ten largest cap stocks in the S&P 500 Index at the start of each year and separately purchased the next 490 stocks in the index. You would have had occasional victories in the top ten, like in the recent 10 years, but massive long-term heartache over the last 65 years (thank you to GMO, Compustat and Standard & Poor’s).

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