August’s PMI Underscores Need for Active Management

Signals of ongoing weakening within the manufacturing sector sent stocks tumbling on Tuesday, September 3. As market sensitivity to economic data continues, investors would do well to consider active strategies amidst ongoing volatility.

August’s ISM purchasing manager’s index reported below expectations, at 47.2% on an expected 47.9%, according to CNBC. Though the index gained from July’s 46.8%, it remains in contraction territory (below 50%).

“Demand continues to be weak, output declined, and inputs stayed accommodative,” Timothy Fiore, chair of the ISM Manufacturing Business Survey Committee, told CNBC.

A weak reading last month also resulted in a market decline of up to 8.5% for the S&P 500, though broad benchmarks largely made up the losses. Ongoing manufacturing weakness lends further credence to the likelihood of a Fed interest rate cut later this month. However, ongoing economic signals indicating weakening, while supportive of rate cuts, create the potential for further volatility as investor concerns turn to potential recession.