The financial markets continued to absorb major news events with surprising ease last week. Be it the tragedies in the U.K., the withdrawal from the Paris climate agreement, or the weakness in Friday's employment data, the stock and bond markets both continued to edge higher. Investors seem to have become conditioned toward individual isolated disappointments all while the bigger picture is toward one of global economic growth and relative stability.
The international markets have lower valuations, improving growth and possibly even more political certainty than here in the U.S. Foreign currencies are rising against the U.S. dollar as economic trade flows shift and investors want to diversify away from the United States. It is getting increasingly more difficult to make business and investment decisions with Washington D.C. policy proposals and reactions being so fluid. CEOs are confused, foreign leaders are confused and even I am confused whether buying an American made car without the Ford or GM logo on it is still a pro-American purchase.
Well that was unexpected. I don't think anyone had Hillary Clinton winning Minnesota by ONLY 1.4%, much less the GOP sweeping two branches of the U.S. Government and looking to line up the third branch (i.e., Supreme Court). So now what? What I wrote on Sunday still holds true today: "the markets like nothing more than certainty."