Some investors are questioning how much further this year’s rally can run with the S&P 500 Index up 12.3% through the first eight months of the year. Encouragingly, history suggests that strong starts tend to persist; when the S&P 500 has gained more than 10% through August it has advanced from September through December in 25 of 28 instances, an 89% positive hit rate.

US equity market leadership underwent a rotation in July, with previous leaders turning into laggards and vice versa.

US equities continued to climb higher in May, with the S&P 500 Index rising 5.1%. Further de-escalation of geopolitical tension in the Middle East has paved the way for the market’s 19.5% advance from the late-March lows.

ClearBridge Investments suggests investors could use volatility as an opportunity to deploy capital, while modestly favoring the stronger earnings revisions and more reasonable valuations available in non-US equities.

lthough AI is often blamed for labor weakness, the data suggests other dynamics are at play, as job creation is slowing most in industries with low AI adoption. Given the strong outlook for corporate earnings and policy support, the authors maintain a positive view, advising investors to "buy the dip."