Municipal vs. Corporate Bonds: How to Choose
How do you choose between corporate and municipal bonds? Both have characteristics that can be useful in your portfolio, depending on your goals and circumstances, but they’re not right for every situation.
First, start with the type of account you’re using:
- Interest income from municipal bonds is generally exempt from federal and potentially state income taxes, so munis can make more sense than corporate bonds in taxable accounts, like a brokerage account, but it will depend on a few factors that we’ll discuss below.
- For tax-deferred accounts, such as an individual retirement account (IRA) or 401(k), corporate bonds generally make more sense.
Beyond that, you should be aware of factors such as yields, maturity, and credit quality, as they can differ between the two markets and influence which is more attractive. Here’s what you should consider when deciding between munis and investment-grade corporate bonds.
1. What account type are you investing in?
As noted above, if it’s a tax-deferred account, such as an IRA or 401(k), then corporate bonds will likely make more sense than munis. A key benefit of municipal bonds is that their coupon payments are generally exempt from federal and potentially state income taxes, and they aren’t subject to the 3.8% tax on high earners’ investment income.
For tax-advantaged accounts, however, that benefit goes away, because earnings aren’t taxed until the time of distribution (usually at a later date). As a result of the tax benefits, munis tend to pay a lower rate of interest relative to corporate bonds of similar maturity and credit quality, so holding municipal bonds in a tax-deferred account likely means you’re missing out on higher yields that corporate bonds can provide.
One caveat is taxable municipal bonds. Their interest income is subject to federal and state taxes, just like corporate bonds. Corporate bonds historically have yielded more than taxable municipal bonds, but there have been times—like June 2020 through January 2021—where taxable munis yielded more than corporate bonds. In instances such as these, taxable munis should be considered along with corporate bonds for tax-deferred accounts.
Corporate bonds historically have yielded more than taxable munis
Source: Bloomberg Intermediate-term Taxable Municipal Bond Index and Bloomberg Intermediate Term Corporate Bond Index, as of 9/7/2021. The chart is truncated at +80 for visual purposes. The maximum value was 265 on 3/23/2020. One basis point (BPS) is equal to one one-hundredth of one percent, or 0.01%. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
2. What’s your tax rate?
If you’re investing in a taxable account, like a brokerage account, the decision between corporates and munis gets more nuanced and depends on a variety of factors. The primary factor will be your tax rate. At higher tax rates, munis generally yield more than corporate bonds of similar maturities.
For example, the seven-year component of the Bloomberg Municipal Bond Index yields 0.67%, compared with 1.35% for the Bloomberg U.S. Intermediate Corporate Bond Index. Both indices have similar durations, which is a measure of interest-rate sensitivity, and therefore offer a reasonable comparison, in our view.
The corporate bond index offers a higher yield before taxes are taken into consideration—but once taxes come into play, that yield advantage begins to decline. In order for the municipal bond index to break even with the after-tax yield of the corporate bond index, a 50% total cumulative tax rate is needed. We’re referring to this as the “breakeven” rate. The current “breakeven” tax rate has rarely been higher than it is today. Keep in mind that this “breakeven” tax rate includes multiple types of taxes—federal, state, and potentially the 3.8% net investment income tax (NIIT). For example, you might be in the 37% federal tax bracket, live in a state with a 10.75% top marginal income tax rate, and be subject to the 3.8% NIIT, which would put your tax rate above 50%.
If your tax rate is below 50%, intermediate-term corporate bonds likely will currently yield more than intermediate-term municipal bonds after taxes. However, if your tax rate is above that ~50% breakeven tax rate, municipal bonds will likely yield more after taxes. Don’t always assume that this is static because the breakeven rate has fluctuated over time, as illustrated in the chart below. Since 2010, this “break even” tax rate has averaged 31%.
Your tax rate will determine whether munis or corporates yield more after taxes
Source: Bloomberg Municipal Bond 7-year (6-8) Index and Bloomberg Intermediate Corporate Index, as of 9/8/2021. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
3. Are you looking for very highly rated (AAA/Aaa and AA/Aa rated) investments?
If you’re looking for very highly rate investments, like AAA/Aaa and AA/Aa rated bonds, corporates likely don’t make as much sense. Munis may make sense depending on your tax bracket and what maturity you’re investing in. Munis tend to be more heavily concentrated in the upper tiers of the investment-grade spectrum, meaning AA ratings or above by Standard & Poor’s or Aa and above by Moody’s Investors Service.
Although the corporate bond market is more than four times larger than the municipal bond market, there are actually more AAA and AA rated munis than there are AAA and AA rated corporate bonds. In fact, there are only 15 unique issuers of AAA rated bonds in the Bloomberg U.S. Corporate Bond Index, with Microsoft and Johnson & Johnson accounting for the vast majority of the AAA rated corporate bonds outstanding.
This matters because diversification is harder to achieve given the small number of AAA rated issuers in the corporate market relative to the muni market. Likewise, municipal bond investors looking for lower-rated investment-grade bonds and the higher yields they offer don't have too many options.
The corporate market is made up of mostly A and BBB rated issues
Source: Bloomberg Municipal Bond Index and Bloomberg Corporate Bond Index, as of 9/7/2021.
While there are fewer A and BBB rated municipal bonds outstanding relative to the corporate bond market, they historically have defaulted at a lower rate than corporate bonds with similar ratings.
This is generally due to municipalities having a natural monopoly on the residents they serve. For example, residents are generally limited to only one water utility district, which means that district doesn’t have to compete for customers like corporations do. Municipal issuers also generally exhibit less business risk than corporations do.
Munis historically have defaulted less frequently than corporates
Source: Moody’s Investors Service, as of 08/09/2021. Moody’s cumulative default rates calculated from marginal default rates, which represent the probability that an issuer that has survived through a particular date will default over the next time interval (10 years in this case). Default rates only include bonds rated by Moody’s. Past performance is no indication of future results.
4. Are you looking for short-term investments?
If you’re looking for short-term bonds with very high ratings, consider certificates of deposit (CDs), Treasuries, or agency bonds (that is, securities issued by a government-sponsored enterprise or a federal department other than the U.S. Treasury). There aren’t many short-term AA or AAA rated corporate bonds available, and the yields on short-term munis are unattractive relative to alternatives right now.
To illustrate, a two-year AAA muni yields 0.09%, compared to 0.22% for a two-year Treasury. You would need a 58% tax rate for the Treasury to yield the same as the muni. That’s not currently possible because the top federal tax rate is 37%. Even a high state income tax won’t push the needle because interest income from Treasury bonds is exempt from state income taxes.
Yields for highly rated munis are low relative to Treasuries and corporate bonds
Source: Bloomberg, USD US Corporate AA+, AA, and AA- BVAL 2-year Index and BVAL Muni AAA 2-year Index, as of 9/7/2021. Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
The columns on the left labeled as “Municipal yield (%)” represent municipal bond yields, and those yields don’t change since they are not subject to federal taxes. The columns to the right are the yields after taxes for corporate bonds assuming different tax rates. The yields highlighted in yellow are instances where the corporate bond yields are higher than the municipal yields when the given tax rate is taken into account. Consider the example highlighted in the red dashed line in the table below, in which the average 10-year A rated corporate bond yields more after taxes than the average 10-year A rated municipal bond for investors in all but the 35% and 37% tax brackets.
A-rated munis and corporates
Source: Bloomberg, USD US Corporate A+, A, and A- BVAL Yield Curve and US General Obligation A+, A, and A- BVAL Yield Curve, as of 9/7/2021. Corporate bonds assume an additional 5% state income tax and 3.8% ACA tax for the 32% and above brackets. The yields highlighted in yellow are instances where the corporate bond yields are higher than the municipal yields when the given tax rate is taken into account. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
BBB-rated munis and corporates
Source: Bloomberg, USD US Corporate BBB+, BBB, and BBB- BVAL Yield Curve and US General Obligation BBB+, BBB, and BBB- BVAL Yield Curve, as of 9/7/2021. Corporate bonds assume an additional 5% state income tax and 3.8% ACA tax for the 32% and above brackets. The yields highlighted in yellow are instances where the corporate bond yields are higher than the municipal yields when the given tax rate is taken into account. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Here are a few takeaways to consider:
- Highly-rated short-term municipal bonds don’t currently make much sense, but lower-rated munis do. For investors considering short-term AAA or AA rated munis, they are likely better off with CDs, Treasuries, or agency bonds.
- For A rated munis and corporates, intermediate term corporates (five- and seven-year maturities) offer higher after-tax yields for all tax rates, assuming tax rates don’t change.
- If you’re considering corporates or municipal bonds with longer maturities, munis generally make more sense for those investors with higher tax rates.
- Short-term BBB rated munis offer higher after-tax yields than BBB rated corporates, regardless of the tax rate.
- For BBB rated bonds, munis make more sense than corporates for investors in high tax brackets regardless of maturity.
A caveat is that this assumes tax rates don’t change in the future. If rates move higher due to legislation, munis likely will look more attractive.
What to consider now
Do your homework before investing in municipal bonds and corporate bonds, but also figure out how each investment fits into your risk profile and how each may help you reach your goals. Corporate and municipal bonds come with risks that always need to be considered when deciding which which types of bonds to invest in—like interest rate risk (the risk that prices fall if yields rise) and credit risk, like the aforementioned risk of default.
The type of investment account or your tax bracket are just two things to consider—you also need to consider the credit quality, the time to maturity, and how the taxable equivalent yields stack up.
Municipal bonds tend to make more sense in taxable accounts for investors in higher tax brackets, but it will depend on the maturity and credit quality.
In tax-advantaged accounts, investment-grade corporate bonds generally will offer higher yields, but keep in mind that their credit ratings are lower, on average, and they have historically defaulted more than investment-grade municipal bonds.
Schwab clients considering municipal or corporate bonds can explore Schwab’s Mutual Fund OneSource Select List or the ETF Select List. When searching for corporate bonds in the mutual fund select list, first start in the “Taxable Bond” category, and then search for “Corporate Bond” under the Morningstar Category. When searching for municipal bonds, simply start in the “Tax-Free Bond” category. For the ETF select list, both corporate and municipal bond ETFs are listed together under the “Bond” category.
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