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Moving Averages of the Ivy Portfolio and S&P 500: August 2026

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Treasury Yields Snapshot: August 28, 2026

The yield on the 10-year note finished August 28, 2026 at 4.73% while the 2-year note ended at 4.34%.

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Consumer Sentiment Falls in August

Consumer sentiment falls in August after two previous months of improvement. The final August reading for the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index came in at 51.7. This marks a 6.3% (3.5 points) decrease from July and below the preliminary reading of 51.0.

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Two Measures of Inflation: July 2026

Inflation remains a hot topic, directly impacting everything from your grocery bill to interest rates. As of the latest data, two key inflation gauges — the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) — show that prices are still above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, with the core PCE at 3.3% and core CPI at 2.5%.

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Core PCE Inflation at 3.3% in July, Unchanged from June

The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the core PCE price index, climbed 3.3% year-over-year in July. This marks no change from June's reading. On a monthly basis, core prices rose 0.2%.

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The Big Four Recession Indicators: Real Personal Income

Personal income (excluding transfer receipts) was up 0.35% in July and was up 3.31% year-over-year. However, when adjusted for inflation using the BEA's PCE Price Index, real personal income (excluding transfer receipts) was up 0.19% month-over-month and down -0.38% year-over-year.

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Consumer Confidence Falls Slightly in August

The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index® unexpectedly inched lower in August, falling 0.8 points to 89.4. The index was below the forecast of 90.3.

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Q2 GDP Second Estimate: Real GDP at 1.5%, Unchanged

U.S. economic growth rebounded at the beginning of 2026, according to the BEA’s latest estimate. Real GDP rose at a 1.5% annual rate in Q2, falling below the 2.1% forecast, but marking an acceleration from the 0.5% final estimate seen in Q4 of last year.

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World Markets Watchlist: August 24, 2026

Six of the nine indexes on our world markets watch list posted year-to-date gains through August 24, 2026.

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S&P 500 Snapshot: Stocks End Lower to Snap 3-Week Win Streak

The S&P 500 wrapped up the week with a loss of 1.4%, snapping a three-week winning streak.

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Margin Debt Falls 5.7% in July

Margin debt fell in July to $1.4 trillion after three months of increases. This marked a 5.7% decrease from June and a 38.6% rise compared to the previous year.

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Cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin Up 9% This Week

Bitcoin's closing price was up 9% this week. BTC is currently down approximately 21% year-to-date and sits about 44% below its October 2025 record high.

Commentary

What Advisors Should Weigh Before Buying Active ETFs

FactSet finds core clients still favor cheap funds, while active ETF buyers pay a premium for performance, a trade-off advisors should watch.

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The Big Four Recession Indicators: Industrial Production

Industrial production grew 0.2% in July after June's 0.3% growth. This was lower than the expected 0.3% growth and marks a 1.1% increase compared to one year ago.

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The Big Four Recession Indicators: Real Retail Sales

Nominal retail sales were down 0.58% month-over-month and up 5.01% year-over-year in July. However, after adjusting for inflation, real retail sales were down 0.66% month-over-month and up 1.65% year-over-year.