PIMCO’s CEO and its head of retirement outline the firm’s approach to generating retirement income.
European measures applied to mitigate the effects of the pandemic have contained the unemployment rate in Europe more than in the U.S. While recognizing economic risks from the rising number of COVID-19 cases in the U.S., our forecast sees this success ratio reversing before the end of the year.
Municipal bond investors will need to contend with the impact of monetary policy on market prices.
We expect more stimulus, both monetary and fiscal, will be necessary to support the recovery amid the renewed COVID-19 outbreak.
A brief monthly update on what's happening in the municipal bond market.
The protracted low-yield environment has left many investors with insufficient returns to meet their goals: how can credit help? Here we highlight where we see 5 credit opportunities.
After a decade of steady growth and rising asset prices, economies and financial markets were rocked by the COVID-19 pandemic. The global health crisis forced most governments to lock down their communities, halting economic activity almost overnight and causing financial markets to reprice lower at an unprecedented speed.
The health crisis creates opportunities to unite historically disparate investor groups to help build economic and market sustainability and resiliency.
The text book rules about where to invest following a recession may not apply in a post-pandemic world; more than bricks and mortar, stimulus efforts are green and digital now.
While a near-term mechanical bounce in economic activity in response to the lifting or easing of lockdown measures looks likely, we expect the subsequent climb up to be long and arduous.
We expect the Federal Reserve will continue to conduct asset purchases at its current pace through year-end, and eventually commit to keeping interest rates on hold through 2022. This should help ensure easy financial conditions and support the economic recovery.
Over diversifying an LDI manager roster may have important hidden costs.
This strategy aims to help investors participate in the ongoing recovery of the global economy, offering potential for attractive yield while managing downside risks.
A brief monthly update on what's happening in the municipal bond market....
The COVID-19 crisis is likely to accelerate many underlying, secular disruptive forces already affecting economies and financial markets. This may only increase the difference between those companies, sectors, and countries that are being disrupted, and those that are acting more like disruptors. Distinguishing between the two is becoming crucial.
The U.S. political focus has shifted to the reopening of the economy.
Research Affiliates discusses how the All Asset portfolios seek to capitalize on opportunities amid pandemic-related market volatility and a strengthening U.S. dollar.
Weak technicals are creating an opportunity in long-duration municipal bonds.
Over the next several quarters, monetary conditions will likely be set not only by Fed balance sheet policies, but also by the expected path of interest rates.
Major economies are contracting, but extraordinary policy responses could limit severe recessions to this year.
Evidence from decades and even centuries ago, plus the unique circumstances of the current global health crisis and its economic impact, suggests we can expect a “New Neutral 2.0” of lower interest rates for longer.
The U.S. labor market disruption is the worst the country has experienced in recent memory, suggesting that the decline in overall activity could also be much more severe.
The Fed has moved aggressively to stabilize core assets, including mortgages. Yet several market indicators are still concerning.
Our baseline economic forecast is a U-shaped global recovery, but substantial unknowns remain.
The $2.2 trillion stimulus is the biggest ever, but Congress will likely be forced to do even more.
Liquidity could remain challenged, but valuations may be attractive for long-term investors.
The conditions for a relatively quick and robust rebound rest on the success in containing the virus within a reasonable horizon, and a well-calibrated economic policy response.
The Fed’s aggressive support may help keep markets functioning, hasten recovery and avoid longer-term damage.
Research Affiliates assesses the potential impact of COVID-19 on economies and investments, and what it means for the All Asset strategies.
A bolder fiscal response to the rapidly spreading coronavirus has become an economic and political imperative.
Governments and central banks have started to respond more forcefully to the health crisis, enacting policy in an effort to limit long-term damage to the global economy.
The European Central Bank (ECB) didn’t follow other major central banks and refrained from cutting interest rates in response to the coronavirus outbreak. This signals a shift in the central bank’s preferred policy tools – read more.
The Fed announced two actions Thursday in response to stress in the market for U.S. Treasuries.
As the oil surplus builds, we expect U.S. crude oil to linger at $30-$40 per barrel for the next several months.
The Bank of England and the British government both announced easing measures to counter the effects of the coronavirus on the economy – how effective can we expect these measures to be?
Fed rate cuts may be less effective at boosting the economy or markets as societies grapple with the spread of COVID-19, but other policy measures may help.
Global growth could follow a U-shaped path over the next few quarters, though substantial uncertainty remains as policymakers grapple with the impact of the coronavirus.
Senator Joe Biden is the current front-runner in a two-person race for the Democratic nomination, but upcoming state contests are crucial.
In recognition of International Women’s Day on 8 March, Cady Johnson shares her perspective on gender equality in the financial services industry.
The Federal Reserve wants to avoid a crisis of confidence.
The Fed could give the economy a powerful boost by maintaining the mix of assets on its balance sheet.
In recognition of International Women’s Day on 8 March, Candice Stack and David Forgash discuss the internship program PIMCO hosts in partnership with Girls Who Invest.
Municipal bond investors worried by the 1st U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals’ affirmation of a lower court’s decision regarding the Puerto Rico Highway Transportation Authority should rest a bit easier: The ramifications will likely be limited.
Read our key takeaways from our 2020 Asset Allocation Outlook, including how we are positioning multi-asset portfolios in light of our outlooks for the global economy and markets.
Three key themes from our latest Cyclical Outlook will likely drive the global economy and central bank policy in the year ahead.
A review of last month’s market-moving events across countries and asset classes.
Research Affiliates examines how different asset classes perform across full market cycles, and discusses how macro forecasts inform its investment strategies.
