Commentary

The Bull Market is Alive and Well

The bull market is alive and well, even amid widespread talk of the “death of U.S. exceptionalism.

Commentary

SLR: Could It End The Bond Bear Market

For sophisticated investors, this technical shift marks a subtle but powerful pivot in monetary mechanics. It could create demand for Treasuries, improve market liquidity, and push yields lower at a time when the economy is slowing.

Commentary

The Fed’s “Transitory” Mistake Is Affecting Its Outlook

The Fed’s credibility rests not on never being wrong, but on being adaptive and forward-looking. Inflation has cooled, wage growth has moderated, and economic momentum is slowing. Now is the time for the Fed to focus not on headline fears, but on real-time data.

Commentary

The Dollar’s Death Is Greatly Exaggerated

The recent decline in the dollar relative to other currencies is well within historical norms. Notably, previous declines were much larger without the “fear-mongering” from the “experts of doom.”

Commentary

Iran Struck By U.S.: Markets, Risk, and Rational Investing

Given the uncertainty of future events, global investors seek a “safe haven” for investment dollars. As such, U.S. Treasury Bonds and the U.S. dollar appreciate given their perceived “financial safety.” Last week, global investors were already starting to make that shift with the dollar rising.

Commentary

The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market

The Iran-Israel conflict and equity markets are now in sharp focus. As direct strikes escalated in June 2025, global financial markets responded immediately. Israel’s airstrikes on Iranian nuclear and energy infrastructure triggered retaliatory missile and drone attacks from Iran.

Commentary

The Deficit Narrative May Find its Cure in Artificial Intelligence

Lately, the “deficit narrative” has dominated much of the financial media, particularly those channels that are continual “purveyors of doom.” In this post, we will discuss the “deficit narrative,” the likely outcomes, and why the cure for the deficit may be found in Artificial Intelligence.

Commentary

“Buying The Dip” – Here’s A Technical Way To Do It

In recent years, “buying the dip and more vulgar variations have often been equated to “dumb money” or retail investors, who are presumed to always make a mistake. However, as investors, we need to rethink how we view “buying the dip” because the whole goal of investing is to “buy low and sell high.”

Commentary

Does Consumer Spending Drive Earnings Growth?

It would seem evident that most investors would understand that consumer spending drives economic growth, ultimately creating corporate earnings growth. Yet, despite this somewhat tautological statement, Wall Street appears to ignore this simple reality when forecasting forward earnings.

Commentary

Buying Stocks Is Always Hard

Buying stocks is always hard. Particularly during corrections. Or, near market peaks. Or, when stocks are falling. And when they are rising. Oh, buying stocks is also tricky when valuations are high. And when they are low. You get the point.

Commentary

Ray Dalio Is Predicting A Financial Crisis…Again.

It doesn’t take much to understand that Ray Dalio, a hedge fund titan, is like every other human being and is prone to error. I will not dismiss Dalio entirely, as his track record of managing money at Bridgewater is nothing to be scoffed at.

Commentary

The Stealth Bear Market

Given the uncertainty of what potentially happens next, the recent rally is an excellent opportunity to adjust portfolio risks to navigate the next leg of this market cycle.

Commentary

The Anchoring Problem and How to Solve it

Keep your market perspective in check, avoid anchoring, and focus on your investment goals rather than market volatility.

Commentary

Moody’s Debt Downgrade – Does It Matter?

As investors, we need to step back and examine the history of previous debt downgrades and their outcomes for the stock and bond markets. Let’s start with what Moody’s rating agency stated about its rating change.

Commentary

Corporate Stock Buybacks – Do They Affect Markets?

Fisher Investments recently wrote an interesting article asking whether corporate stock buybacks affect markets.