Despite some improvements in corporate health, Global Macro Strategist Craig Burelle shares why he thinks companies are likely to experience more pain in the months to come.
Of course, hindsight is always 20/20. Last year there were many reasons to be bearish. Things were seemingly so bad, with everyone expecting a recession, that there was nowhere to go but up.
Coming into the year, over 60% of economists expected the economy to enter a recession in 2023. But the economy’s resilience, particularly in the wake of aggressive rate hikes, has surprised the market and supported better than expected earnings growth and the equity rally year-to-date.
Evan Harp sat down with Dr. Preston Cherry to discuss financial psychology, how it differs from behavioral finance, and how advisors can benefit from incorporating it into their practices.
Earnings season has thus far been a mixed bag, and despite a notable increase in the beat rate, the market is rightfully shifting focus to guidance for the rest of the year.
Companies that are on course to overcome ESG controversies deserve closer attention from investors.
The nation's complex and contentious fiscal processes are deemed a credit risk.
After 17 months of intense fighting, the costs of rebuilding Ukraine will most likely be far higher than previously expected. European countries, which have repeatedly pledged to support Ukraine but have contributed relatively little to its defense thus far, must coordinate and facilitate this effort.
For now, and according to the June Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) ‘dot-plot,’ the Fed still has one more 25 basis point increase for the federal funds rate before the end of this year.
Market volatility is an inevitable part of investing. And, understandably, tumultuous times will likely trigger emotional responses to match.
Research Affiliates explain why their long-term return forecasts have risen across asset classes and the implications of their near-term outlook for U.S. recession.
Alphabet Inc., the umbrella organization encompassing Google, is a global conglomerate that has revolutionized the world by organizing information and making it universally accessible and beneficial.
Bank of England raises interest rates again as expected. Rate hike likely to hurt first-time homebuyers in London. UK gilt curve appears to be pricing in a "higher rates for longer" scenario.
In any environment, multi-asset investors should prudently balance risks across equity, corporate credit and government bonds. But near-term tactical shifts can help take advantage of ever-evolving market conditions in the pursuit of long-term returns.
While US economic data continues to deteriorate along with much of the globe, pockets of growth have developed. We continue to be generally cautious but have expanded the portfolio to include Japan where we see opportunity today.
We are in the last half of what is the most disruptive and violent of the generational periods.
Fitch Ratings unexpectedly downgraded the U.S. credit rating from AAA to AA+, only the second downgrade in U.S. history, citing debt limit standoffs and rising entitlement costs.
While Washington continues a seemingly unbridled spending spree under the assumption “more spending” is better, debts and deficits matter. To better understand the impact of debt and deficits on economic growth, we must know where we came from.
The sovereign credit rating cut is unlikely to significantly change views toward U.S. Treasuries, but questions about debt sustainability may grow louder over time.
Referrals from established clients are a good way to organically grow an advisory business.
The more painful the situation, the more motivated we are to act. Here, we share an example of how an advisor can build a relationship with a client to become a trusted advisor and how that trust helps inspire referrals.
Todd Rosenbluth appeared on Bob Pisani’s “ETF Edge” to discuss AI ahead of the coming AI Symposium.
Equity Insights offers research and perspectives from Putnam’s equity team on market trends and opportunities.
Drew O’Neil discusses fixed income market conditions and offers insight for bond investors.
Australia and Canada are experiencing a surge in population growth, while growth rates have slowed substantially in the UK due to post-Brexit frictions.
Raymond James CIO Larry Adam examines the reasons for the decision and what the impact may be on the financial markets.
In this video, Chuck Carnevale, Co-Founder of FAST Graphs, a.k.a Mr. Valuation, discusses the differences between investing in growth stocks vs. dividend growth stocks.
New public policies reflect growing urgency to address climate risk, which equity investors should emphasize, too.
Due to the energy-intensive nature of the bitcoin mining process, many consider miners and the digital currency itself detractors to environmental, social, and governance (ESG) and sustainability objectives.
This year in the six months through June 2023, ETF expenses fell just 0.001%, one-fifth of what we would have expected based on the drops over the previous five years, when asset-weighted ETF expense ratios fell by over 0.01% per year, on average, as depicted in the chart below.
While younger investors have taken a growing interest in artificial intelligence, advisors are cautioning individuals against using AI. They’ll use a do-it-yourself approach in hopes of gaining an investing edge.
Equity and fixed income markets experienced heightened volatility amid the Q2 debt-ceiling saga, while currency and derivatives markets were mostly unaffected.
Signs of falling inflation have helped risk assets recently, but the relief is likely temporary. Volatility may continue in fixed income markets, as high-interest rates continue to weigh on balance sheets and the market digests the probability of a potential recession.
The Bank of Japan announced changes that could allow its yield curve control program to expire gradually if economic conditions are favorable.
I am a Wall Street guy, and, being a Wall Street guy, sometimes I forget that 99.9% of the planet has no clue what the stock market is doing on any given day. Or cares. It has zero bearing on their lives whatsoever.
The surprise move takes the rating to AA+ from AAA.
Fitch Ratings has downgraded the long-term rating of US Treasurys from AAA to AA+. Chief Economist Brian Horrigan shares his take on Fitch’s reasoning and highlights key differences between this event and the S&P downgrade of 2011.
As that information presents itself, we may see a fair bit of market choppiness. This is why, even though the market’s monthly moves are fascinating and informative, they are far from instructive for a long-term investor.
Franklin Templeton’s new digital assets primer provides in-depth information on these new concepts and terminologies. In this article, Sandy Kaul, Head of Digital Asset & Industry Advisory Services, summarizes each section in the primer.
Investors can use gold as part of a short-term strategy to hedge against volatility, inflation and weakness in the dollar. Over the long term, it can serve as a portfolio diversifier, providing uncorrelated returns.
BondBloxx Investment Management continues to grow at a rapid pace in a short time. The fixed income specialist has exceeded $2 billion in assets under management. The firm achieved this milestone shortly after reaching $1 billion in AUM in April.
The past year has been punctuated by attention-grabbing headlines: The ongoing war in Ukraine, the U.K. pensions crisis, the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, debt ceiling negotiations, the rise of ChatGPT … and the list goes on.
Markets posted a strong first quarter, though it was a rollercoaster ride. The path forward will likely stay turbulent, with bank turmoil likely tightening credit conditions and the Fed still wrestling with inflation.
The question many economists, as well as market participants, asked themselves after the June Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting was why the Federal Reserve (Fed) paused its federal funds rate hike campaign if they were going to increase it again in July anyway.
During the past decade, a turnaround in the Golden State has resulted in higher credit quality for many issuers.
A member of Putnam's Fixed Income team since 2007, Onsel Gulbiten analyzes macroeconomic issues, including inflation, interest rates, and policy developments.
In this video, Chuck Carnevale, Co-Founder of FAST Graphs a.k.a Mr. Valuation will be sharing four growth stocks that he found using our FAST Graphs Premium Preset Screens in our Screening Tool.
The economy and markets that have emerged from the pandemic fundamentally changed. For equity investors, we believe this means a different opportunity set than the one that prevailed over the past decade and a half ― and one that favors alpha (excess return) over beta (market return).
Take the 2008 financial panic. Was it market failure and bad business models or was it using the government to subsidize housing plus mark-to-market accounting? We believe the latter…without the subsidies and bad accounting rules, the recession might not have happened at all.
We think advisors and end clients should dig deeper than a fund’s expense ratio to understand the exposure provided. For example, while IEMG has exposure to South Korean stocks, SPEM is like VWO and does not own them.