Small business sales are the lifeblood of the economy.
The Fed's program of QT has flown under the radar for a lot of reasons. That low profile belies its importance, however. Not only is the Fed likely to persist in this program, but it will create a strong headwind for risk assets.
As one of us points out relentlessly, risk isn’t a number, rather it is a notion or a concept.
Value investing is all about finding bargains that meet your investment goals and provide a margin of safety long-term. HP Inc (HPQ) and Hewlett-Packard Enterprises (HPE) represent two dividend growth stocks with uncanny similarities regarding valuation and yield.
Last week, the combined dollar value of hedge positions on the S&P 500, NASDAQ 100 and Dow Jones Industrial indexes was $121.43 billion, not far from the August 16 peak of $160.02 billion.
Franklin Mutual Series’ Investment Strategist Katrina Dudley believes that higher inflation in Europe stemming from rising energy prices, as well as lower relative interest rates, may keep the euro under pressure.
Recent inflation is a poor forecaster of changes in treasury yields. Pronouncements of a break in long-term treasury yield trends based solely on inflation may be mistaken.
A few weeks ago, I said the bear market was over. What if it isn’t? Don’t interpret this as cold feet—it’s good to understand the other side of the argument.
August was a resumption of the earlier pullback after a surprisingly strong July.
Downside volatility has reappeared with markets responding sharply to Federal Reserve comments about the future of interest rates.
Workers take time to reach their full potential in new jobs.
CIO Robert Horrocks, PhD, says in order to reconcile assumptions on inflation with what might actually transpire, investors need to look through a wider lens and be prepared for a future that may not look too different from the past.
Investors naturally gravitate toward higher-income segments as a way to boost traditional core bond yields.
The August jobs report delivered something for both economic bulls and bears, but what matters more in the near term is the Fed's focus on seeing a continued easing in labor demand.
Market veterans will tell you there are no shortcuts in investing
The housing sector surged during COVID in large part due to loose money.
According to conventional economic thinking, incoming British Prime Minister Liz Truss’s economic experiment with borrowing and spending will produce disaster.
We get a lot of questions about what we call Normal P/E Ratio on a FAST Graph.
The “Rule Of 20” says the “bear market” may just be resting despite much commentary to the contrary.
Scarcity and trade frictions are leading to major supply chain realignments.
September has historically been one of the worst months for stocks. The Fed’s aggressive moves and upcoming midterm elections could make this September particularly interesting.
Stocks started the month on an upswing but ended with volatility.
3M (MMM) is currently facing many challenges; however, I believe management is up to the challenges.
Emerging markets strategies may offer differentiated exposure for investors concerned about a slowdown in the developed world but it’s crucial that investors look at the underlying exposures of their strategy as investment approaches to emerging markets can differ significantly.
The silver market is showing signs of scarcity that haven’t occurred in years. Key indicators continue to stray further from normal market conditions, and we break down why.
Some earlier big run-ups in the US currency’s value, including in the mid-1980s and the early 2000s, were eventually followed by sharp declines.
"Without Italy, there is no Europe, but outside of Europe, there is even less Italy." -Mario Draghi
What's next for global growth? Our Macro Strategies team shares a regional breakdown of their growth expectations across the globe.
The world does not need another take on Jackson Hole. But here we go.
Only a few market events in an investor’s career really matter, and among the most important of all are superbubbles.
The big question on everyone’s mind is, why is the market going down?
A growing number of prominent financial groups believes the era of low inflation is behind us, and that one investment strategy is to boost exposure to commodities and natural resources.
Buy stocks in a bear market.
Emerging market valuations appear attractive, but country-specific risks can be critical to monitor amid global inflation and rising interest rates.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s hawkish comments dominated the markets on Friday, with the major indices all seeing a drop of over 3%.
Franklin Mutual Series explains how global investing may provide a path to better returns.
Investing is a numbers game, and at the beginning it can be very daunting.
Fed Chairman Powell delivered a forceful and unequivocal message today at Jackson Hole, pushing back against market expectations of an early pivot back to rate cuts.
In Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve officials unequivocally emphasized their commitment to bringing inflation under control – even as the U.S. economy slows.
The most significant element going into the June low was positioning.
The silver market is showing signs of scarcity that haven’t occurred in years. We break down what this means for silver owners and the ways it could be resolved.
U.S. stocks ended the day in the red, continuing last week's sharp drop following comments from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell last Friday that heightened inflationary concerns.
Review the latest Weekly Headings by CIO Larry Adam.
Across the developed markets, central banks have embarked on a tightening path—with one exception: the Bank of Japan (BOJ).
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell more than 1,000 points on Friday, caused apparently by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s attempt to use a brief speech to channel the ghost of Paul Volcker.
A long negotiation cycle yields green investment, a smaller deficit and higher corporate taxes.
So many critical economic and market developments this year can be traced back in one way or another to the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
With the recent increases in interest rates, the carry trade has had a sudden resurgence in performance, which could make it a tempting strategy for investors.
The bear market is over.
Everyone’s inflation experience is unique. We all have our particular spending patterns, so our experience will feel worse if inflation is more severe in the goods and services we normally buy. Or we might not notice it as much as others do.
